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Why One Fund Bought Wix Stock Despite a 53% Drop Over the Past Year
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-25 20:36
Core Insights - Wix.com Ltd. is experiencing strong business fundamentals despite a significant decline in stock price, with cash flow and growth metrics indicating a healthy operational performance [1][11][12] Company Overview - Wix.com Ltd. is a leading provider of cloud-based website development and business management solutions, serving hundreds of millions of registered users globally [6] - The company operates on a scalable, subscription-driven business model, offering a comprehensive suite of tools for users to build and manage their online presence [6] Financial Performance - In the third quarter, Wix reported a revenue increase of 14% year-over-year, reaching $505 million, with bookings growing at the same rate [11] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $127 million, approximately 25% of revenue, and could have exceeded $159 million excluding certain costs [11] - Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) from Creative Subscriptions rose to $1.46 billion, while Business Solutions revenue increased by 18% [11] Investment Activity - Elwood Capital Partners increased its stake in Wix by acquiring 17,710 shares, bringing its total holding to 40,033 shares valued at $7.11 million as of September 30 [2][3] - The new position represents 4.34% of Elwood Capital's assets under management [3] Market Context - As of the latest data, Wix shares were priced at $105.43, reflecting a 53% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which rose by 15% during the same period [3] - The stock has decreased approximately 70% from its 2021 highs, indicating a disconnect between market sentiment and the company's underlying fundamentals [12] Future Outlook - Management anticipates that the AI-driven product Base44 will generate at least $50 million in ARR by year-end, with potential growth towards $100 million due to strong early adoption [11]
Why Is Wix.com (WIX) Up 4.8% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-12-19 17:31
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Wix.com (WIX) . Shares have added about 4.8% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Wix.com due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.WIX's Q3 Earnings Beat EstimatesWix reported non-GAAP ear ...
Wix.com Ltd. (WIX): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-04 17:44
Core Thesis - Wix.com Ltd. is positioned for growth in the no-code website building market, with a strong user base and innovative offerings driving potential upside in valuation [1][5]. User Growth and Market Position - As of 2024, Wix has 282 million registered users and 6.2 million paying subscribers, benefiting from a user-friendly drag-and-drop interface and a growing professional user base [2]. - Despite a decline in user conversion rates from 2.7-2.8% in 2022 to 2.2% in 2024, overall user growth remains solid at 7% year-over-year, with strong momentum from professional partnerships growing around 30% annually [3]. Financial Performance - Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) has increased approximately 10% annually, driven by subscription price hikes and growing payments adoption, with payments contributing to 20% annual growth on $12.3 billion in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) [4]. - Wix's acquisition of Base44 for $80 million is expected to add $40-50 million in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) by 2025, contributing an additional 2-3% to organic growth [5]. Valuation and Market Potential - Wix is currently trading at a 6.5% free cash flow yield and 3.8x next twelve months (NTM) revenue, appearing undervalued compared to Squarespace's 5x takeout multiple [5]. - With potential revenue acceleration in 2026, Wix offers a projected upside of 30-50%, driven by innovation and expanding professional adoption [5].
Wix.com (NasdaqGS:WIX) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-12-03 00:17
Summary of Wix.com Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Wix.com (NasdaqGS: WIX) - **Event**: 2025 Conference on December 02, 2025 Key Points Acquisition of Base44 - **Base44 Acquisition**: Base44 is described as an innovative vibe coding platform that allows users to create applications without coding knowledge, similar to how Wix enables website creation [3][4][5] - **Market Opportunity**: The acquisition opens a significant opportunity for Wix, as applications are more numerous than websites, indicating a larger potential market [5] - **Current Performance**: Base44's annual recurring revenue (ARR) is projected to exceed $15 million by year-end, up from $3 million at the time of acquisition, with expectations to reach $100 million in the near future [15][16] Unit Economics and Market Share - **User Base**: Base44 targets a diverse audience, including freelance developers and small design teams, rather than just traditional developers [9] - **Market Share Growth**: Following the acquisition, Base44's market share in AI-powered application building has increased from low single digits to approximately 10% [10] Marketing Strategy - **Brand Development**: Wix aims to replicate its successful branding strategy for its website builder with Base44, focusing on different customer intents [11][12] - **Marketing Channels**: Investments will be made in various marketing channels, including YouTube, to build brand awareness for Base44 [12] Financial Performance and Margins - **Gross Margin Outlook**: The core Wix business is expected to improve gross margins in 2026, with a projected free cash flow margin in the mid-20% range [26] - **Impact of Base44**: The integration of Base44 is expected to leverage Wix's existing infrastructure, minimizing the need for additional headcount while supporting growth [20] - **Cost Management**: Marketing and AI costs are variable and can be adjusted based on demand, with a current gross margin for paying users estimated at 30%-40% [21][22] Core Business Growth - **Core Business Revenue**: Wix's core business generated $2 billion, with growth driven by improved customer intent, conversion rates, and a stronger brand presence [31][32] - **SEO and Discoverability**: The platform's capabilities in SEO and AI integration are highlighted as key factors for attracting new customers [32][33] Future Outlook - **Product Launches**: A new Self-Creator product is set to launch, with marketing investments expected to be moderate and focused on driving adoption [41] - **Share Buybacks**: Wix has spent approximately $1 billion on share repurchases, with plans to continue this strategy to manage dilution and take advantage of current share prices [38][40] Competitive Landscape - **Market Position**: Wix believes it is gaining market share against competitors like Squarespace, with a focus on enhancing visibility in AI search engines [46] Additional Insights - **Tax Considerations**: The company anticipates a corporate tax rate of around 15% due to OECD Pillar Two regulations coming into effect [44] - **Working Capital**: Current free cash flow margins have benefited from favorable working capital changes, which are expected to normalize over time [28][29] This summary encapsulates the key insights and financial outlook discussed during the conference call, highlighting Wix's strategic initiatives and market positioning.
Wix.com (WIX) Stock Drops Despite Q3 Beat as High AI Costs and Base44 Investments Hit Operating Margins
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-30 05:26
Core Insights - Wix.com Ltd. is considered one of the best upside stocks to buy currently, despite a recent price target reduction from $220 to $160 by Oppenheimer analyst Ken Wong, who maintains an Outperform rating on the shares [1][2] - The company's Q3 2025 performance showed a 14% year-over-year increase in total bookings to $515 million and total revenue also increased by 14% to $505 million, driven by the strong performance of its Base44 product [3] Financial Performance - Total bookings for Q3 2025 reached $515 million, marking a 14% increase year-over-year [3] - Total revenue for the same period was $505 million, also reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth [3] - Base44, a recent acquisition, attracted over $2 million in users and is projected to achieve at least $50 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by year-end [3] Investment Considerations - The market reacted negatively to Wix's performance due to higher-than-expected costs related to AI development and increased sales and marketing investments for Base44, which were anticipated to remain flat [2][3] - Despite short-term spending concerns, there is optimism regarding Wix's core business and its potential for AI monetization leading into 2026 [2]
Wix.com Analysts Cut Their Forecasts After Q3 Earnings - Wix.com (NASDAQ:WIX)
Benzinga· 2025-11-20 14:00
Financial Performance - Wix.com reported quarterly earnings of $1.68 per share, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $1.47 per share [1] - The company achieved quarterly sales of $505.194 million, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $502.682 million [1] - Wix.com raised its FY2025 sales guidance from $1.975 billion-$2.000 billion to $1.990 billion-$2.000 billion [1] Strategic Initiatives - The CEO of Wix, Avishai Abrahami, emphasized the company's mission to democratize technology through advanced AI and natural-language development with the introduction of Base44 [2] - The company aims to eliminate barriers of complexity in accessing advanced technology [2] Analyst Reactions - Needham analyst Bernie McTernan maintained a Buy rating on Wix.com but lowered the price target from $200 to $140 [5] - Citizens analyst Andrew Boone maintained a Market Outperform rating and cut the price target from $210 to $185 [5] - Benchmark analyst Mark Zgutowicz also maintained a Buy rating while lowering the price target from $230 to $185 [5]
Wix Shares Drop Despite Higher Bookings and Revenue Forecast Following AI-Driven Demand
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-19 21:44
Core Viewpoint - Wix.com raised its full-year bookings and revenue outlook following strong third-quarter results, driven by increased demand from its AI coding platform Base44, despite a significant drop in share price [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2025, Wix expects bookings to be between $2.06 billion and $2.08 billion, an increase from the previous range of $2.04 billion to $2.08 billion [2]. - The full-year revenue forecast has been raised to $1.99 billion to $2.00 billion, compared to the earlier guidance of $1.98 billion to $2.00 billion [2]. - Third-quarter revenue was reported at $505.2 million, with total bookings rising to $514.5 million [4]. Growth Metrics - For the fourth quarter, Wix projects revenue between $521 million and $531 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 13% to 15% [3]. - Creative Subscriptions revenue increased by 12% to $356.2 million, while Business Solutions revenue grew by 18% to $149 million [4]. - Creative Subscriptions annual recurring revenue reached $1.48 billion, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase [4]. Cost and Margin Expectations - The non-GAAP gross margin for the year is expected to be between 68% and 69%, influenced by increased AI-related costs from Base44 [3]. - Non-GAAP operating expenses are projected to be approximately 50% of revenue, with free cash flow expected to reach about $600 million, or around 30% of revenue [3].
Why Wix.com Stock Crumbled 22% Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 20:49
Key Points Wix.com stock fell as much as 21.7% despite beating Q3 earnings expectations and raising full-year guidance. CEO Avishai Abrahami admitted he's "clearly unhappy" about delaying a flagship product from summer 2025 to 2026. Wall Street wanted evidence of accelerating growth from Wix's new initiatives but didn't get it. 10 stocks we like better than Wix.com › Shares of Wix.com (NASDAQ: WIX) took a hard fall on Wednesday, Nov. 19. The Tel Aviv-based company, which provides software-as-a-se ...
Wix.com Ltd. (NASDAQ: WIX) Surpasses EPS Estimates but Misses on Revenue
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-19 15:00
Core Insights - Wix.com Ltd. is a leading global platform for creating and managing digital presence, offering services like website building, hosting, and design tools, competing with platforms such as Squarespace and WordPress [1] Financial Performance - On November 19, 2025, Wix reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.68, surpassing the estimated $1.45, indicating strong financial health and operational efficiency [2][6] - Wix's revenue for the period was approximately $505.2 million, slightly below the estimated $526 million, suggesting potential market challenges or impacts from strategic investments [2][6] Growth Metrics - The company experienced a 14% year-over-year increase in total bookings and revenue, driven by strong new cohort behavior and the success of its coding platform, Base44 [3] - Base44 has rapidly gained popularity, with over 2 million users and more than a thousand new paying subscribers joining daily, positioning it to achieve at least $50 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by year-end [3] Valuation Metrics - Wix's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 42.67, reflecting investor confidence in its earnings potential [4] - The price-to-sales ratio stands at about 3.78, indicating the value placed on each dollar of sales, while the enterprise value to sales ratio is around 3.94 [4] Financial Structure - The company has a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -8.50, suggesting a distinctive capital strategy [5] - Wix's current ratio is approximately 0.81, indicating its ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets [5] - An earnings yield of about 2.34% demonstrates a solid return on investment, underscoring its financial stability and growth potential [5]
Wix(WIX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-19 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total bookings grew to $515 million in Q3 2025, up 14% year-over-year, driven by robust new user cohorts and better-than-expected results from Base44 [15][22] - Total revenue increased to $505 million, also up 14% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of guidance [15][22] - Non-GAAP gross margin in Q3 was 69%, slightly down from 70% in Q2 [18] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $159 million, or 32% of revenue, an increase from 30% last quarter [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Partners' revenue grew 24% year-over-year to $192 million, driven by traction among professional designers and solid Studio adoption [16] - Transaction revenue was $65 million, up 20% year-over-year, driven by 13% growth in GPV [16] - Base44's share of audience traffic increased to over 10% in October, up from low single digits in June [10][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic traffic improved as more users searched for Wix online, indicating enhanced brand awareness [9] - Base44 serves over 2 million users globally, translating to more than 1,000 new paying subscribers daily [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to democratize software creation through Vibe Coding, enabling users without coding knowledge to build applications [3][5] - Base44 is positioned as a leader among low-code tools, with significant growth potential in the AI-powered app building space [6][10] - The company plans to enhance its marketing efforts to capture stronger-than-anticipated demand for Base44 [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of the core business and the ability to enter new markets effectively [14] - The company raised its full-year bookings outlook to $2,060-$2,078 million, reflecting strong performance from Base44 [22][23] - Management anticipates improved operating and free cash flow margins over time as AI costs decrease and marketing investments normalize [21][24] Other Important Information - The company issued $1.15 billion in 0% convertible senior notes due 2030, with plans to use the cash for business purposes and share repurchases [22] - The anticipated launch of a new flagship product has been delayed to early 2026 due to technical challenges [7][70] Q&A Session Summary Question: Dynamics of monthly vs. annual subscriptions for Base44 - Management noted that most Base44 users are currently on monthly subscriptions, with expectations that they will transition to annual plans over time as trust in the platform grows [28][30] Question: Cost management and AI compute expenses - Management acknowledged that while AI costs are currently high due to new user consumption, they expect to reduce these costs over time through various strategies [31][35] Question: Vision for Wix in the AI era - Management highlighted efforts to ensure that all Wix websites are indexable by LLMs and to continuously add new e-commerce standards to enhance visibility [39][40] Question: Cohort retention trends for Base44 - Management indicated that retention trends for Base44 are similar to those seen in early Wix cohorts, with expectations for improvement as brand recognition grows [42][43] Question: Pathway to improving Base44 margins - Management discussed the need for time to see improved margins as the user base matures and costs stabilize, with expectations for better profitability in the future [48][53] Question: Impact of hyper-growth on margins - Management confirmed that while there will be short-term margin pressure due to high growth and new customer acquisition costs, they anticipate margin improvement as the business scales [56][66]