Core Insights - Crown Holdings reported a year-over-year sales increase in 2025, driven by higher shipments in its European beverage business and North American tinplate [1] - The company experienced a decline in Q4 net income compared to the previous year, despite an increase in net sales for the full year [1] Financial Performance - Q4 net sales reached $3.13 billion, up 7.7% year over year [1] - Q4 net income was $201 million, down from $392 million in Q4 2024 [1] - Full-year 2025 net sales totaled $12.4 billion, an increase of 4.8% year over year [1] - Full-year 2025 net income was $883 million, compared to $560 million in 2024 [1] Beverage Trends - Beverage sales in the Americas rose over 7% year over year to $5.62 billion in 2025 [1] - Energy drinks, sparkling water, and flavored alcohols are performing well in the U.S. market [1] - Beer is showing better performance in Europe than in North America, with a shift from glass and plastic to cans driving demand [1] Aluminum Costs - Tariffs are impacting aluminum costs, creating uncertainty in long-term pricing [1] - The company is concerned about the sustainability costs being passed on to consumers [1] Capacity Planning - Crown Holdings does not plan to invest in adding capacity in North America in the next couple of years [1] - The company has limited open capacity and does not need to pursue additional capacity aggressively [1] Outlook - Executives expect North American volumes to grow by 2% to 3% in 2026, driven by food can demand [1] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share are projected to be between $7.90 and $8.30 [1] - The company anticipates approximately $900 million in adjusted free cash flow and $550 million in capital spending for capacity expansions and upgrades in Brazil, Greece, and Spain [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings per share for the quarter were $1.31, down from $3.02 in the prior year quarter, which included a $2.32 per share gain from the sale of Eviosys. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.74, up 9% from $1.59 in the prior year quarter [3][4] - Net sales increased by 8% compared to the prior year quarter, driven by a 3% increase in global beverage can volumes, $189 million from higher raw material cost pass-through, and $58 million from favorable foreign exchange [4] - Record adjusted EBITDA for the year was almost $2.1 billion, compared to $1.9 billion in 2024, with record free cash flow of $1,146 million in 2025, up from $814 million in 2024 [4][5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Segment income for the quarter was $420 million, slightly down from $428 million in the prior year, with strong performance in European Beverage offset by lower volumes in Transit Packaging [4] - North American beverage volumes were up slightly more than 1% in the quarter, with North American gains of 2.5% offset by a 3% decline in Brazil. For the full year, North American volumes were flat, while Brazil was down 3% [8][9] - European beverage volumes increased by 10% in the fourth quarter, generating record segment income, more than double what it was a few years ago [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales unit volumes across Asian operations were down 3% in the fourth quarter due to the border conflict between Cambodia and Thailand, with subdued consumer purchasing power in the region [10] - The North American tin plate business benefited from 5% food can volume growth, offsetting softness in steel aerosols during the fourth quarter [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a net leverage target of 2.5 times, achieved at the end of September 2025, down from 2.7 times at the end of 2024. The focus remains on compounding earnings, investing in the business, and returning excess cash to shareholders [5][6] - The company is committed to responsibly investing to support partners' growth while ensuring that returns on capital employed are appropriate [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving North American volume gains of 2%-3% in 2026, despite inflation and startup costs impacting EBIT [20] - The company remains bullish on European growth, projecting a potential volume growth of 4%-5% for 2026, with strong demand across various products [22][26] - Management noted that the Asian market has growth potential, with a low-cost structure allowing for commercial adjustments to drive volume growth [63] Other Important Information - The company plans to return $625 million to shareholders in 2025, consisting of $505 million in share repurchases and $120 million in dividends, compared to $336 million in 2024 [5] - The company expects full-year free cash flow for 2026 to be approximately $900 million after $550 million of capital spending [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for North America's EBIT and European volume growth - Management expects North America's EBIT to be down slightly due to inflation and startup costs, with European volume growth potentially at 4%-5% [20][22] Question: Drivers of volume growth in North America and Europe - Management highlighted strong beer growth in Europe and various product categories in North America, including energy drinks and flavored alcohols, as key drivers [25][26] Question: Free cash flow growth expectations - Management indicated that a free cash flow of around $1 billion seems reasonable and sustainable, with potential for growth aligned with volume increases [28] Question: Demand outlook in January and February - Management noted that January was impacted by weather but February has shown recovery, aligning with expectations [70][71] Question: Impact of startup costs in Brazil, Greece, and Spain - Most startup costs are expected to be second-half weighted, with some hiring and training costs occurring in Q2 [108] Question: State of the Asian market and competitive landscape - Management expressed confidence in the Asian market's growth potential, emphasizing a low-cost structure and the ability to make commercial adjustments [63] Question: Capacity utilization in North America - Management stated that capacity in North America is tight, with no immediate need for new capacity, but some open capacity exists [46][82]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company achieved record comparable diluted EPS of $3.57, a 13% increase from 2024 [12] - Adjusted free cash flow reached $956 million, up 2.4 times year-over-year [19] - The company returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends [7][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North and Central America segment comparable operating earnings increased 12% in Q4 and 3.3% for the full year [15] - EMEA segment comparable operating earnings rose 36.7% in Q4 and 19% for the full year [17] - South America segment comparable operating earnings increased 1% in Q4 and 10.5% for the full year [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global shift volumes increased by 6% in Q4 and 4.1% for the full year [12] - The North American can industry grew about 2%, while the company outpaced this with a 4.8% growth [27] - EMEA's growth was above the long-term range, with expectations for continued strong performance due to the acquisition of Benepack facilities [34][61] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to double down on profitable growth, focusing on operational excellence and customer partnerships [9][47] - The Ball Business System is central to the operational model, emphasizing customer engagement and efficiency [10][62] - The company plans to maintain EVA as a core financial lens, aligning capital spending with growth and shareholder returns [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed confidence in achieving 10%+ comparable diluted EPS growth in 2026 [21] - The company is navigating tariff complexities and geopolitical dynamics while maintaining a focus on long-term growth [16][70] - Management highlighted the importance of the aluminum can market's growth and the company's strong position within it [6][70] Other Important Information - The company completed the acquisition of two Benepack beverage can facilities, enhancing its European footprint [13] - The expected startup costs for new capacity in 2026 are approximately $35 million [16] - The company aims to reduce net debt to EBITDA to 2.5 times in the coming years while continuing shareholder returns [19][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Volume growth in North and Central America segment - Management noted a 4.8% growth in 2025, outpacing the can industry growth of about 2%, attributing success to strong customer partnerships and innovation [27][28] Question: Outlook for 2026 volume growth - Management indicated that North America is capacity constrained until the Millersburg asset is operational, expecting growth at the low end of the 1%-3% range [29] Question: Details on the Benepack acquisition - The acquisition is expected to optimize the European network and support long-term volume projections, with profitability expected to improve over time [34][41] Question: Emphasis on doubling down on profitable growth - Management clarified that this focus is to ensure operational excellence and leverage growth opportunities, aiming for 10%+ EPS growth [46][47] Question: Impact of tariffs and aluminum prices - Management confirmed that tariffs are being monitored but have no significant direct impact beyond certain costs, and the company can pass through inflationary pressures [69][70] Question: Trends in customer relationships post-management changes - Management highlighted strong long-term partnerships with strategic customers and a focus on supporting their growth [76] Question: Cost savings from the Ball Business System - Management confirmed that they are on track to deliver $500 million in cost savings ahead of schedule, with significant progress already made [78][79]

Investment Overview - Ball Corporation announced an investment of USD 60 million (approximately ₹532.5 crore) to expand production capacity at its manufacturing facility in Sri City, Andhra Pradesh, reinforcing its commitment to meet growing customer demand and strengthen the regional supply chain [1] - In 2024, Ball Corporation had previously invested nearly USD 55 million (approximately ₹488 crore) in its can manufacturing facility in Taloja, Maharashtra, and is exploring further investments in the Indian market [2] Strategic Importance - India is considered key to Ball Corporation's global strategy, with investments reflecting a focused approach to scaling operations in high-growth markets and securing long-term competitive advantage [3] - The investment supports the growth of India's beverage can market, projected to expand by over 10% annually over the next five years, driven by a shift in consumer demand towards sustainable packaging [3] Product Innovation - The company is leveraging its retort innovation technology to enable ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages and milk-based drinks to achieve extended shelf life while maintaining taste and nutritional integrity, positioning itself as a key enabler of packaging transformation in India's beverage landscape [4] Market Presence - Ball Corporation entered the Indian market in 2016 and has expanded its footprint through facilities in Taloja and Sri City, offering a wide range of beverage can formats (185ml, 250ml, 300ml, 330ml, 500ml) for both global and domestic brands [5] Company Profile - Ball Corporation supplies sustainable aluminum packaging solutions for beverage, personal care, and household products, employing 16,000 people worldwide, with reported net sales of USD 11.08 billion in 2024, excluding the divested aerospace business [6]

Summary of Ball Corporation FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) - **Key Executives**: Ron Lewis (CEO), Daniel Rabbitt (CFO) [1][2] Core Industry Insights - **Industry**: Beverage Can Manufacturing - **Market Performance**: The North American beverage can industry is experiencing significant growth, with Ball Corporation reporting a volume growth of over 4% year-on-year [16][18]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Leadership Transition**: The recent appointments of Ron Lewis as CEO and Daniel Rabbitt as CFO were unexpected but are seen as a return to the company's core values and culture [12][25]. 2. **Company Culture**: Emphasis on a strong corporate culture that values hard work, integrity, and collaboration. The company aims to return to its roots of being an excellent allocator of capital and maintaining a high-touch collaborative environment [15][21][25]. 3. **Financial Performance**: The company is on track for record earnings this year, with a long-term algorithm targeting EPS growth of 10%-15% per year and free cash flow of approximately $1.3 billion by 2030 [34][63]. 4. **Operational Excellence**: Ball Corporation is committed to achieving $500 million in productivity savings by the end of 2026, one year ahead of schedule. This is part of their operational excellence agenda [35][36]. 5. **Market Growth Projections**: - North America: Expected growth of 1%-3% - Europe: Expected growth of 3%-5% - South America: Expected growth of 4%-6% [46]. 6. **Sustainability Focus**: There is a stronger emphasis on sustainability in Europe compared to North America, with a focus on achieving a net-zero carbon footprint [50][51]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Capacity Expansion**: Ball Corporation is adding capacity in North America with a new plant expected to be operational by mid-next year, which will help meet growing demand [44]. 2. **Customer Relationships**: The company has strong contractual commitments with its customer base, which is crucial for sustaining growth [43]. 3. **Challenges and Headwinds**: Despite the positive outlook, the company acknowledges headwinds in the market and is focused on maintaining resilience and adaptability [36][52]. 4. **Capital Allocation Strategy**: The company is disciplined in its capital allocation, ensuring that growth capital is backed by long-term contracts and solid volume commitments [58][59]. Conclusion Ball Corporation is navigating a transformative period with new leadership, a strong focus on culture, and a commitment to operational excellence. The company is well-positioned for future growth in the beverage can industry, with strategic plans in place to enhance productivity and sustainability while maintaining strong customer relationships.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings for the quarter were $1.85 per share compared to a loss of $1.47 per share in the prior year quarter, with adjusted earnings per share at $2.24 compared to $1.99 in the prior year quarter [3] - Net sales in the quarter increased by 4.2% compared to the prior year, reflecting a 12% increase in shipments across European beverage [4] - Segment income was $490 million in the quarter compared to $472 million in the prior year, indicating year-on-year improvements in segment income, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow [4][5] - Free cash flow improved to $887 million from $668 million in the prior year [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - European beverage posted a record quarter with income 27% above the prior year on the back of 12% volume growth [9] - North American beverage volumes were down 3% in the quarter, with a 5% decline in Brazil and Mexico contributing to this decrease [9][10] - Transit packaging income remained level to the prior year, with increased shipments offsetting the impact of lower equipment activity [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American volumes were mixed, down 3% after a slow start in July and August, but rebounded in September [9] - Latin American volumes were down 5%, primarily due to a 15% volume decline across Brazil and Mexico [9] - European beverage growth was driven by market share gains and substitution, with strong demand noted in the Gulf states [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company achieved its long-term net leverage target of 2.5x and remains committed to a healthy balance sheet while returning excess cash to shareholders [5] - The company is raising its guidance for full-year adjusted EPS to $7.70-$7.80, projecting fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.65-$1.75 [5][6] - The company is focused on continuous operational improvements and maintaining a strong balance sheet to support shareholder returns [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted limited direct impact from tariffs but remains attentive to indirect effects on global consumer and industrial demand [5] - The company expects the fourth quarter in Brazil to return to growth, supported by government initiatives to lower interest rates [9] - Management expressed confidence in the European market's growth potential, emphasizing that historical growth rates of 4%-5% are expected to continue [18] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $105 million of common stock in the quarter and $314 million year-to-date, returning over $400 million to shareholders this year [4] - The company is monitoring the impact of the Novelis fire on the industry but does not foresee a significant negative impact on its operations [110] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth in Europe and potential concerns - Management indicated that the 12% growth in Europe is not expected to be sustainable quarter after quarter, with historical growth rates around 4%-5% being more realistic [17][18] Question: Americas EBIT outlook and impact from Mexico and Brazil - Management confirmed that the $1 billion EBIT target is still aspirational but achievable this year, with Brazil and Mexico contributing negatively to the Americas beverage segment [26][27] Question: North American beverage volumes and market dynamics - Management noted that the underperformance in North America was primarily due to pruning a complicated customer account, with overall market growth expected to be positive [32][98] Question: Capital allocation and free cash flow for 2026 - Management stated that they expect to maintain a strong cash flow and will responsibly return cash to shareholders, with potential for share buybacks depending on market conditions [90][92] Question: Impact of Novelis fire on the industry - Management indicated that while there is no direct impact on Crown, they are monitoring the situation as it may affect some customers [110]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings for the quarter were $1.85 per share compared to a loss of $1.47 per share in the prior year quarter, with adjusted earnings per share at $2.24 compared to $1.99 in the prior year quarter [4] - Net sales in the quarter increased by 4.2% compared to the prior year, driven by a 12% increase in shipments across European beverage [4] - Free cash flow improved to $887 million from $668 million in the prior year, reflecting higher income and lower capital spending [5] - Segment income was $490 million in the quarter compared to $472 million in the prior year, indicating year-on-year improvements in segment income, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - European beverage posted a record quarter with income 27% above the prior year, supported by 12% volume growth [13] - Americas beverage volumes were down 5% in the quarter, primarily due to a 15% volume decline across Brazil and Mexico [12] - North American volumes were mixed, down 3% overall, but showed a rebound of 3% in September [12] - Transit packaging income remained level to the prior year, with increased shipments offsetting the impact of lower equipment activity [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Delivered aluminum reached $2.1 per pound, up $0.74 per pound or 54% in the last ten months, impacting North American beverage margins [9][10] - European beverage growth was driven by market growth and substitution, with margins remaining strong despite lower Southeast Asian volumes [13][14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to maintaining a healthy balance sheet while returning excess cash to shareholders, having achieved its long-term net leverage target of 2.5 times [5][6] - The company expects to continue benefiting from strong demand in European beverage and improving cost structures across its operations [8][14] - The company is cautious about future growth rates, indicating that while 12% growth was achieved, historical growth rates in the can business are typically lower [22][47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management raised guidance for the full year adjusted EPS to $7.7 to $7.8, projecting fourth quarter adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.65 to $1.75 [6] - Management noted limited direct impact from tariffs but remains attentive to indirect effects on global consumer and industrial demand [5][6] - The company expects fourth quarter in Brazil to return to growth, supported by government initiatives to lower interest rates [12] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $105 million of common stock in the quarter and $314 million year to date, returning more than $400 million to shareholders this year [5] - The company is monitoring the impact of the Novelis fire, which has a more significant effect on other customers but not directly on its operations [126] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth in Europe and potential concerns about pre-buying - Management indicated that the growth in Europe is driven by underlying market growth and substitution, with historical growth rates expected to be around 4% to 5% [22][47] Question: Outlook for Americas EBIT and impact from Mexico and Brazil - Management confirmed that the EBIT target of $1 billion is still aspirational but achievable this year, with significant impacts from Brazil and Mexico noted [30] Question: North American market performance and promotional spending - Management acknowledged underperformance due to customer pruning but noted that the overall market was estimated to be up 2% [39][40] Question: Capacity and growth expectations in Europe - Management expressed confidence in their capacity to meet demand, with ongoing investments in new lines in Germany and Greece [85][86] Question: Capital allocation and share repurchase strategy - Management emphasized flexibility in capital allocation, with potential for share repurchases depending on market conditions [106][107]

Core Insights - Crown Holdings, Inc. reported strong third-quarter earnings, with adjusted earnings per share of $2.24, surpassing analyst expectations of $2 [2] - The company's quarterly revenue reached $3.2 billion, exceeding the Street estimate of $3.12 billion [2] Financial Performance - Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 13% compared to the previous year, while segment income rose by 4% [3] - The European Beverage segment experienced a significant volume growth of 12%, contributing to a 27% increase in European segment income [4] Market Outlook - Crown Holdings raised its fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS guidance from a range of $7.10 to $7.50 to a new range of $7.70 to $7.80, compared to the analyst estimate of $7.39 [4] - The stock price of Crown Holdings increased by 7.51%, reaching $101 in extended trading [5]

Core Insights - Crown Holdings, Inc. is a leading global packaging company, focusing on consumer goods packaging, with key segments including beverage cans, food cans, and aerosol containers [1] - The company is set to release its quarterly earnings on October 20, 2025, with analysts estimating an EPS of $1.98 and projected revenue of approximately $3.13 billion [1] Financial Performance Expectations - Analysts expect Crown Holdings to report an EPS of $1.98, reflecting a slight decline of 0.5% from the previous year, while revenues are anticipated to rise by 3.9% to $3.19 billion for the quarter ending September 2025 [2][6] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 1.1% over the past 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [2] Market Sentiment and Stock Impact - The Zacks Consensus Estimate aligns with Wall Street's outlook, predicting an EPS of $1.98, which underscores market expectations for Crown's performance [3] - The upcoming earnings report could significantly impact Crown's stock price, with potential upward movement if actual earnings exceed estimates, or a decline if they fall short [3] Analyst Ratings and Valuation Metrics - Crown Holdings has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects and indicating it could be an attractive choice for investors [4][6] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 19.26, a price-to-sales ratio of about 0.89, and an enterprise value to sales ratio of 1.36, indicating how the market values its earnings and sales [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q2 2025, comparable diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased to $0.90 from $0.74 in Q2 2024, representing a 22% increase [8] - Comparable net earnings for Q2 2025 were $249 million, driven by higher volume and cost management initiatives, partially offset by higher interest expense and lower interest income [8][10] - The company returned $1.13 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In North and Central America, volume growth was driven by energy drinks and non-alcoholic beverages, although product mix and cost to serve headwinds impacted margins [8][9] - EMEA segment volume remained robust with a 14% increase in comparable operating earnings, driven by sustained volume growth and operational efficiency [9] - South America saw a 38% increase in segment comparable operating earnings, supported by strong performance in Argentina and Chile, despite Brazil underperforming [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global beverage can shipments increased by 4.3% year over year in 2025 [10] - The company anticipates North American volume growth near the top end of the 1% to 3% long-term range, driven by strong demand in non-alcoholic categories [12] - EMEA is expected to see mid-single-digit volume growth in 2025, while South America is projected to exceed the 4% to 6% long-term range due to recovery in Argentina and Chile [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for 12% to 15% comparable diluted EPS growth for 2025, focusing on operational excellence, disciplined cost control, and enhancing productivity [11][15] - The strategic focus includes leveraging the resilience of the global portfolio and managing ongoing uncertainties related to tariffs and geopolitical conditions [15][16] - The company is committed to future-proofing its business by securing long-term contracts and optimizing its operational footprint [16][127] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating external volatility and achieving financial objectives despite geopolitical uncertainties [17] - The company anticipates that the defensive nature of its portfolio will help manage potential economic uncertainties [12][17] - Management noted that while inflationary pressures could impact volume, the current consumer behavior favors multipack purchases, which may sustain demand [88][80] Other Important Information - The company expects to repurchase at least $1.3 billion of shares in 2025, having already purchased $1 billion year to date [14] - Full-year 2025 effective tax rate on comparable earnings is expected to be slightly above 22% due to lower year-over-year tax credits [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the outperformance in non-alcohol categories in North America? - Management noted strong growth in energy drinks, with one strategic partner growing nearly 20%, and highlighted successful promotional activities driving multipack purchases [22][24] Question: Why were margins down 140 basis points in North America? - Management attributed margin decline to operational inefficiencies due to unexpected growth, product mix changes, and tariff impacts [26][27] Question: Can Europe benefit from margin expansion like North America? - Management indicated that while margins may not improve significantly, operational leverage will remain consistent, with expectations of mid-single-digit growth [31] Question: How are customer conversations regarding tariffs and pricing strategies evolving? - Management stated that discussions about 2026 pricing are premature, but noted that customers are focused on managing current tariff impacts [38][39] Question: What is the outlook for Brazil's market performance? - Management expressed optimism for recovery in Brazil, citing strong performance from a key customer and overall market growth expectations [52][54] Question: How is the company preparing for potential demand slowdowns? - Management indicated that current trends in multipack purchasing are favorable, and they do not anticipate a slowdown in demand [80][81] Question: What is the impact of scrap metal pricing on the business? - Management stated that scrap metal pricing has been negligible, with more concern about demand side impacts from tariffs [140]