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Cisco Drops 6% Post Q4 Results: Time to Buy CSCO Shares on the Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 16:51
Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares have declined 6% following the fiscal Q4 2025 results, primarily due to slowing momentum in networking revenues, which grew 12% year over year to $7.63 billion [1][8] - The decline in stock price presents a potential buying opportunity for investors, especially considering Cisco's strong momentum in AI [1] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q4 2025, AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million, leading to total revenues of $2 billion for fiscal 2025, which is double the management's original expectations [2] - Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) reached $31.1 billion, up 5%, with product ARR growing by 8%. Total subscription revenues increased 3% year over year to $7.9 billion, accounting for 54% of total revenues [3] - Total Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) increased 6% year over year to $43.5 billion, with product RPO growing 8% [3] Market Position and Comparisons - Year to date, CSCO shares have appreciated 11.8%, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which has appreciated 13.7%, and peers Broadcom (AVGO) and Arista Networks (ANET), which have appreciated 32.1% and 24.2%, respectively [4] - Cisco's shares are trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.65X, compared to the industry average of 4.14X, but are trading at a discount compared to Arista Networks and Broadcom [15][18] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Cisco expects revenues between $59 billion and $60 billion, an increase from $56.7 billion in fiscal 2025, with projected non-GAAP earnings per share between $4 and $4.06 [8][13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $56.58 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.2%, while the consensus for earnings is $4.02 per share, reflecting a growth of 5.5% [14] Strategic Initiatives - Cisco's aggressive push into AI and its growing security business are significant growth drivers, with strong demand for products like Cisco Secure Access and XDR [9][11] - The partnership with NVIDIA is expected to enhance Cisco's AI capabilities, offering solutions for AI-ready data center networks [12] Investment Outlook - An expanding portfolio positions Cisco for sustained growth in the evolving tech landscape, particularly in AI and security [21] - Cisco currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable investment opportunity for accumulation [21]
Cisco's Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y, Shares Down
ZACKS· 2025-08-14 18:01
Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 non-GAAP earnings of 99 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.06% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 13.8% [1] - Revenues reached $14.67 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.47% and showing a year-over-year growth of 7.6% [1] - Total Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) were $31.1 billion, up 5%, with product ARR growth of 8% [1] Financial Performance - Fourth-quarter revenues from Networking were $7.63 billion, up 12% year over year; Security revenues were $1.95 billion, up 9%; Collaboration revenues were $1.04 billion, up 2%; and Observability revenues were $259 million, up 4% [4] - Total Product revenues in Q4 were $10.89 billion, accounting for 74.2% of total revenues, with a year-over-year increase of 10%; Service Revenues were $3.79 billion, flat year over year [5] - Operating expenses totaled $5 billion, up 3.6% year over year, but as a percentage of revenues, they declined by 130 basis points; non-GAAP operating income was $5.03 billion, up 13.3% year over year, with an operating margin of 34.3% [10] Regional Performance - Americas' revenues increased 9% year over year to $8.82 billion; EMEA revenues climbed 4% to $3.65 billion; APJC revenues rose 7% to $2.21 billion [6] AI Infrastructure and Partnerships - AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million, contributing to total revenues of $2 billion in fiscal 2025, which is double the original expectation [6][9] - Cisco's partnership with NVIDIA is enhancing its offerings, particularly in AI infrastructure, with the integration of Cisco Nexus switches and NVIDIA's Spectrum-X architecture [7] Balance Sheet and Shareholder Returns - As of July 26, 2025, cash and cash equivalents and investments totaled $16.1 billion, up from $15.6 billion; total debt decreased to $28.1 billion from $29.2 billion [11] - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) were $43.5 billion, up 6%, with 50% expected to be recognized as revenues in the next 12 months; Cisco returned $2.9 billion to stockholders through share buybacks and dividends [12] Guidance - For Q1 fiscal 2026, Cisco expects non-GAAP earnings between 97 cents and 99 cents per share, with revenues projected between $14.65 billion and $14.85 billion [13] - For fiscal 2026, non-GAAP earnings are expected to be between $4 and $4.06 per share, with revenues anticipated between $59 billion and $60 billion [14]
Cisco Systems(CSCO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-13 20:30
Financial Performance - Q4 FY25 - Cisco's Q4 FY25 revenue reached $14673 million, an increase of 8% year-over-year[5,30,36,37] - Non-GAAP EPS was $099, up 14% year-over-year[5,37] - Total RPO increased by 6% year-over-year to $435 billion, with product RPO up 8% year-over-year[5,31] - Total ARR grew by 5% year-over-year to $311 billion, with product ARR up 8% year-over-year[5,31] Financial Performance - FY25 - FY25 revenue was $56654 million, a 5% increase year-over-year[40,41] - FY25 Non-GAAP EPS was $381, a 2% increase year-over-year[41] - The company returned $124 billion to shareholders in FY25[5,39] AI and Infrastructure - AI infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million in Q4, bringing the FY25 total to over $2 billion, more than double the original target[5,12] - Product orders increased by 7% year-over-year, with growth across all geographies[5,34,35] - Data Center Switching orders grew in the mid-teens year-over-year[12] Guidance - Cisco projects Q1 FY26 revenue between $1465 billion and $1485 billion[44] - Cisco anticipates FY26 revenue between $59 billion and $60 billion[45]