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Dutch Bros vs. Wingstop: Which Stock Has Stronger Growth Plan?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 14:56
Core Insights - Dutch Bros Inc. and Wingstop Inc. are rapidly expanding in the quick-service restaurant industry with distinct growth strategies [1][2] - Both companies are enhancing their market presence while facing challenges such as inflation and cautious consumer spending [3] Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) - Dutch Bros is focused on disciplined expansion, aiming to reach 2,029 shops by 2029, supported by a total addressable market of 7,000 shops [5] - In Q1 2025, total revenues increased by 29% year-over-year to $355.2 million, driven by shop openings and improved productivity [6] - The company opened 30 shops in the quarter and plans to accelerate openings, targeting at least 160 system shop openings in 2025 [7] - Initiatives like order-ahead and loyalty programs are being implemented to enhance same-shop sales performance and customer convenience [8] Wingstop Inc. (WING) - Wingstop's system-wide sales rose by 15.7% to $1.3 billion in Q1 2025, marking the highest quarterly sales in the company's history [9] - The company opened a record 126 net new restaurants in the quarter and raised its 2025 unit growth guidance to 16-17%, indicating 410-435 net new openings [11] - International expansion is a key growth driver, with new markets like Kuwait and Australia showing strong demand [12] - Wingstop is utilizing AI-powered solutions to improve order consistency and enhance guest experience [13] Financial Performance & Valuations - Dutch Bros' stock has gained 5.3% over the past three months, while Wingstop's shares have surged by 63.2% [15] - Dutch Bros is trading below Wingstop on a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio [16] - EPS estimates for Wingstop have trended upward, while those for Dutch Bros remain unchanged, with BROS projected to improve by 24.5% and WING by 6.6% in 2025 [20] Conclusion - Wingstop is better positioned for growth due to its faster global expansion, strong brand partner confidence, and ability to open higher-performing restaurants [24] - Dutch Bros is building a steady growth story with a focus on customer experience and operational improvements, but Wingstop's superior performance and growth momentum provide it with a competitive edge [25]
Buy Chipotle Mexican Grill on the Sell-Off? Or Is This Growth Machine a Better Choice?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-11 16:05
Company Overview - Chipotle Mexican Grill operates fast-food restaurants and has experienced a long period of growth, but its first-quarter 2025 performance was disappointing [2] - Wingstop is also a fast-food chain that has shown popularity and growth over the years, but its first-quarter 2025 results were not as strong as previous periods [5] Financial Performance - Chipotle's sales increased by 6.4%, but same-store sales declined by 0.4%, indicating that growth was driven by new locations rather than returning customers [4] - Wingstop's revenue grew by 15.7%, with same-store sales up by 0.5% in the U.S., although this was a decrease from the previous quarter's 10.1% growth [6] Valuation and Dividends - Both Chipotle and Wingstop have price-to-earnings ratios around 45, with Wingstop's recent price pullback reducing its previously higher P/E ratio compared to Chipotle [8] - Chipotle does not pay a dividend, while Wingstop offers a low dividend yield of approximately 0.4% [9] Business Model Comparison - Chipotle operates nearly all of its restaurants, while about 98% of Wingstop's locations are operated by franchisees, affecting operational control [10] - Chipotle's model allows for more direct control over customer experience and adaptability in a challenging market, which may appeal to conservative investors [12] Market Position and Strategy - Both companies rely on the appeal of their food offerings, but Chipotle's ability to adjust its operations may provide a competitive edge in a weak sales environment [13]
Compared to Estimates, Wingstop (WING) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 15:30
Core Insights - Wingstop reported revenue of $171.09 million for the quarter ended March 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 17.4% and a surprise of +0.37% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $170.46 million [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.99, slightly up from $0.98 a year ago, with an EPS surprise of +17.86% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.84 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Domestic same store sales growth was 0.5%, below the estimated 2.3% by analysts [4] - Total system-wide restaurants reached 2,689, exceeding the average estimate of 2,633 [4] - Company-owned domestic same store sales growth was 1.4%, compared to the estimated 2.1% [4] - The number of domestic company-owned restaurants at the end of the period was 51, matching the average estimate [4] - New restaurant openings in international franchised activity were 30, surpassing the average estimate of 20 [4] - New restaurant openings in domestic franchised activity totaled 96, exceeding the average estimate of 51 [4] - The number of international franchised restaurants at the end of the period was 388, above the average estimate of 379 [4] - Total domestic restaurants reached 2,301, compared to the estimated 2,255 [4] Revenue Breakdown - Royalty revenue, franchise fees, and other totaled $78.78 million, slightly below the average estimate of $79.05 million, with a year-over-year change of +17.4% [4] - Company-owned restaurant sales revenue was $30.05 million, exceeding the average estimate of $29.82 million, reflecting a +5.3% year-over-year change [4] - Advertising fees revenue was $62.27 million, close to the average estimate of $62.32 million, with a year-over-year increase of +24.2% [4]