12 February 2026 | 5:11AM EST Equity Research Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) F2Q26 review: Beat and raise on networking; margin outlook misses CSCO 12m Price Target: $75.00 Price: $85.54 Downside: 12.3% CSCO's F2Q26 EPS of $1.04 beat (v. GSe/Visible Alpha Consensus Data $1.02/$1.02, guidance of $1.01-$1.03) driven by continued strength in Networking (revenue +21% yoy), with Security and Observability both missing. First, overall product orders grew 18% yoy, with Networking orders accelerating to over 20% yoy on ...

Cisco Systems (NasdaqGS:CSCO) Q2 2026 Earnings call February 11, 2026 04:30 PM ET Speaker7Welcome to Cisco's second quarter fiscal year 2026 financial results conference call. At the request of Cisco, today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect. Now I would like to introduce Sami Badri, Head of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.Speaker9Good afternoon, everyone. This is Sami Badri, Cisco's Head of Investor Relations. I'm joined by Chuck Robbins, our Chair and CEO ...

Core Insights - Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP) is enhancing its response to cyber threats with a new AI-driven exposure management strategy aimed at closing the cybersecurity "remediation gap" [1][3] - The new platform allows security teams to quickly identify critical vulnerabilities and focus on the riskiest issues, improving remediation speed and efficiency [1][2] - Automation is a key feature, enabling safe, automated responses to threats, which reduces manual work and shortens response times [1][2] Company Strategy - The new platform prioritizes real-world threats and enables automated remediation methods such as virtual patching and policy updates, aligning with Gartner's CTEM model [2][8] - This AI exposure strategy is expected to strengthen threat response and improve security efficiency, helping Check Point remain competitive in the cybersecurity market [3] Competitive Landscape - Check Point faces significant competition from major players like Cisco Systems, Palo Alto Networks, and Fortinet [4] - Cisco has modernized its security portfolio for AI-driven threats, achieving strong early adoption with nearly 3,000 customers [5] - Palo Alto Networks leads the market with a unified platform strategy and benefits from strong annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth and AI-driven platforms [6] - Fortinet distinguishes itself with a tightly integrated platform that combines networking and security, leveraging its FortiOS operating system and custom chips for better performance [7]

Core Insights - CrowdStrike and Cisco Systems are prominent players in the cybersecurity sector, with CrowdStrike focusing on endpoint protection and AI-native cloud security through its Falcon platform, while Cisco is enhancing its offerings in Threat Intelligence, Detection, and Response [1][2] Industry Overview - The cybersecurity market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.28% from 2026 to 2030, driven by increasing complex attacks such as credential theft and social engineering [2] CrowdStrike Analysis - CrowdStrike's Falcon platform is recognized as the first multi-tenant, cloud-native security solution, securing various environments and endpoints [4] - The platform offers 29 cloud modules under a subscription model, with subscription sales increasing from 72% in fiscal 2017 to 95% in fiscal 2025 [5] - In Q3 fiscal 2026, Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) from Falcon Flex customers reached $1.35 billion, growing over 200% year-over-year, indicating strong customer value perception [6] - However, CrowdStrike's revenue growth has decelerated from over 35% year-over-year in fiscal 2024 to an expected 21-22% in fiscal 2026, with projected revenues between $4.797 billion and $4.807 billion [7] Cisco Systems Analysis - Cisco Systems is expanding its security business with new products like Secure Access and AI Defense, achieving good customer adoption with nearly 3,000 customers purchasing new solutions in Q1 fiscal 2026 [8][10] - The acquisition of Splunk has contributed to strong growth in ARR and performance obligations, with significant deals enhancing Cisco's security portfolio [9] - Cisco's new products, such as Cisco Unified Edge and Cisco Data Fabric, are designed to support AI-related needs, further strengthening its market position [11][12] Earnings Estimates Comparison - CrowdStrike's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate is $3.71 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.6% [13] - In contrast, Cisco's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate is $4.10 per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of 7.61% [14] Price Performance and Valuation - Over the past six months, Cisco shares have risen by 11.2%, while CrowdStrike shares have decreased by 5.8% [16] - Cisco is trading at a forward sales multiple of 4.81X, significantly lower than CrowdStrike's 19.75X, making Cisco more attractive for value-seeking investors [17] Conclusion - Cisco Systems has a competitive edge over CrowdStrike due to its strong security portfolio and reasonable valuation, making it an appealing option for investors looking for growth in the cybersecurity sector [20][21]

Core Insights - Cisco Systems' Security revenues decreased by 2% year over year to $1.98 billion in Q1 FY26, impacted by a shift to cloud subscriptions and lower revenues from older products [1][10] - New and refreshed products, which make up about one-third of Cisco's security portfolio, are expected to drive top-line growth, with mid-teens growth in demand for next-gen firewalls [2] - Splunk's annualized recurring revenues and product remaining performance obligations grew in double digits, enhancing Cisco's threat detection capabilities through integration with Cisco Extended Detection and Response (XDR) [3][10] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 FY26 service revenues is $2.16 billion, indicating a 2.6% growth compared to the same quarter last year [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 FY26 earnings is $1.02 per share, suggesting an 8.5% growth from the previous year [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FY26 earnings is $4.10 per share, indicating a 7.6% growth from FY25 [16] Competitive Landscape - Cisco faces significant competition in the security domain from Fortinet and Okta [5] - Fortinet is rapidly advancing its AI-powered security operations, with over 20 AI-driven solutions and a focus on secure AI usage [6] - Okta's offerings include AI-powered capabilities that are expected to drive a CAGR of 16% in revenues from FY23 to FY26, with projected revenues of $2.906 billion to $2.908 billion for FY26 [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Cisco shares have appreciated by 30.8% over the past year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 24.2% [8] - Cisco's stock is trading at a premium, with a trailing 12-month price/book ratio of 6.49X compared to the industry average of 6.13X [12] - Cisco currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cisco reported revenue of $56.7 billion for fiscal year 2025, representing a 5% year-over-year increase [18] - Non-GAAP EPS was $3.81, up 2% year-over-year, with non-GAAP gross margins at 68.7% [18] - Non-GAAP operating income reached $19.5 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, while non-GAAP net income was flat at $15.2 billion [18] - For Q1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue was $14.9 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS at $1, up 10% year-over-year [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The growth in Q1 was driven by a 15% year-over-year increase in networking revenue, with SP routing being the largest contributor [26] - Product orders grew by 13% year-over-year across all geographies and customer markets [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong demand for AI infrastructure from hyperscalers and telcos was noted, as they scale data centers and increase network capacity to handle AI traffic [26] - Enterprise customers are modernizing their networks for AI, indicating a broad market trend towards upgrading infrastructure [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Cisco is focusing on capitalizing on AI opportunities, integrating Splunk to enhance digital resilience and unify customer data for AI model building [28][29] - The company aims to grow organically and inorganically, continue dividend growth, buy back shares, and return excess cash to shareholders [20] - Cisco is positioned to play a critical role in the AI transition, with a focus on AI infrastructure, security, data management, AI-native products, and customer services [21][22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting the strong performance in fiscal year 2025 and the record start to fiscal year 2026 [18][24] - The company anticipates significant growth opportunities driven by leadership in AI and secure networking [19][24] Other Important Information - Cisco returned 94% of free cash flow to shareholders in fiscal year 2025, with an annualized dividend per share of $1.64 and nearly $6 billion in share repurchases [20] - The board recommended stockholders vote against a proposal regarding the assessment of inclusion programs, which was not approved with approximately 99% of shares voting against it [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Key trends driving recent strong growth - Cisco noted strong Q1 performance with 8% revenue growth driven by networking strength and demand for AI infrastructure from hyperscalers and telcos [26] Question: Cisco's strategy for capitalizing on AI opportunities - Cisco highlighted broad AI opportunities, emphasizing the need for customers to upgrade networks and embed security deeply into their infrastructure [28] Question: How Cisco's purpose influences business strategy - Cisco's purpose guides its operations, focusing on community resilience, responsible innovation, and energy sustainability, which are seen as beneficial for long-term shareholder value [30][31]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cisco reported revenue of $56.7 billion for fiscal year 2025, representing a 5% year-over-year increase [18] - Non-GAAP EPS was $3.81, up 2% year-over-year, with non-GAAP gross margins at 68.7% [18] - Non-GAAP operating income reached $19.5 billion, up 6% year-over-year, while non-GAAP net income was $15.2 billion, flat year-over-year [18] - For Q1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue was $14.9 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS at $1, up 10% year-over-year [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The growth in revenue was driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure and campus networking solutions, with product orders growing 13% year-over-year [19] - Networking revenue specifically grew by 15% year-over-year in Q1, with SP routing being the largest contributor [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cisco experienced robust demand across all geographies and customer markets, indicating a broad-based growth [19] - The company noted strong demand from hyperscalers and telcos, which are increasing their network capacity to handle AI traffic [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Cisco is focusing on capitalizing on the AI opportunity, integrating AI into its product offerings, and enhancing security within its network infrastructure [28] - The company aims to grow organically and inorganically, continue dividend growth, buy back shares, and return excess cash to shareholders [20] - Cisco's strategy includes building AI-ready data centers, modernizing workplaces, and ensuring digital resilience for customers [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting the strong performance in fiscal 2025 and the positive outlook for fiscal 2026 [18][24] - The integration of Splunk is seen as crucial for enhancing digital resilience and enabling customers to unify their data for AI model building [29] Other Important Information - Cisco returned 94% of its free cash flow to shareholders in fiscal year 2025, with an annualized dividend per share of $1.64 and nearly $6 billion in share repurchases [20] - The company plans to publish its purpose report in mid-January 2026, detailing its commitment to community resilience, responsible innovation, and sustainability [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the key trends you are seeing with your customers and what is driving this performance? - Cisco noted strong Q1 performance driven by networking strength and demand for AI infrastructure, with customers modernizing their networks for AI [26] Question: Can you discuss Cisco's overall strategy for capitalizing on the AI opportunity and how the integration of Splunk is enhancing your position? - Cisco sees broad AI opportunities and emphasizes the need for customers to upgrade their networks and embed security deeply, with Splunk integration enhancing digital resilience [28] Question: How does Cisco's stated purpose influence your business strategy and create long-term value? - Cisco's purpose guides its operations, focusing on community resilience, responsible innovation, and sustainability, which are believed to drive durable growth for shareholders [30]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cisco reported revenue of $56.7 billion for FY 2025, representing a 5% year-over-year increase [17] - Non-GAAP EPS was $3.81, up 2% year-over-year, with non-GAAP gross margins at 68.7% [17] - Non-GAAP operating income reached $19.5 billion, up 6% year-over-year, while non-GAAP net income was $15.2 billion, flat year-over-year [17] - For Q1 FY 2026, revenue was $14.9 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS at $1, up 10% year-over-year [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Software and subscriptions now account for more than half of Cisco's revenue, indicating a shift towards recurring revenue models [17] - Networking revenue grew by 15% year-over-year in Q1 FY 2026, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product orders grew 13% year-over-year across all geographies and customer markets in Q1 FY 2026 [18] - Strong demand from hyperscalers and telcos for AI infrastructure and increased network capacity was noted [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Cisco is focusing on capitalizing on the AI transition, with a strategy that includes enhancing AI infrastructure, security, and data management [20][21] - The integration of Splunk is seen as crucial for building a comprehensive data fabric that allows customers to unify their data and build AI models [28] - The company aims to return more than 50% of free cash flow to shareholders, having returned 94% in FY 2025 [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the opportunities in the AI era, highlighting the need for modern infrastructure to support AI workloads [22] - The company anticipates strong growth driven by its leadership in AI and secure networking, positioning itself for what is expected to be its strongest year yet [18][23] Other Important Information - Cisco's annual meeting included discussions on corporate governance, executive compensation, and stockholder proposals, with significant support for most proposals [15] - The company plans to publish its purpose report in mid-January 2026, detailing its commitment to community resilience, responsible innovation, and sustainability [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Key trends driving recent company performance - Cisco noted strong Q1 performance with 8% revenue growth, driven by networking strength and demand for AI infrastructure from hyperscalers and telcos [25] Question: Cisco's strategy for capitalizing on AI opportunities - The company highlighted broad AI opportunities, emphasizing the need for customers to upgrade networks and embed security deeply into their infrastructure [27] Question: Influence of Cisco's purpose on business strategy - Cisco's purpose guides its operations, focusing on community resilience, responsible innovation, and sustainability, which are seen as beneficial for long-term shareholder value [29]

Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) are experiencing strong demand due to the growth of AI infrastructure, data center expansions, and increasing cybersecurity threats [1][2][3] - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from projected AI spending, which is expected to reach $1.48 trillion in 2025 and $2.02 trillion in 2026, compared to $987 billion in 2024 [3] Company Performance - Broadcom's AI revenues are projected to increase by 66% year-over-year to $6.2 billion in Q4 fiscal 2025, driven by demand for XPUs and Ethernet products [7][8] - Cisco's AI infrastructure orders reached $2 billion in fiscal 2025, doubling previous expectations, indicating strong market demand [11][12] Product and Technology Developments - Broadcom's XPUs, which are essential for training Generative AI models, accounted for 65% of its AI revenues in Q3 fiscal 2025, with a consolidated backlog of $110 billion [7][10] - Cisco is expanding its AI portfolio with new solutions such as the Unified Nexus Dashboard and 400G bidirectional optics, enhancing its data center capabilities [11][12] Strategic Partnerships - Cisco's partnership with NVIDIA aims to create AI-ready data center networks, integrating Cisco Nexus switches with NVIDIA's Spectrum-X architecture for improved performance [12][13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Broadcom's fiscal 2025 earnings is $6.72 per share, reflecting a 38% increase over fiscal 2024 [14] - Cisco's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate has increased to $4.04 per share, suggesting a 6% growth over fiscal 2025 [15] Valuation Insights - Both companies are considered overvalued, with Broadcom trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 20.18X, significantly higher than Cisco's 4.69X [17] Future Outlook - Cisco's aggressive AI initiatives and expanding portfolio are expected to drive top-line growth, while Broadcom's partnerships and AI portfolio expansion are key catalysts for future performance [20]

Core Insights - Cisco Systems' security business is experiencing significant growth, with revenues increasing by 59% in fiscal 2025 to $8.09 billion, representing 19.5% of total revenues [1][10] - The acquisition of Splunk has enhanced Cisco's security offerings, particularly in Threat Intelligence, Detection, and Response (TIDR) and Extended Detection and Response (XDR) [2][10] - Cisco's security revenues for Q4 fiscal 2025 reached $1.95 billion, a 9% year-over-year increase, driven by the integration of Splunk and the expansion of Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) solutions [3][10] Security Business Performance - The integration of Splunk has led to a 14% year-over-year growth in new logos for Splunk, with Cisco adding 750 new customers through its security solutions in the reported quarter [3][10] - Orders for Cisco's security business grew in the mid-single digits, indicating positive growth prospects [3] Future Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 fiscal 2026 service revenues is projected at $2.24 billion, reflecting an 11% growth compared to the previous year [4] - The earnings estimate for Q1 fiscal 2026 is set at 98 cents per share, suggesting a 7.7% increase from the same quarter last year [13] - For fiscal 2026, the earnings estimate is $4.04 per share, indicating a 6% growth from the prior year [14] Competitive Landscape - Cisco faces strong competition in the security sector from companies like Fortinet and Okta, which have established innovative portfolios and strong market positions [5][6][7] - Fortinet is recognized for its extensive AI capabilities and has evolved into a comprehensive security ecosystem [6] - Okta's AI-powered offerings are gaining traction, particularly in identity management and security [7] Stock Performance - Cisco's stock has appreciated by 18.6% year-to-date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which has returned 24% [8][9] - Cisco's stock is currently trading at a premium, with a trailing 12-month price/book ratio of 5.93X compared to the industry's 5.69X [15]