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Nvidia(NVDA) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-27 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 2026 was $46.7 billion, exceeding expectations and showing sequential growth across all market platforms [6][30] - Data center revenue grew 56% year over year, with a sequential increase despite a $4 billion decline in previous revenue [6][30] - GAAP gross margin was 72.4%, and non-GAAP gross margin was 72.7%, benefiting from previously reserved inventory [30][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Data center revenue was significantly driven by the Blackwell platform, which grew sequentially by 17% [7][8] - Gaming revenue reached a record $4.3 billion, a 14% sequential increase and a 49% year-over-year jump, driven by Blackwell GeForce GPUs [25][26] - Professional visualization revenue increased by 32% year over year, reaching $601 million, fueled by high-end RTX workstation GPUs [27] - Automotive revenue, including in-car compute revenue, was $586 million, up 69% year over year, primarily due to self-driving solutions [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - China represented a low single-digit percentage of data center revenue, with significant revenue from Singapore, accounting for 22% of billed revenue [25] - The European Union plans to invest €20 billion to establish AI factories, indicating a growing market for AI infrastructure [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI infrastructure, anticipating $3 to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spending by the end of the decade [7][43] - The transition to the new GB 300 architecture is expected to enhance performance and efficiency, with widespread market availability anticipated in the second half of the year [9][10] - The company aims to maintain its leadership in AI technology and compete globally, emphasizing the importance of developer support [11][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the rapid growth in AI infrastructure investments, driven by various factors including reasoning agentic AI and enterprise AI adoption [14][96] - The geopolitical environment remains a concern, particularly regarding shipments to China, with potential revenue of $2 billion to $5 billion in Q3 if issues are resolved [12][46] - The company expects total revenue for Q3 to be around $54 billion, with continued growth driven by data center and gaming segments [32][33] Other Important Information - The company returned $10 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, with a new $60 billion share repurchase authorization approved [31] - The company is on track for significant growth in sovereign AI revenue, expecting over $20 billion this year, more than double from the previous year [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the vision for growth into 2026? - Management emphasized the evolution of reasoning agentic AI as a key growth driver, with significant increases in computational requirements [39][40] Question: What needs to happen for H20 shipments to China? - Management indicated that geopolitical issues need resolution, and there is potential for $2 billion to $5 billion in shipments if licenses are approved [48][49] Question: How does NVIDIA view the competitive landscape with ASICs? - Management noted that while many ASIC projects are initiated, few reach production due to the complexity of accelerated computing compared to general-purpose computing [50][51] Question: What is the opportunity for Spectrum XGS? - Management highlighted that Spectrum XGS is crucial for connecting multiple data centers and AI factories, with significant potential for revenue growth [73][78] Question: How does the company view the long-term prospects in China? - Management estimated a $50 billion opportunity in China this year, with expectations for 50% annual growth, emphasizing the importance of addressing this market [67][68]
NVIDIA's Data Center Grows Fast: Can It Sustain the Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 14:56
Key Takeaways NVIDIA's Data Center revenues surged 73.3% year over year to $39.1 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026.Strong adoption of Blackwell and demand from hyperscalers like Microsoft, Google and Amazon drove growth.U.S. export approval for H20 chips to China and new AI chip plans further support Data Center momentum.NVIDIA Corporation’s (NVDA) Data Center business has become its primary growth engine, driven by increasing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. In the first quarter of fiscal 20 ...
Citi raises AMD and Nvidia price targets
Finbold· 2025-07-07 13:43
Core Viewpoint - Citi is becoming more optimistic about the semiconductor sector, raising price targets for Nvidia and AMD as the AI race accelerates [1][6] Nvidia - Nvidia's price target has been increased to $190 from $180, with a Buy rating reiterated by Citi [1] - The total addressable market (TAM) for AI data center semiconductors is now expected to reach $563 billion by 2028, up from a previous estimate of $500 billion [2] - The growth is attributed to stronger-than-expected sovereign investment in AI infrastructure and increasing demand in networking [2] - Networking TAM forecast has been revised to $119 billion from $90 billion, now accounting for 21% of the broader AI data center opportunity in 2028 [3] - Nvidia's networking revenue forecast has been raised by 12% for FY27 and by 27% for FY28, with networking expected to represent around one-fifth of total data center revenue [3] - The rollout of Nvidia's Blackwell platform is on track, with rapid deployments and concerns about chip supply being potentially overstated [4] AMD - AMD's price target has been increased to $145 from $120, while maintaining a Neutral rating [5] - The adjustment is part of the Q2 semiconductor earnings preview, indicating signs of a sector rebound driven by stronger-than-expected demand and ongoing inventory restocking [5] - AMD's raised target suggests potential for upside if the industry's recovery continues [6]
Prediction: Nvidia Will Soar in the Second Half
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-06 22:10
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia has experienced significant stock fluctuations but is expected to rebound strongly in the second half of the year due to various growth drivers in the AI market and its own product developments [3][15]. Company Overview - Nvidia's stock surged over 800% in the past two years, driven by explosive earnings growth and its position as a leading supplier of AI chips [1]. - The company initially gained recognition for its GPUs in gaming but successfully expanded into AI through the development of the CUDA parallel computing platform [5]. Financial Performance - Nvidia's revenue has skyrocketed due to its focus on AI, with gross margins exceeding 70% in recent quarters, although a recent charge related to export controls reduced the latest quarter's gross margin to 60% [6][8]. - The stock is currently priced at 36 times forward earnings estimates, down from over 50 times, indicating potential for further growth [9]. Market Conditions - Trade-related news suggests that U.S. tariff levels may not be as high as initially feared, which could positively impact growth stocks like Nvidia [10]. - The overall AI market is booming, with forecasts indicating it could reach trillions of dollars in the coming years, benefiting Nvidia as a leading AI chip supplier [13]. Future Outlook - Strong spending plans from major customers like Meta Platforms and Alphabet, along with the recent launch of Nvidia's Blackwell platform, are expected to drive revenue growth in the upcoming quarter [11]. - The anticipated rollout of the Blackwell Ultra chip in the second half of the year may serve as a catalyst for further stock price appreciation [12]. - Despite challenges such as export restrictions to China, Nvidia has multiple growth drivers that could sustain earnings growth into the future [14].
Nvidia Passes Its Latest Test. Here's What It Means for Investors.
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-03 12:35
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock performance has shifted as investor expectations have aligned with the company's growth trajectory, leading to less room for surprises despite strong earnings results [2][5][6]. Financial Performance - Nvidia reported a 78% increase in revenue year-over-year for the fourth quarter, reaching $39.3 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $38.2 billion [3]. - The data center segment, driven by AI computing, saw a remarkable 93% revenue growth, totaling $35.6 billion [3]. - Gross margin decreased from 76% to 73% due to increased production costs for the new Blackwell platform, while earnings per share rose 82% to $0.89, exceeding the consensus of $0.85 [4]. Future Outlook - For the first quarter, Nvidia anticipates revenue of approximately $43 billion, indicating a 9% sequential growth and a 65% year-over-year increase [4]. - The company is expected to face challenges in delivering breakout performance as market expectations have adjusted to its current growth rate [6][9]. Competitive Landscape - Nvidia continues to dominate the AI computing infrastructure market, fending off competition from companies like Intel and AMD with advancements in its Blackwell platform [10]. - CEO Jensen Huang addressed concerns regarding competition from DeepSeek's low-cost AI model, emphasizing the growing demand for AI computing [7][8]. Valuation - Nvidia's stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43, which is considered attractive given the company's 78% revenue growth, although this growth rate is expected to slow [11]. - Long-term prospects remain strong as Nvidia is positioned to lead the AI revolution, but near-term expectations should be tempered as the current growth trajectory is well understood [12].