Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net bookings of $1.76 billion for Q3 2026, exceeding the high end of guidance by a significant margin [7][17] - GAAP net revenue increased by 25% to $1.7 billion, while cost of revenue rose by 26% to $754 million [18] - Operating expenses increased by 10% to $984 million, with management basis operating expenses rising by 13% year-over-year [18][21] - The company raised its full fiscal year net bookings outlook to $6.65-$6.7 billion, representing an 18% growth compared to fiscal 2025 [7][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mobile business saw a 19% year-over-year increase, with Toon Blast growing by 43% and Match Factory by 17% [8][18] - NBA 2K series grew by 30%, while Grand Theft Auto Online increased by 27% [10][18] - Recurrent consumer spending rose by 23%, accounting for 76% of net bookings [17][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mobile direct-to-consumer business achieved its strongest quarter on record, driven by enhancements in personalized offers and flexible pricing [9] - Advertising revenues grew by 10% year-over-year, supported by higher average revenue per daily active user [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on leveraging AI technologies to drive efficiencies and enhance creative processes [12][28] - The upcoming release of Grand Theft Auto VI is expected to significantly impact future financial performance and establish a higher financial baseline [12][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing momentum of the business and projected record levels of net bookings for fiscal 2027 [12][23] - The company anticipates that the release schedule will drive sequential growth next year, establishing a new baseline for future performance [62] Other Important Information - The company plans to support organic growth while remaining selective in pursuing inorganic growth opportunities [41] - The regulatory environment is becoming more favorable for direct-to-consumer strategies, which are expected to enhance margins [35][89] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about AI's impact on the business - Management clarified that the video game industry has always utilized machine learning and AI, and they are optimistic about the opportunities AI presents for efficiency and creativity [26][27] Question: Mobile business growth initiatives - Management highlighted the importance of creating hits in the mobile space and the success of their Zynga team in doing so [32][33] Question: Engagement and monetization strategies for NBA 2K - Management emphasized the importance of continuous consumer engagement and the potential for international expansion as key growth opportunities [45][48] Question: Capital allocation priorities - Management outlined three main uses for capital: supporting organic growth, pursuing selective acquisitions, and returning capital to shareholders [41][42] Question: Future of GTA Online post-GTA VI release - Management indicated that they will continue to support GTA Online, as the community remains engaged and responsive to new content [58] Question: Mobile advertising growth - Management attributed the growth in mobile advertising to the strategic addition of ad units and effective monetization without disrupting user experience [56]

Take-Two Interactive Software (NasdaqGS:TTWO) Q3 2026 Earnings call February 03, 2026 04:30 PM ET Speaker16Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Tiffany, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Q3 fiscal year 2026 quarterly earnings results call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during that time, ...

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Q1 FY2026 Results - GAAP Net Revenue reached $1504 million, exceeding the guidance range of $1350 million to $1400 million[6] - Net Bookings were $1423 million, significantly above the guidance range of $1250 million to $1300 million[8] - Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) grew by 17%, surpassing the guidance of 7% year-over-year[8] - GAAP Net Loss was $(12) million, better than the guided loss of $(139) million to $(115) million[6] FY2026 Guidance - GAAP Net Revenue is projected to be $6100 million to $6200 million, revised up from the prior guidance of $5950 million to $6050 million[19] - Net Bookings are expected to be $6050 million to $6150 million, an increase from the previous guidance of $5900 million to $6000 million, representing 8% growth at the midpoint[21] - Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) growth is now expected to be 4% year-over-year, revised upward from the prior expectation of flat growth[21, 23] - GAAP Net Loss is projected to be $(442) million to $(377) million, an improvement from the prior guidance of $(499) million to $(439) million[19] Q2 FY2026 Guidance - GAAP Net Revenue is projected to be $1650 million to $1700 million[24] - Net Bookings are expected to be $1700 million to $1750 million[26] - Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) is projected to increase by approximately 1% year-over-year[26, 27]

Core Viewpoint - Take-Two Interactive is poised for growth with the upcoming release of Grand Theft Auto VI, which is expected to significantly boost revenue and stock performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - Take-Two reported solid financial results for fiscal 2025 and anticipates record revenue for fiscal 2026 [1]. - The stock has increased approximately 21% year-to-date, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 10% return [2]. Upcoming Releases - The highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI is set to release on May 26, 2026, and is projected to drive substantial revenue growth in fiscal year 2027 [2]. - The last installment of the series sold 215 million copies over 12 years, indicating a strong established player base [4]. Business Strategy - Take-Two is diversifying its portfolio beyond reliance on GTA by increasing research and development spending and headcount for future releases [5]. - A significant portion of revenue comes from recurrent consumer spending, which accounted for 77% of bookings in the most recent quarter [6]. Profitability and Margins - Despite recent pressures on margins and free cash flow due to R&D and acquisitions, recurrent consumer spending has improved profitability over the last decade [7]. - The release of GTA VI and other titles is expected to enhance margins and free cash flow in the long term [7]. Market Position - Take-Two's stock is considered fairly valued, trading at a forward enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of 7.15x, which is competitive compared to peers [9]. - Analysts project earnings growth at an annualized rate of 39% through 2029, with free cash flow expected to reach $2.9 billion [12]. Future Outlook - The integration of artificial intelligence in game development is anticipated to improve efficiency and profitability for Take-Two over the next decade [11]. - The stock is positioned to potentially outperform the market due to its growth catalysts and reasonable pricing [8][12].

Core Insights - Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is experiencing growth due to a strong product portfolio and innovative pipeline, with net bookings increasing 17% year-over-year to $1.58 billion in Q4 fiscal 2025, driven by a 14% rise in recurrent consumer spending, which constituted 77% of total net bookings [1][9] Group 1: Financial Performance - In fiscal 2026, net bookings are projected to be between $5.9 billion and $6 billion, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [2][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTWO's 2026 revenues is $5.99 billion, indicating a 6.10% year-over-year growth, with earnings estimated at $3.27 per share, representing a 59.51% increase from the previous year [14] Group 2: Product Pipeline - Upcoming releases include major titles such as Mafia: The Old Country, Borderlands 4, NBA 2K26, WWE 2K26, CSR 3, Civilization VII for Switch, and the highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI, set for May 2026 [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Take-Two faces significant competition from Electronic Arts (EA) and Microsoft, with EA reporting a net bookings increase of 8% year-over-year to $1.8 billion in its fiscal Q4 2025, and Microsoft leveraging its broader portfolio to maintain a competitive edge [4][5][6] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - TTWO shares have appreciated 25.5% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Gaming industry's return of 1.8% [7] - The company appears overvalued with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 6.09, higher than the industry average of 3.22, and carries a Value Score of F [11]

Financial Performance & Results - Q4 FY2025 GAAP Net Revenue was $1583 million, exceeding the guidance range of $1519 million to $1619 million[6] - Q4 FY2025 Net Bookings reached $1582 million, hitting the top of the guidance range of $1480 million to $1580 million[8] - FY2025 GAAP Net Revenue was $5634 million, within the guidance of $5570 million to $5670 million[11] - FY2025 Net Bookings totaled $5648 million, also at the top of the guidance range of $5550 million to $5650 million[13] - The company projects FY2026 Net Bookings to range from $5900 million to $6000 million, representing approximately 5% growth over FY2025 at the midpoint[27] Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) - Q4 FY2025 Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) grew by 14% year-over-year, significantly exceeding guidance[8] - FY2025 Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) increased by 7% year-over-year, exceeding the company's outlook[13] - The company expects FY2026 Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) to be flat compared to FY2025[27] - The company projects Q1 FY2026 Recurrent Consumer Spending (RCS) to increase by approximately 7% year-over-year[32] Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance - The company anticipates GAAP Net Revenue between $5950 million and $6050 million for FY2026[23] - Operating expenses for FY2026 are projected to be between $3780 million and $3800 million[23] - The company expects a GAAP Net Loss between $499 million and $439 million for FY2026[23]

Core Insights - Take-Two Interactive reported fourth-quarter net bookings of $1.58 billion, a 17% increase year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.55 billion [1] - Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $1.08, slightly below the consensus estimate of $1.10 [1] Financial Performance - Net bookings from recurrent consumer spending rose 14% year-over-year, accounting for 77% of total net bookings in the quarter [2] - Total net bookings for the fiscal year reached $5.65 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, with recurrent consumer spending up 7% for the full fiscal year, making up 70% of total net bookings [2] Management Commentary - CEO Strauss Zelnick highlighted the outstanding results for the 2025 Fiscal Year, noting meaningful contributions from each label [3] Future Guidance - Take-Two projects first-quarter net bookings to be between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion [4] - Full fiscal-year net bookings are expected to range from $5.90 billion to $6.00 billion [4] - The company anticipates record levels of net bookings with the upcoming release of "Grand Theft Auto VI" in Fiscal 2027, which is expected to enhance profitability [5] Upcoming Releases - The game lineup for 2025 includes "Mafia: The Old Country," "Borderlands 4," and "WWE 2K Mobile," with future titles such as "NBA 2K26," "WWE 2K26," and "Grand Theft Auto VI," which has a new release date of May 26, 2026 [5] Stock Performance - Take-Two's stock decreased by 1.7% to $228.33 in after-hours trading, within a 52-week trading range of $135.24 to $238.00 [6]