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工业富联(601138):AI带动业绩强势增长,持续看好算力景气度+公司竞争优势
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-14 03:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [7]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong performance driven by AI, with a significant year-over-year revenue increase of 35.58% in the first half of 2025, reaching sales of 360.76 billion yuan [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing high demand for AI infrastructure, with a focus on core component modules and a global production capacity layout [3]. - The report anticipates an increase in net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027, raising the 2026 net profit estimate from 39.2 billion yuan to 50 billion yuan, and introducing a new estimate of 58.3 billion yuan for 2027 [4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 12.113 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 38.61% [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 200.345 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 35.92% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 24.89% [2]. - The gross profit margin for the second quarter of 2025 was 6.50%, showing a year-over-year increase of 0.50 percentage points [2]. Industry Outlook - The AI infrastructure market is expected to continue its expansion, with significant capital expenditures from major cloud service providers, leading to increased demand for high-end AI servers [10]. - The report highlights the growth potential in the Ethernet switch market, particularly driven by generative AI data centers, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 70% from 2023 to 2028 [4]. - The company is well-positioned to leverage its vertical integration capabilities and global production layout to enhance its competitive advantage in the market [3][10].