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Stablecoin Market Could Reach $4 Trillion by 2030, Citi Says in Revised Forecast
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 17:41
Core Insights - The stablecoin market is experiencing rapid growth, with issuance volumes increasing from approximately $200 billion at the beginning of 2025 to $280 billion as of Thursday, prompting Citi to revise its 2030 forecast for stablecoin issuance to $1.9 trillion in the base case and $4 trillion in the bull case, up from previous estimates of $1.6 trillion and $3.7 trillion respectively [1][2] Group 1: Market Growth and Projections - Stablecoins could facilitate up to $100 trillion in annual transactions by 2030 under the base scenario, potentially doubling in the bull case, reflecting a significant shift in digital currency adoption driven by blockchain technology [2] - The issuance of stablecoins is part of a broader transformation in financial infrastructure, with various forms of digital money, including stablecoins, bank tokens, and CBDCs, expected to coexist and serve different purposes [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - While stablecoins are growing, bank tokens, such as tokenized deposits, may see higher transaction volumes due to corporate demand for regulatory safeguards and real-time settlement, with potential turnover exceeding $100 trillion by the end of the decade [3] - The U.S. dollar remains the dominant currency in on-chain finance, driving demand for Treasuries, although regions like Hong Kong and the UAE are emerging as experimental hubs for digital finance [4]
Citi projects $1.9 trillion stablecoin boom by 2030
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 15:22
Core Insights - The stablecoin market is projected to grow significantly, with Citi forecasting issuance could reach $1.9 trillion by 2030, up from a previous estimate of $1.6 trillion, and potentially soar to $4 trillion in a bull case [2] - Stablecoins are increasingly utilized in various sectors, including crypto trading and e-commerce, with their market cap rising from $200 billion to $280 billion this year [3] - The growth of stablecoins may indicate a breakthrough in blockchain technology's adoption by large institutions, likening it to the early days of the dotcom boom [4] Market Projections - Citi's base case estimates stablecoin issuance at $1.9 trillion by 2030, supporting nearly $100 trillion in annual transactions, although this is small compared to the $5 to $10 trillion moved daily by leading banks [2][4] - The report highlights strong growth in 2025 and numerous project announcements from both crypto-native firms and traditional financial players [2] Adoption and Challenges - Despite the growth potential, many corporate firms remain cautious, showing curiosity rather than enthusiasm towards stablecoins, preferring "bank tokens" that offer safety and regulatory oversight [5] - Significant developments in the stablecoin space have occurred this year, with companies like PayPal expanding their offerings and retailers like Walmart and Amazon considering proprietary stablecoins [5]