Core Insights - Smurfit Westrock PLC (SW) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 30, 2025, before market open [1] - The company was formed by the merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock on July 5, 2024, and began reporting combined results from Q3 2024 [1] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SW's Q2 2025 revenues is $7.92 billion, reflecting a 3.5% growth from Q1 2025 [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimate is 57 cents, indicating a decline from 73 cents in the previous quarter [2] - The consensus for earnings has increased by 9.5% over the past 60 days [2] Segment Performance - The Europe, MEA, and APAC segment is projected to generate revenues of $2.83 billion in Q2 2025, up from $2.58 billion in Q1 2025 [5] - The North America segment's revenue estimate is $4.62 billion, down from $4.67 billion in Q1 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA estimate of $753 million, a decrease from $785 million [6] - The LATAM segment's revenue estimate is $497 million, down from $513 million, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to rise to $124 million from $115 million [7] Market Dynamics - Demand for corrugated packaging and containerboard remains stable, driven by essential items like food and beverages, as well as e-commerce growth [4] - Increased costs for recovered fiber, labor, and distribution, particularly in Europe, are anticipated to pressure margins [4] - The company expects an adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion for Q2 2025 [4] Stock Performance - Smurfit Westrock's shares have increased by 3.8% over the past year, compared to the industry's growth of 28.8% [9]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported second quarter net income of $242 million or $2.67 per share, an increase from $199 million or $2.20 per share in 2024 [4] - Excluding special items, net income was $224 million or $2.48 per share compared to $199 million or $2.20 per share in 2024, reflecting a $0.28 per share increase driven by higher prices and lower fiber costs [4][5] - Second quarter net sales were $2.2 billion in 2025, up from $2.1 billion in 2024 [4] - Total company EBITDA for the second quarter, excluding special items, was $451 million in 2025 compared to $400 million in 2024 [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Packaging segment, EBITDA excluding special items was $453 million with sales of $2 billion, resulting in a margin of 22.6%, compared to last year's EBITDA of $400 million and sales of $1.9 billion with a margin of 21% [5][6] - The Paper segment reported EBITDA excluding special items of $30 million with sales of $146 million, yielding a margin of 20.8%, compared to $31 million and $150 million in sales in 2024 [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic containerboard and corrugated products prices and mix were $0.95 per share above 2024, with export containerboard prices up $0.03 per share versus last year's second quarter [8] - Export containerboard sales were lower, with a production of 85,000 fewer tons than in 2024 [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced an agreement to acquire the Greif containerboard business, which is expected to provide a strong growth platform for both containerboard and corrugated products [7][10] - The acquisition is anticipated to be completed by the end of the third quarter, subject to regulatory approval [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while corrugated customers remained cautious, there was steady improvement in bookings and shipments as July progressed [15] - The company expects higher corrugated shipments and containerboard production in the third quarter, despite lower export containerboard sales due to the global trade environment [15][16] - Management expressed optimism about potential upside if global trade issues and tariffs are resolved [70] Other Important Information - Cash provided by operations was $300 million in the quarter, with free cash flow of $130 million [13] - The company has a quarter-end cash balance, including marketable securities, of $956 million, with liquidity of approximately $1.3 billion [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about bookings and billings to start the new quarter? - Bookings are trending at 2% over Q2 2024, with a good start compared to last year's strong performance [23] Question: What was behind the better performance in operations? - The company operated at approximately 99% uptime performance, executing efficiently despite some downtime due to demand [25] Question: Can you clarify the impact of export sales on revenue and EBITDA? - The increase in revenue and EBITDA per ton is primarily due to price increases rather than mix changes [29] Question: What is the outlook for e-commerce growth? - Customers in the e-commerce sector are still growing mid-single digits, with more growth expected in the second half of the year [79] Question: How will the Greif acquisition impact recycled mix and customer sets? - The recycled mix is expected to increase from around 20% to approximately 30% post-acquisition, providing better opportunities in the market [86] Question: What is the expected marginal cost of the new debt from the Greif acquisition? - The company is modeling about a 5.5% interest rate on the new debt, resulting in around $100 million incremental interest [100]

Core Insights - Greif, Inc. has entered into a definitive agreement with Packaging Corporation of America to divest its Containerboard business, which includes its CorrChoice sheet feeder network, aimed at debt reduction and unlocking value-creation opportunities [1][3][7] Group 1: Business Overview - Greif's containerboard business consists of two mills with a production capacity of 800,000 tons and includes eight sheet feeder and corrugated plants across the U.S. [2][7] - The containerboard business generated revenues of $1.2 billion and EBITDA of $212 million for the fiscal year ending April 30, 2025 [2][7] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The divestiture aligns with Greif's Build to Last strategy, enhancing portfolio optimization, capital efficiency, and growth acceleration [3][7] - The transaction is expected to close by the end of fiscal 2025, pending regulatory approvals, with Packaging Corp paying Greif $1.8 billion in cash [4][7] Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q2 of fiscal 2025, Greif reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.19, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.08, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 43.4% [5] - Revenues for the same quarter increased by 1.1% year over year to $1.39 billion, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43 billion [5] Group 4: Stock Performance - Greif's stock has appreciated by 26.4% over the past year, contrasting with a 3.2% decline in the industry [6]

Greif Inc. Containerboard Divestment Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Greif Inc. (GEF) - **Event**: Containerboard Divestment Conference Call - **Date**: July 01, 2025 Key Points Industry and Company Focus - **Divestment Announcement**: Greif announced the divestment of its containerboard business for **$1.8 billion** [4] - **Strategic Rationale**: The divestment aligns with Greif's "build to last" strategy, aimed at enhancing capital efficiency and focusing on high-margin packaging solutions [4][6] - **Remaining Portfolio**: Post-divestment, Greif will concentrate on its URB (Unbleached Recycled Board) business and polymer-based solutions, which are expected to grow faster than GDP [8][9] Financial Implications - **EBITDA and Cash Flow Goals**: Greif aims to achieve **$1 billion** in EBITDA and **$500 million** in free cash flow by 2027 [5] - **Debt Reduction**: 100% of the proceeds from the divestment will be used to pay down debt, positioning Greif with a leverage ratio below **2.0 times** [5][10] - **Cost Savings**: The divestment is expected to lower annual interest expenses by **$85 million** and recurring maintenance capital expenditures by **$25 million** [11] Market Position and Strategy - **Focus on Leadership**: Greif aims to maintain a number one or two position in its chosen markets, emphasizing that it was not a leader in the containerboard market [22][23] - **Growth Areas**: The company is targeting growth in high-margin sectors such as food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, and agrochemicals [9][12] - **Capital Allocation**: Greif will continue to prioritize safety and maintenance CapEx while also increasing shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases [11][12] Future Outlook - **Growth Opportunities**: Greif is committed to pursuing high-return organic capital expenditures and strategic M&A opportunities within its targeted growth areas [12][41] - **EBITDA Growth Drivers**: The company has identified several drivers to achieve its EBITDA target, including volume growth and business optimization [13][14] - **Market Trends**: North America remains sluggish, particularly in metal markets, but acquired companies in the agricultural space are performing well [90][91] Additional Considerations - **Regulatory Approvals**: The transaction is subject to customary conditions, including regulatory approvals, which may affect the closing timeline [6] - **Synergies and Cost Structure**: Greif will work on optimizing support functions and addressing overhead costs post-divestment [37][65] - **Market Dynamics**: The company expects to be a net seller in the open market for OCC (Old Corrugated Containers) after the divestment, which may impact its business dynamics [61] Conclusion - Greif's divestment of its containerboard business marks a significant strategic shift aimed at enhancing shareholder value and focusing on high-growth, high-margin opportunities. The company is committed to maintaining financial discipline while pursuing growth in its remaining business segments.

Core Viewpoint - Greif, Inc. has announced the divestiture of its Containerboard business for $1.8 billion to Packaging Corporation of America, which aligns with its strategy to enhance capital efficiency and focus on growth priorities [2][4]. Financial Impact - The cash proceeds from the divestiture will be allocated to debt repayment, resulting in a pro-forma leverage ratio below 2.0x after closing, with further reductions expected from the planned divestiture of Greif's timberland business [3]. - This transaction is expected to unlock value-creation opportunities and enhance capital utilization, reducing recurring capital needs [8]. Strategic Rationale - The sale is part of Greif's "Build to Last" strategy, aimed at sharpening the company's portfolio and advancing growth priorities [4]. - The remaining material solutions will maintain leadership positions to drive margin expansion and cash flow generation [4]. Conference Call - Greif will host an investor call on July 1, 2025, to discuss the rationale for the divestment and its impact on proforma business operations [5].

Core Viewpoint - International Paper has completed the divestiture of five European plants to PALM Group to meet regulatory commitments from its acquisition of DS Smith Plc [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - International Paper is a global leader in sustainable packaging solutions, headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, with operations in over 30 countries and more than 65,000 employees [3]. - The company reported net sales of $18.6 billion for 2024 and acquired DS Smith in 2025, enhancing its position in the North American and EMEA regions [3]. Group 2: Details of the Divestiture - The divestiture includes three plants in Normandy, France, one box plant in Ovar, Portugal, and one box plant in Bilbao, Spain [1]. - This sale was part of the agreement with the European Commission to satisfy obligations related to the acquisition of DS Smith Plc [2]. Group 3: About PALM Group - PALM is a family-owned company based in Aalen, Germany, and is a leading European producer of containerboard, graphic paper, and corrugated packaging [4]. - In 2024, PALM operated five paper mills and 33 corrugated box plants in Europe, employing 4,200 people and achieving a turnover of €2 billion [4].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the pulp and paper industry [1]. Core Insights - Chinese pulp prices for May decreased by 13% month-over-month (m/m) for hardwood and 11% m/m for softwood, with hardwood resale prices declining by 5% and softwood resale prices decreasing by 2% m/m [5]. - In Europe, pulp prices remained stable, with hardwood prices flat m/m and softwood prices increasing by 1% m/m [5]. - China's paper prices showed mixed results, with most grades experiencing flat to low single-digit declines m/m, while containerboard prices slightly increased [5]. - Compared to their 5-year historical averages, paper margins are 38% below for ivoryboard and 15% below for tissue, while 5% above for uncoated woodfree (UWF) and 13% above for coated woodfree (CWF) [5]. - China’s pulp port inventories increased by 3% m/m to 2.2 million tons (Mt), exceeding the historical average of 1.8 Mt [5]. - European port inventories declined by 13% m/m in April, reaching 1.3 Mt, aligning with the historical average [5]. Summary by Region Global - The report includes a comprehensive overview of global pulp and paper prices, production, and consumption trends [6]. China - Pulp prices in China for hardwood are at $517 per ton, down 13% m/m, while softwood prices are at $712 per ton, down 11% m/m [7]. - Paper prices in China show a range of changes, with coated woodfree at 5,475 CNY per ton, down 4% m/m [7]. Europe - Hardwood pulp prices in Europe are stable at $1,194 per ton, while softwood prices increased to $1,597 per ton, up 1% m/m [7]. - Containerboard prices in Europe have risen by 1% to 3% m/m [5]. USA - In the US, coated woodfree prices are at $1,515 per ton, stable m/m, while uncoated woodfree prices are at $1,610 per ton, also stable m/m [7]. Latin America - The report highlights trends in containerboard shipments in Brazil, indicating a year-over-year growth [70].

Core Insights - Greif, Inc. reported strong fiscal second quarter 2025 results, demonstrating resilience and strategic progress under its "Build to Last" strategy, with a focus on cost reductions and operational discipline [4][5][23]. Financial Highlights - Net income increased by 6.5% to $47.3 million, or $0.82 per diluted Class A share, compared to $44.4 million, or $0.77 per diluted Class A share in the prior year [5]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 26.0% to $213.9 million from $169.7 million [5]. - Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $48.9 million to $136.4 million [5]. - Total debt decreased by $140.9 million to $2,775.2 million, with net debt down by $197.6 million to $2,522.5 million [5]. Segment Performance - Customized Polymer Solutions saw net sales increase by $43.7 million to $329.3 million, primarily due to contributions from recent acquisitions [11]. - Durable Metal Solutions experienced a net sales decrease of $34.8 million to $378.9 million, attributed to lower volumes and selling prices [13]. - Sustainable Fiber Solutions reported a net sales increase of $19.0 million to $599.1 million, driven by higher containerboard and boxboard prices [16]. - Integrated Solutions faced a net sales decline of $13.2 million to $78.4 million, mainly due to the divestiture of Delta Petroleum Company [19]. Cost Optimization and Strategic Actions - The company achieved $10.0 million in run-rate savings from its cost optimization program and expects to reach $15.0 million to $25.0 million by the end of fiscal year 2025 [5]. - Greif is progressing on the sale of its timberland business, anticipating using the proceeds for further debt reduction [5]. Tax and Dividend Information - The income tax rate for the quarter was 35.5%, with an expected range of 27.0% to 32.0% for fiscal 2025 [21]. - The Board of Directors declared quarterly cash dividends of $0.54 per share of Class A Common Stock and $0.81 per share of Class B Common Stock, payable on July 1, 2025 [22]. Company Outlook - The company acknowledges a multi-year period of industrial contraction with no compelling demand inflection identified, but remains positioned for a potential recovery in the industrial economy [23]. - Fiscal 2025 low-end guidance for Adjusted EBITDA is raised to $725 million and for adjusted free cash flow to $280 million [24].

Core Insights - Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) is benefiting from asset optimization and business improvement initiatives, positioning the company for long-term growth and profitability [1][8] - The company faces challenges from merger-related costs, higher freight and chemical costs, labor shortages, and supply chain issues, which are expected to impact margins [2][14] Company Transformation - Since 2023, Smurfit Westrock has closed underperforming facilities, divested non-core assets, and streamlined operations to enhance efficiency and cost savings [1][7] - The merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock on July 5, 2024, is expected to deliver significant growth potential due to their complementary portfolios and geographic reach across 42 countries [3][4] Operational Developments - In Q1 2025, Smurfit Westrock invested in containerboard, corrugated, and consumer systems, expanding its Bag-in-Box offerings and upgrading mill systems for efficiency and environmental improvements [5][9] - The company has closed 32 packaging facilities and three mills since early 2023, with a capacity reduction of approximately 600,000 tons [7][8] Market Demand - There is a growing demand for sustainable, fiber-based packaging solutions, particularly in the beverage, healthcare, retail, and food sectors [9][10] - The rise in e-commerce activities is expected to further support demand for packaging solutions, with global e-commerce revenues projected to reach $4.32 trillion by 2025 [11] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Smurfit Westrock's cost of sales increased by 173.9% year-over-year, with transaction and integration-related costs amounting to $395 million [12][13] - The company's stock has declined by 14.8% over the past six months, compared to an 8% decline in the industry [15]

Core Viewpoint - Smurfit Westrock PLC is set to report its first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, following the merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock in July 2024, with expectations of revenue growth and improved earnings per share [1][2]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter revenues is $7.85 billion, reflecting a 4.1% increase from the previous quarter [2]. - The earnings per share estimate is 65 cents, up from 34 cents in the prior quarter, with a 4.8% upward revision in the last 60 days [2]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected at $1.25 billion for the first quarter of 2025 [4]. Segment Performance - The Europe, MEA, and APAC segment is expected to generate revenues of $2.61 billion, up from $2.52 billion in the fourth quarter, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $418.6 million [6]. - North America segment revenues are estimated at $4.54 billion, slightly down from $4.59 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to rise to $755.3 million [7]. - The LATAM segment is projected to see revenues of $483.6 million, down from $524 million, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $112.3 million [8]. Market Dynamics - Demand for corrugated packaging and containerboard remains stable, driven by e-commerce growth and the need for sustainable packaging solutions [3]. - However, increased costs related to recovered fiber, labor, and distribution, particularly in Europe, may negatively impact margins [4]. Earnings Prediction - The model indicates a potential earnings beat for Smurfit Westrock, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +3.72% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [9]. Stock Performance - Smurfit Westrock's shares have decreased by 13.9% over the past six months, compared to a 4.5% decline in the industry [10].