J P M O R G A N Global Markets Strategy 12 November 2025 2026/27 Agri Markets Outlook Volatility to return off compressed levels in 2026, as global agri availability continues to slide See page 29 for analyst certification and important disclosures. J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report ...

Group 1 - Wheat prices are experiencing a decline across winter wheat contracts, while spring wheat remains higher [1] - The wheat complex saw losses on Friday, with CBT soft red wheat futures down by 1 to 2 cents, and KC HRW futures down by 2 to 3 cents, resulting in a weekly loss of 7.5 cents for December [1] - The US dollar index increased by $0.334 to $97.305, adding pressure to commodity prices [1] Group 2 - The 7-day weather forecast predicts 1-3 inches of rain in the eastern Central Plain, extending to the Appalachian range [2] - The Commitment of Traders report indicated that spec funds reduced their net short position in Chicago wheat futures by 6,569 contracts, totaling 85,825 contracts, and in Kansas City wheat futures by 1,491 contracts, totaling 51,534 contracts as of September 16 [2] Group 3 - The weekly Export Sales report showed accumulated wheat sales at 13.156 million metric tons (MMT), which is 20% larger than last year and a 5-year high for that week, representing 54% of the USDA wheat export projection [3] - Closing prices for various wheat futures on December 25 showed declines, with CBOT Wheat down 1.75 cents to $5.22 1/2 and KCBT Wheat down 2.75 cents to $5.07 1/4 [3]

The wheat complex added to the weakness on Friday, with losses across the three markets. CBT soft red wheat futures were 1 to 2 cents in the red, with December just a penny lower this week. KC HRW futures were down 2 to 3 cents on Friday, taking the weekly loss to 7 ½ cents for December. MPLS spring wheat futures posted 3 to 4 ¼ cent losses, with December down 4 ¼ cent since last Friday. The US dollar index bounced into the Friday close, adding pressure to the commodities, up $0.334 to $97.305. The 7-day ...

The wheat market is showing some slight gains at the midday part of the Monday session. CBT soft red wheat futures are 1to 2 cents higher at midday. KC HRW futures are 1 to 2 cents in the green so far on Monday. There were 22 deliveries against September, which expired on Friday, with the monthly total at 663. MPLS spring wheat is trading with contracts fractionally mixed at midday USDA tallied wheat export shipments at 775,073 MT (27.479 mbu) during the week ending on September 11. That was 80.6% above l ...