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How smart traders cash in on the market's volatility
Youtube· 2025-10-08 22:56
[Music] Welcome to Stocks and Translation, Yahoo Finance's video podcast that cuts through the market mayhem, the noisy numbers, and the hyperbole to give you the information you need to make the right trade for your portfolio. I'm Jared Blickery, your host. And with me is Yahoo Finance's Brooke Depal, who's here to connect the dots and to be your personal bridge between Wall Street and Main Street.And today we're going to be looking into the recent bullish price action in technicals and stocks and crypto a ...
Carmax’s 2 Top 10 Unusually Active Options Sets Up for a Long Strangle: Should You Make the Bet?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 17:30
Company Overview - Carmax is the largest used-car retailer in the U.S. and also conducts wholesale vehicle auctions, making it one of the largest in the country [7] - The company reported its Q2 2026 results, with shares declining by 20% following the announcement [7] Financial Performance - Carmax missed both top and bottom-line analyst estimates for the quarter, with revenues of $6.6 billion, which is 6% lower than the previous year and $410 million below Wall Street consensus [8] - The earnings per share were 99 cents, falling short by six cents of analyst expectations [8] - The company experienced a decline in sales each month during the quarter, indicating a weakening trend [9] Market Context - Despite the S&P 500's increase of nearly 13% in 2025, most used-car buyers are financially constrained [10] - U.S. household wealth reached $176.3 trillion at the end of June, but the growth in wealth is likely concentrated among the top 10% of Americans, who may not be the primary customers for used cars [11] Stock Performance - Following the recent decline, Carmax's market value has decreased by 44% in 2025, now standing at $6.84 billion, a level not seen since 2016 [12] - Technical analysis suggests a potential for further decline, with a strong sell rating indicating a 100% certainty of continued price decrease [13] Analyst Ratings - Among 19 analysts covering Carmax, 11 rate it a Buy with a target price of $77.94, which is 71% higher than its current share price [13] - Analysts are generally slow to revise target prices downward, which may not reflect the current market conditions accurately [13] Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP rose by 3.8% on an annualized basis in the second quarter, but this growth was partly due to a decline in imports from tariffs [14] - Household debt reached $185 billion in the second quarter, with a delinquency rate of 4.4%, indicating potential financial strain on consumers [15] Options Strategy - A long strangle strategy involving a $47.50 call and a $40 put was set up, requiring Carmax's share price to exceed $49.55 or drop below $37.95 to be profitable [16] - The expected price movement is 7.38% in either direction, with a profit probability of only 27.3% [17]
Amazon Stock Could Extend Breakout on the Charts
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-03 13:37
Core Insights - Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock has surpassed its November 2024 highs and January 2025 lows, indicating a potential bullish trend [1] - The stock has cleared significant resistance levels, including the year-to-date breakeven level and the +10% year-to-date level, which may now act as support [1] - A notable increase in call volume on Friday suggests a potential turning point or breakout for the stock [2] Options Analysis - The recommended call option for AMZN has a leverage ratio of 9.8, indicating a strong potential for profit [2][3] - This call option is expected to double in value with a 10.3% increase in the underlying equity [2][3] - The current market conditions, including a heavy put bias and affordable options pricing, suggest it may be an opportune time to invest in AMZN [2]
This Oil & Gas Stock is Ready to Make a Move
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-13 15:44
Group 1: Options Trading Insights - The recommended September call option has a leverage ratio of 7.5 and will double on a 13.6% gain in the underlying security [1] - A front-month gamma-weighted Schaeffer's open interest ratio (SOIR) above 1.00 may indicate an immediate pending move [1] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is in the 19th percentile of its annual range, suggesting options are a preferred trading route [1] Group 2: ONEOK, Inc. Stock Analysis - ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE:OKE) is attempting to establish a low at its 2020 highs, 2024 summer lows, and spring 2025 lows [2] - The shares are maintaining open interest (OI) balance at the 80-strike, with a previous low found at the peak put 75 strike in April [2] Group 3: Options Trading Services - Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader received commentary on OKE along with detailed options trade recommendations [3] - OKE options are currently affordably priced, indicating potential for movement [3] - The service aims to provide structured plans with clear entry and exit points for traders [4]
Restaurant Stock With Clear Path to Previous Records
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-06 19:50
Core Viewpoint - Brinker International Inc (NYSE:EAT) is experiencing a breakout above the $165-$168 range, indicating a strong buying opportunity as it approaches its all-time high of $192.22 from February 4 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock has shown a significant year-to-date gain of 31.4% and a remarkable 148.9% increase over the last 12 months, suggesting strong performance [3] - The equity is bouncing sharply off its 10-month moving average, indicating potential upward momentum [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment - Analysts are generally bearish on EAT, with 14 out of 18 firms rating it as "hold" or worse, suggesting potential for upgrades [3] - There is a high level of put open interest at the 170-strike, with a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 2.40, ranking in the 98th percentile of annual readings, indicating prevailing pessimism that could reverse [2] Group 3: Short Selling and Options - Brinker International stock is positioned for a potential short squeeze, with 11.9% of its available float sold short, many of which are currently underwater [3] - The recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 7.4, which could double with a 14.4% gain in the underlying security [3]
eBay Stock Has Technical Support in Place
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-23 16:43
Core Insights - eBay Inc (NASDAQ:EBAY) stock is poised to close above its post-May options expiration week open interest balance at the 70-strike, potentially breaking out above a significant weekly wick resistance area, which would indicate a new 52-week high and strong technical momentum [2] Group 1: Stock Performance - eBay has experienced a 15% year-to-date gain and a 65% rally since the beginning of 2024, yet market sentiment remains cautious with only three analysts rating it a "buy" [4] - The stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio stands at 1.43, ranking in the 97th annual percentile, indicating significant negative sentiment that could reverse and support further price increases [4] Group 2: Short Interest and Options - Short interest in eBay has decreased by 6.3% over the last two weeks, with short interest representing 4.6% of the stock's float, suggesting that additional covering could maintain bullish control [5] - The recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 10.6, indicating that it will double with a 9.3% move in the underlying shares [5]
Interactive Brokers Stock Could Continue to Climb
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-09 18:19
Group 1 - The security is supported by its 200-day trendline and peak put open interest at the 165-strike, indicating strong technical support levels [1] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 89 out of 100, suggesting it has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [1] - The recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 7.7, which will double with a 13% increase in the underlying security [1] Group 2 - Interactive Brokers Group Inc (NASDAQ:IBKR) has recently surpassed its 50-day moving average and the $177-$180 pivot range, indicating bullish momentum [2] - The stock is trading above its year-to-date breakeven level and has achieved approximately a 50% year-over-year gain as of the last close [2] Group 3 - Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader options recommendation service received detailed commentary and trade recommendations for IBKR, highlighting its popularity [3] - The stock is currently trading above multiple layers of support, reinforcing its positive outlook [3] Group 4 - Schaeffer's Trade of the Week service offers a single, well-researched trade recommendation each week, aimed at providing clarity and focus for traders [4] - This service is designed for traders seeking a reliable strategy without the distraction of multiple alerts [4]