Core Insights - Tapestry reported better than expected earnings, primarily driven by the strong performance of its Coach brand [1] - The company has shifted its focus towards Gen Z consumers, recognizing the need to adapt to their preferences and shopping behaviors [2][9] - Coach has transitioned from being perceived as "affordable luxury" to "expressive luxury," capitalizing on Gen Z's willingness to spend more on nonessential goods [9] Company Strategy - The company utilizes both big data and small data to understand consumer preferences, including direct interactions with customers [2][3] - Coach maintains strong relationships with leather suppliers and has not faced significant sourcing issues, despite concerns in the industry [5][6] - The company anticipates that 70% of its growth will come from international markets over the next two years, mitigating the impact of tariffs on domestic sales [6] Market Position - Coach has experienced over 20% growth in its brand in the most recent quarter, indicating strong demand [9] - The brand's price point, typically in the $500-$600 range, positions it competitively against higher-end luxury brands, allowing it to attract a broader customer base [11] - Coach is currently the only brand in its accessible luxury segment that is experiencing growth, while many competitors are struggling or contracting [15][16] Financial Performance - The company has managed to maintain its price points despite increased costs from tariffs, resulting in improved margins per item sold [12][13] - Leather prices have risen approximately 20% compared to the previous year, with projections indicating that prices will remain 7-10% higher in the future [13][14]

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. reported record fiscal second-quarter results, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, primarily driven by the strong performance of its Coach brand [1][2] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share reached $2.69, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.19 [2] - Revenue increased by 14% year over year to $2.5 billion, exceeding expectations of $2.29 billion; on a pro forma basis, revenue rose 18% when excluding the divested Stuart Weitzman business [2] Brand Performance - Coach sales surged by 25% to $2.14 billion, driven by strong handbag demand and mid-teens growth in both unit volumes and average selling prices [3] - Kate Spade experienced a 14% revenue decline, generating $360 million in sales [3] Profitability Metrics - Non-GAAP operating margin expanded by 390 basis points to 28.8% [3] - Gross margin increased by 110 basis points to 75.5%, supported by operating leverage and an improved product mix [3] Regional Performance - Revenue growth was notable across regions: 17% in North America, 35% in Greater China, and 27% in Europe on a pro forma basis [4] Outlook - Following the strong results, Tapestry raised its full-year revenue outlook to exceed $7.75 billion, up from the previous guidance of $7.3 billion [4] - The earnings forecast was also lifted to a range of $6.40 to $6.45 per share, significantly above the prior range of $5.45 to $5.60 [4]

Core Insights - Capri is struggling significantly, with a reported loss of $1.18 billion in fiscal 2025 and a 21% revenue decline from $5.6 billion to $4.4 billion over the past two fiscal years [2] - The company is facing intense competition from Tapestry, particularly its Coach brand, which has seen substantial revenue growth [1][19] - Capri's transformation plan has failed to resonate with consumers, leading to a decline in brand perception and sales [15][16] Financial Performance - Capri's revenues fell from $5.6 billion in fiscal 2025 to $4.4 billion, marking a 21% decrease [2] - The Michael Kors brand, which constitutes nearly 70% of Capri's revenues, experienced a sales drop of $864 million since 2023 [2] - Versace's revenue declined from $1.1 billion in fiscal 2023 to $821 million in fiscal 2025 [13] Strategic Moves - Capri announced the sale of Versace to Prada for $1.375 billion, a significant loss for the company [2] - The company aims to stabilize its business by using proceeds from the Versace sale to repay debt and strengthen its balance sheet [14] - Capri plans to target $4 billion in revenue from Michael Kors and $800 million from Jimmy Choo in the future [22] Market Context - The luxury market is experiencing its first contraction in 15 years, with a 2% decline, as consumers shift towards experiential indulgence rather than conspicuous consumption [12] - The number of luxury customers decreased from 400 million in 2022 to approximately 340 million in 2025 [12] Brand Strategy - Capri is refocusing on its core brands, Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo, and plans to renovate 50% of its retail spaces over the next three years [21] - A new marketing campaign, "Hotel Stories," aims to enhance brand perception and connect with consumers [21] - The company is also emphasizing a "renewed focus" on Jimmy Choo, targeting growth in accessories and casual footwear [22]

Core Viewpoint - The global luxury market is experiencing a resurgence, driven by resilient consumer demand and increased household wealth, making high-end retail stocks attractive for investment in 2026 [1][2][5]. Industry Overview - The luxury market is benefiting from two structural advantages: pricing power and global appeal, allowing brands to raise prices without losing demand [3]. - Affluent consumers are less price-sensitive, particularly for luxury items that retain long-term value, supporting consistent price increases and margin protection [3][5]. - The geographical diversification of luxury demand reduces reliance on any single market, with international travel normalizing and increasing tourist spending in major luxury hubs [4]. Company Highlights Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) - Tapestry is well-positioned in the luxury retail market, with strong demand and customer acquisition, particularly among Gen Z [7][8]. - The company reported a 5.1% increase in fiscal 2026 revenue estimates and a 9.6% increase in EPS compared to the previous year [9]. Signet Jewelers Ltd. (SIG) - Signet is a leader in the luxury jewelry market, with resilient demand and steady same-store sales growth [10][11]. - The company anticipates a 1.4% increase in fiscal 2026 revenue estimates and a 3.1% increase in EPS compared to the previous year [12]. Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) - Host Hotels owns a diversified portfolio of luxury and upper-upscale hotels, benefiting from strong leisure travel demand and improving group bookings [13][14]. - The company expects a 1.2% increase in fiscal 2026 revenue estimates compared to the previous year [15].

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc.'s Coach brand has shown strong momentum entering fiscal 2026, with a 21% year-over-year revenue increase in the first quarter, driven by double-digit growth across all key regions [1][9] Revenue Growth - North America revenue increased by 26%, China by 21%, and Europe by 39% year-over-year, indicating Coach's broad appeal and expanding international presence [2][9] - The addition of 1.7 million customers globally highlights Coach's success in attracting younger shoppers and building long-term brand equity [2] Product Performance - Handbag average unit retail rose in the mid-teens, with total handbag units sold increasing despite reduced promotional activity [3] - Accessories, including charms and straps, contributed to Coach's ability to personalize offerings, while footwear saw double-digit gains, particularly from the High Line and Soho families [3] Marketing and Brand Strategy - Coach's Spring 2026 runway presentation received positive responses, and marketing investment increased by 43% year-over-year, representing about 11% of sales [4] - The launch of Coach Coffee Shops aimed at younger audiences and the "One Coach" strategy enhanced accessibility and price realization [5] Future Projections - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Coach is projected to achieve low-double-digit revenue growth, maintaining momentum from the first quarter [6] - Overall, Coach is expected to sustain low-double-digit revenue growth for fiscal 2026 while maintaining its operating margin despite challenges [6] Long-term Ambitions - Coach is central to Tapestry's growth strategy, aiming to become a $10 billion global brand through disciplined execution and emotional connections with consumers [7] Stock Performance - Tapestry's shares have surged 62.4% year-to-date, contrasting with an 18.3% decline in the industry [8] Valuation Metrics - Tapestry trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.35X, slightly above the industry average of 16.31X, with a Value Score of B [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tapestry's fiscal 2026 earnings implies a year-over-year growth of 9.2%, with upward revisions in earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 [11][12]

Core Insights - Tapestry, the owner of Coach and Kate Spade, reported record revenue and a 16% sales growth for its fiscal Q1, yet shares fell by double digits despite these strong results [1][3][4] Financial Performance - The company achieved broad-based growth with double-digit increases, including high teens growth in North America and China, and over 30% growth in Europe [3] - Tapestry raised its outlook for the year, indicating confidence in both topline and earnings growth [4] Brand Performance - Coach was the primary driver of revenue, showing a standout performance with 21% growth, while Kate Spade experienced a 9% decline in sales [4][6] - Kate Spade's performance was slightly ahead of expectations, with ongoing efforts to reset the brand and a new marketing campaign launched [5][6] Consumer Trends - The consumer landscape shows resilience, with consumers being active and responsive to innovation and emotional connections with brands [7] - Tapestry is successfully acquiring younger consumers, leading to higher retention rates and increased frequency of purchases [8] Market Positioning - The company is expanding its market share by targeting young consumers, which is seen as a strategic move to grow the overall market [14] - Tapestry's handbags are positioned at a competitive price point, attracting consumers from higher-priced luxury brands [13][16] Holiday Outlook - The company remains optimistic about the holiday season, with strong performance continuing into Q2 and a focus on delivering value to consumers [10][11][12]

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.04 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.02, with revenue of $1.72 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase and surpassing expectations [1] - The company anticipates fiscal 2026 revenue to approach $7.2 billion, slightly above the previous estimate of $6.96 billion, indicating low-single-digit growth from the prior year [2] Financial Performance - Coach experienced strong handbag revenue growth, attributed to a mid-teens average unit retail (AUR) gain for the quarter and a low-double-digit gain for the year [1] - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey maintains an Outperform rating on Tapestry's stock, with a price target of $125 [2] Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook considers current mitigation efforts, with Telsey suggesting that the guidance appears conservatively prudent, indicating potential for upside [3] - The company is optimistic about a strong start to fiscal year 2026, with a higher dividend enhancing confidence ahead of the upcoming Investor Day [3] Tariff Impact - Tapestry faces greater tariff pressure than expected, with the early end of the de minimis exemption leading to a combined $160 million profit impact, equating to a 230 basis points hit on margins [4] - This situation results in a 60-cent EPS drag, most of which was not present in the previous quarter, due to the exemption's unexpected early termination [4] Revenue Projections - For fiscal year 2026, the analyst projects revenue of $7.24 billion, a 3.2% increase from the prior estimate of $6.99 billion, aligning with the guidance of "approaching $7.2 billion" [5] - The expectation is that Coach will outperform while Kate Spade may underperform earlier forecasts [5] Stock Performance - Tapestry shares are trading higher by 2.90%, reaching $98.50 [5]

Core Insights - Karthik Sarma, a prominent investor and former Tiger Cub, has shifted his investment focus from Nvidia to Tapestry, a luxury handbag company, indicating a strategic pivot away from AI-related stocks [2][10]. Investment Strategy - Sarma typically holds positions for the long term but recently sold his Nvidia shares after holding them for less than two years, capitalizing on significant price appreciation [3][5]. - The decision to sell Nvidia was influenced by its rising valuation, with the forward P/E ratio exceeding 40, prompting Sarma to take profits [6][8]. Company Performance - Nvidia remains a leading player in the GPU market, but competition may impact its market share in the coming years [7]. - Tapestry, which owns brands like Coach and Kate Spade, has seen Coach account for nearly 80% of its sales, with expectations for improved profitability through strategic management of its brands [11][12]. Financial Metrics - Tapestry's management anticipates free cash flow of $1.3 billion for the current year, an increase from $1.1 billion the previous year, supporting share repurchase initiatives [13]. - Tapestry's stock trades at a forward P/E of 18, significantly lower than Nvidia's 38, although it represents the highest valuation for Tapestry in years [14].

Core Insights - Tapestry Inc is experiencing a growth split between its key brands, with Coach showing significant recovery and projected 32% upside for the overall company stock by year-end, while Kate Spade is underperforming [1][6] Group 1: Coach's Performance - Coach is the primary driver of Tapestry's growth, benefiting from a balanced multi-year revenue increase due to average unit retail price hikes and sustainable unit sales growth [2] - Handbag prices for Coach are increasing, supported by improved full-price selling and innovative product lines, reversing previous declines in unit sales [3] - The brand is attracting younger customers, particularly Gen-Z and Millennials, who are spending more and frequently returning, which also encourages older customers to re-engage [4] Group 2: Kate Spade's Challenges - Kate Spade has faced revenue declines this year, with management adopting a cautious approach due to uncertain macroeconomic conditions, and its fourth quarter guidance indicates a sales drop [5] - The brand is currently in a supporting role within Tapestry's portfolio, contrasting with Coach's expected low-double-digit growth [5] Group 3: Overall Outlook for Tapestry - Tapestry's potential upside is largely contingent on Coach's revival, driven by pricing power, customer rejuvenation, and category expansion, with a price target of $104 for investors to monitor [6]

Financial Performance & Outlook - Tapestry's Q3 revenue reached $1.58 billion, with an 8% increase compared to the previous year on a constant currency basis[58] - Coach brand experienced a 15% revenue growth on a constant currency basis[50, 58] - The company raised its FY25 revenue outlook to approximately $6.95 billion, a 4% increase versus the prior year on a reported basis[69] - Diluted adjusted EPS is projected to be around $5.00, representing a high-teens percentage growth compared to last year[69] - Adjusted free cash flow is expected to be approximately $1.3 billion[69] Brand Performance - Coach's operating income margin was 32.4% [58] - Kate Spade's revenue declined by 12%[58, 62] - Stuart Weitzman's net sales were $46 million, a decrease of 17%[58] - Tapestry has entered into an agreement to sell Stuart Weitzman to Caleres[66] Strategic Initiatives & Global Presence - North America accounted for 65% of revenue, while International accounted for 35%[71] - The company acquired over 12 million new customers in North America[50] - Digital channels accounted for 29% of sales[33] - The company expects to return over $2 billion to shareholders in FY25[78]