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中国通信服务(00552):收入稳中有进,分红值得期待
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-26 15:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Communication Services is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a 3.4% year-on-year increase in operating revenue for the first half of 2025, amounting to RMB 76.939 billion, with a net profit of RMB 2.129 billion, reflecting a 0.2% growth [2][6]. - The gross margin is at 10.3%, while the net profit margin stands at 2.8% [2][6]. - Non-operator revenue has surpassed half of the total revenue for the first time, indicating stronger resilience in revenue performance [9]. - The company has effectively managed its SG&A expenses, resulting in a decrease in expense ratios, which has helped mitigate pressure on gross margins [9]. - Cash flow remains strong, and the dividend payout ratio has been steadily increasing, suggesting attractive current valuations [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the revenue breakdown shows TIS business revenue at RMB 38.272 billion (up 1.6%), BPO business revenue at RMB 22.383 billion (up 1.0%), and ACO business revenue at RMB 16.284 billion (up 11.7%) [9]. - Operator revenue totaled RMB 38.203 billion, down 4.55%, while customer revenue reached RMB 36.585 billion, up 12.9% [9]. Business Development - New contracts signed in 2025H1 exceeded RMB 106 billion, a slight decline of about 2% year-on-year, with strategic emerging businesses contributing over RMB 42 billion, marking a growth of over 10% [9]. - The distribution of new contracts shows operators account for about 31%, while customer segments represent approximately 65% [9]. Market Outlook - The capital expenditure from major operators has been cautious, but there is an expectation for acceleration in the second half of the year, which could support further growth for the company [9]. - The first half of 2025 saw capital expenditures from China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom at RMB 58.4 billion, RMB 34.2 billion, and RMB 20.2 billion, respectively, reflecting declines of 8.8%, 27.5%, and 15.5% year-on-year [9].