云基础设施服务 深信服（300454.SZ） 增持-A(维持) 收入端稳健增长，Q2 单季度实现扭亏 2025 年 8 月 25 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 | 市场数据：2025 年 8 | 月 | 22 日 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | | | 119.85 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | | | 142.00/42.70 | | 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 | | | 2.78/4.22 | | | 股）： | | | | | | 流通 A 股市值（亿）： | | | | 333.53 | | 总市值（亿）： | | | | 505.63 | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 6 | 日 30 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | -0.54 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | -0.54 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 21.41 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | -2.52 | 方闻千 执业登记编码：S0760524050 ...

The Zacks Computer - Networking industry is expected to get a boost from momentum in cloud computing, network security, big data and cloud storage and next-gen connectivity amid the rapid use cases of AI technology. Explosive demand for AI workloads and hyperscale data centers is fueling investments in high-speed interconnects, optical networking, and Ethernet switches. Players in this space are focused on capitalizing on the multi-billion-dollar AI infrastructure opportunity. The accelerated deployment of ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年08月22日 深信服（300454.SZ） 优于大市 单 Q2 实现盈利，云业务增长 26% 单 Q2 实现利润转正。公司 25H1 收入 30.09 亿元（+11.16%），归母净利润 -2.28 亿元，亏损收窄约 61.54%；扣非归母净利润-2.59 亿元，亏损收窄 60.44%。单 Q2 来看，公司收入 17.47 亿元（+4.50%），归母净利润 0.22 亿 元，扣非归母净利润 0.03 亿元，均实现转正。单 Q2 实现盈利转正，公司经 营充分调整到位。Q2 收入增速短期放缓，不改全年持续复苏趋势。 毛利率有所提升，现金流依然优异。公司上半年毛利率为 62.09%，同比提升 0.75 个百分点，尤其云计算业务毛利率提升 3.46 个百分点。公司三费整体 同比减少 6.81%，尤其管理和研发费用下降较大。公司 25H1 现金流入 41.01 亿元（+4.32%），经营活动现金流净额为-2.35 亿元（去年同期为-9.77 亿 元），公司加强供应链管理，上半年策略性备货金额同比减少，购买商品、 接受劳务支付的现金同比少支出 4.32 亿元 云计算仍是收入增长主要动力，政府业 ...

公 司 报 告 计算机 2025年08月22日 深信服(300454.SZ) 云计算持续驱动公司营收增长，二季度实现盈利 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:104.06元 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】深信服（300454.SZ）*季报点评*云计 算带动公司收入快增，看好公司AI业务持续突破*推荐 20250425 【平安证券】深信服（300454.SZ）*年报点评*云计 算收入持续增长，公司推动产品和服务AI能力升级*推 荐20250330 证券分析师 事项： 公司发布2025年半年度报告，2025年上半年公司实现营业收入30.09亿元，同 比增长11.16%，实现归母净利润-2.28亿元，亏损同比收窄61.54%，实现扣非 净利润-2.59亿元，亏损同比收窄60.44%。 平安观点： 司 半 年 报 点 评 研 究 报 告 闫磊 投资咨询资格编号 S1060517070006 YANLEI511@pingan.com.cn 黄韦涵 投资咨询资格编号 S1060523070003 HUANGWEIHAN235@pingan.com.cn 王佳一 投资咨询资格编号 S1060525070001 WANGJIAY ...

Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares have declined 6% following the fiscal Q4 2025 results, primarily due to slowing momentum in networking revenues, which grew 12% year over year to $7.63 billion [1][8] - The decline in stock price presents a potential buying opportunity for investors, especially considering Cisco's strong momentum in AI [1] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q4 2025, AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million, leading to total revenues of $2 billion for fiscal 2025, which is double the management's original expectations [2] - Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) reached $31.1 billion, up 5%, with product ARR growing by 8%. Total subscription revenues increased 3% year over year to $7.9 billion, accounting for 54% of total revenues [3] - Total Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) increased 6% year over year to $43.5 billion, with product RPO growing 8% [3] Market Position and Comparisons - Year to date, CSCO shares have appreciated 11.8%, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which has appreciated 13.7%, and peers Broadcom (AVGO) and Arista Networks (ANET), which have appreciated 32.1% and 24.2%, respectively [4] - Cisco's shares are trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.65X, compared to the industry average of 4.14X, but are trading at a discount compared to Arista Networks and Broadcom [15][18] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Cisco expects revenues between $59 billion and $60 billion, an increase from $56.7 billion in fiscal 2025, with projected non-GAAP earnings per share between $4 and $4.06 [8][13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $56.58 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.2%, while the consensus for earnings is $4.02 per share, reflecting a growth of 5.5% [14] Strategic Initiatives - Cisco's aggressive push into AI and its growing security business are significant growth drivers, with strong demand for products like Cisco Secure Access and XDR [9][11] - The partnership with NVIDIA is expected to enhance Cisco's AI capabilities, offering solutions for AI-ready data center networks [12] Investment Outlook - An expanding portfolio positions Cisco for sustained growth in the evolving tech landscape, particularly in AI and security [21] - Cisco currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable investment opportunity for accumulation [21]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $14.7 billion for Q4, an increase of 8% year over year [22] - Non-GAAP net income was $4 billion, up 12%, with non-GAAP earnings per share at $0.99, reflecting a 14% increase [22][23] - For the full fiscal year, total revenue reached $56.7 billion, up 5%, with non-GAAP earnings per share at $3.81, a 2% increase [29][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total product revenue was $10.9 billion, up 10%, while services revenue remained flat at $3.8 billion [23][24] - Networking revenue grew by 12%, driven by double-digit growth in internet infrastructure and enterprise routing [24] - Security revenue increased by 9%, primarily due to growth from Splunk and SASE offerings [24] - Collaboration revenue rose by 2%, supported by solid growth in devices [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product orders in Q4 grew by 7% year over year, with the Americas up 5%, EMEA up 10%, and APJC up 7% [26] - Service provider and cloud orders surged by 49%, while enterprise orders increased by 5% and public sector orders declined by 6% [26][9] - AI infrastructure orders from web scale customers exceeded $800 million in Q4, totaling over $2 billion for the fiscal year [8][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI infrastructure, with a strong emphasis on networking and security solutions to support the AI era [7][12] - Cisco aims to leverage its refreshed product portfolio, including Silicon One and AI-native security solutions, to meet increasing network demands [7][12] - The company is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI solutions, particularly in the enterprise and web scale markets [12][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing demand for AI infrastructure and the company's ability to deliver critical solutions [7][12] - The company anticipates a strong fiscal year 2026, driven by continued growth in AI-related orders and a robust pipeline [7][34] - Management acknowledged the complexities of the current operating environment but remains optimistic about future growth opportunities [32][34] Other Important Information - The company returned $2.9 billion to shareholders in Q4, totaling $12.4 billion for the fiscal year, representing 94% of free cash flow [7][30] - The non-GAAP gross margin for Q4 was 68.4%, up 50 basis points year over year, indicating strong profitability [26][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding guidance and AI opportunity - Management clarified that the anticipated deceleration in growth is related to year-over-year comparisons and not a change in demand [38][39] Question: Outlook for security business growth - Management expressed optimism about security growth, citing strong order growth for new products and double-digit growth outside the U.S. federal sector [44][46] Question: Concerns about order pull forwards - Management stated that there is no significant evidence of order pull forwards affecting the business, based on customer feedback and order metrics [57][60] Question: Sustainability of networking growth - Management indicated confidence in maintaining growth rates, driven by AI demand and upcoming campus upgrades [68][70] Question: AI orders translating into revenue - Management confirmed that approximately $1 billion in revenue was recognized from AI infrastructure orders during FY 2025 [76]

Group 1: Company Strategy and Developments - Okta is enhancing its identity protection efforts by integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into its security strategy, enabling real-time detection and response to identity-based threats [1] - The company's AI approach supports a growing portfolio that includes Identity Governance, Privileged Access, Fine-Grained Authorization, Device Access, and Identity Security Posture Management, while also expanding tools to protect non-human identities like service accounts and bots [2] - A significant boost to Okta's AI-driven vision comes from a new partnership with Palo Alto Networks, creating a unified security architecture for automated threat detection and response [3][4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Okta faces increasing competition in the identity and access management (IAM) space from CyberArk Software and Microsoft [5] - CyberArk has shown strong growth with a 43% revenue increase in Q1 2025, bolstered by acquisitions and a robust position in identity security [6] - Microsoft's Entra ID presents a significant challenge with over 900 million monthly active users and advanced IAM tools, reinforcing its dominance in secure identity solutions [7] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Okta's shares have appreciated 18.8% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Security industry's return of 15.6% [8] - The company is trading at a forward Price/Cash Flow ratio of 21.44, slightly below the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 21.7X, with a Value Score of D [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Okta's Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings is 84 cents per share, indicating a 16.67% year-over-year growth, while the fiscal 2026 earnings estimate is $3.28 per share, suggesting a 16.73% growth over fiscal 2025 [13][15]

Core Insights - Cisco Systems and Dell Technologies are leading providers of AI-powered enterprise infrastructure solutions [2][3] - The demand for AI infrastructure is driving significant growth in both companies, with Cisco securing over $1 billion in AI infrastructure orders and Dell shipping $1.8 billion in AI servers in Q1 [9][13] - IDC projects AI infrastructure spending to exceed $200 billion by 2028, with a significant portion allocated to servers with embedded accelerators [4] Company Performance - Cisco's stock has appreciated 16.2% year to date, while Dell's shares have increased by 11% [5] - Cisco's security business is thriving, with strong demand for its security solutions and a growing customer base [11][12] - Dell's PowerEdge XE9680L AI-optimized server is in high demand, contributing to a healthy backlog of $14.4 billion [13] Market Trends - Global IT spending is forecasted to reach $5.61 trillion by 2025, with data center systems expected to grow by 23.2% [4] - Enterprises with large-scale hyperscale data centers will account for over 70% of spending on AI-optimized servers by 2025 [4] Valuation and Investment Appeal - Dell Technologies is considered undervalued with a Price/Sales ratio of 0.81X compared to Cisco's 4.61X [18] - Dell holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while Cisco has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a stronger investment appeal for Dell [21][22]

Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares closed at $69.27, slightly below the 52-week high of $69.78, with a year-to-date appreciation of 17%, outperforming the broader sector and peer Extreme Networks [1][6] - The company's aggressive push into AI and growing security dominance are significant growth drivers, with over $1 billion in AI infrastructure orders secured ahead of schedule [2][6] - Cisco is expanding its AI portfolio for data centers with new solutions and partnerships, particularly with NVIDIA, which is expected to enhance its market position [3][9] Stock Performance - CSCO stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [6] - The stock's year-to-date increase of 17% is notable, with strong demand in the security sector contributing to its performance [6][8] Security Business Growth - Cisco's security business is experiencing strong demand, with double-digit growth in orders for solutions like Cisco Secure Access and XDR [8] - The partnership with ServiceNow aims to enhance AI risk management and governance, further solidifying Cisco's position in the security market [10] Financial Guidance - For fiscal 2025, Cisco expects revenues between $56.5 billion and $56.7 billion, an increase from previous guidance, with non-GAAP earnings projected between $3.77 and $3.79 per share [13][14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is $56.59 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.18% [14] Valuation Concerns - Cisco shares are currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.65X, higher than the industry average [15][18] - The stock is considered overvalued, which may lead to caution among investors [15][20] Long-term Prospects - Cisco's expanding portfolio and focus on AI and security position it well for sustained growth in the tech landscape [19] - Despite current challenges, the long-term outlook remains positive for investors holding the stock [19]

Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) reached a 52-week high of $67.49, with a year-over-year stock increase of 14.7%, reflecting strong investor confidence in the company's prospects [1][9] - The company's growth is driven by solid earnings, margin expansion, and a positive outlook, particularly due to its focus on AI and innovative product rollouts [1][2] AI and Infrastructure - Cisco's involvement in AI-focused infrastructure is a major catalyst, with AI-related infrastructure orders surpassing $600 million in Q3 fiscal 2025, bringing the year-to-date total over $1 billion [2] - Major clients, including Meta, are contributing to the growing demand for AI-optimized networks [2] Product Demand and Innovation - There is robust demand across Cisco's broader product portfolio, with networking product orders growing in double digits, driven by web-scale infrastructure and industrial IoT products [3] - The company is accelerating its innovation pipeline, integrating security features into its networking products [3] Security Strategy - Security is a key pillar of Cisco's strategy, highlighted by the $28 billion acquisition of Splunk, which has already resulted in significant deals with major financial institutions [4] - New products like Secure Access, XDR, and Hypershield have gained traction, adding over 370 new customers in Q3 fiscal 2025 [4] Competitive Landscape - Cisco faces intensified competition from Juniper Networks and Arista Networks, which are leveraging AI-driven innovations to challenge Cisco's dominance in enterprise and cloud networking [5][6][7] - Juniper focuses on high-performance routing and integrated security, while Arista leads in AI and cloud networking, projecting over $750 million in backend AI networking revenues for 2025 [6][7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Cisco's shares have gained 14.7% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Networking industry's return of 13.5% [8] - The company is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 4.56, which is higher than the industry's 4.32X, indicating a potentially overvalued position [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cisco's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings is $3.79 and $4 per share, reflecting year-over-year growth of 1.61% and 5.63%, respectively [11]