Core Insights - Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.32 for Q4 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.41 and reflecting a 6% year-over-year decline due to lower volume and unfavorable production results from the acquired Greif Inc. business [1][10] Financial Performance - Q4 sales increased by 10.1% year-over-year to $2.36 billion, but this figure fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.42 billion [3][10] - The cost of products sold rose by 14.3% year-over-year to $1.92 billion, leading to a gross profit decline of 4.7% to $448 million [3] - Adjusted operating income for Q4 was $310.2 million, a 2.1% increase from $303.9 million in Q4 2024 [4] Segment Performance - In the Packaging segment, sales rose by 10.8% year-over-year to $2.19 billion, driven by higher prices, although lower production and sales volume offset this growth [5] - Total corrugated product shipments fell by 1.7% year-over-year, but including the Greif business, shipments per day increased by 17% [6] - The Paper segment reported revenues of $154 million, up 1.8% year-over-year, but lower than estimates, with adjusted operating profit decreasing to $33 million from $35 million in the prior year [7] Annual Performance - For FY 2025, PKG's adjusted EPS was $9.84, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.93, while total sales reached $8.99 billion, reflecting a 7.2% year-over-year increase but missing the consensus estimate of $9.06 billion [8] Cash Flow and Outlook - The company ended 2025 with a cash balance of $668 million, down from $852 million at the end of 2024 [9] - For Q1 2026, PKG expects higher year-over-year volume in its legacy corrugated products plants, projecting an EPS of $2.20 [11] Stock Performance - PKG's shares have declined by 3.8% over the past year, compared to an 8.6% decline in the industry [12]

Core Viewpoint - Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is expected to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 27, with revenue estimates indicating a 12.9% growth year-over-year, while earnings estimates suggest a slight decline of 0.8% compared to the previous year [1][5]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PKG's fourth-quarter revenues is $2.42 billion, reflecting a 12.9% increase from the prior year's figure [1][5]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is $2.45 per share, which has remained unchanged over the past 60 days, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 0.8% [1][2]. Segment Performance - The Packaging segment is projected to see a revenue increase of 15.2% year-over-year, supported by the acquisition of Greif's containerboard business [5][6]. - The Paper segment is expected to report revenues of $153 million, suggesting a 1.2% growth from the previous year, despite a slight volume decline of 0.8% [8]. Earnings Surprise History - PKG has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimates in two of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 0.3% [2][3]. - The model predicts that PKG is unlikely to achieve an earnings beat this quarter, as indicated by an Earnings ESP of -1.84% [4][6]. Recent Developments - The acquisition of Greif's containerboard business, which includes two mills and several plants across the U.S., is expected to positively impact PKG's earnings immediately [6][7]. - The Packaging segment's volume is anticipated to rise by 11.1% year-over-year, with favorable price and mix impacts contributing an additional 4.2% [7]. Stock Performance - Over the past year, PKG shares have decreased by 6.3%, compared to a 10.3% decline in the industry [11].

Summary of China Basic Materials Monitor - January 2026 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Basic Materials** industry, highlighting the impact of high commodity prices on demand and supply dynamics across various sectors. Key Points Demand Trends - End-user orderbooks are mostly in line with past seasonal trends as of mid-January, with **solar and machinery** sectors showing weakness while **battery** demand remains strong [1] - The surge in metal prices has led to notable changes in downstream demand across sectors such as **consumer electronics**, **hardware manufacturing**, **copper cables**, and **aluminum** in industrial and construction areas, resulting in weaker or delayed orderbooks and rising metal inventories [1] - High-frequency data indicates that in the first two weeks of January, Chinese demand is down **1-9% year-over-year (YoY)** for cement and construction steel, and **3-10% YoY** for aluminum and copper, while flat steel demand is up **3% YoY** [1] Supply Dynamics - Supply conditions remain heterogeneous, with consistent feedback on **cement capacity** cleaning up and ongoing capacity discipline in **coal**, but lackluster control in **steel production** [1] - Margin and pricing for **steel**, **copper**, **aluminum**, and **lithium** have improved, while **cement** and **coal** prices have remained stable [1] Sector-Specific Insights - **Cement**: Demand is lower, with a **1-9% YoY** decline noted [1] - **Aluminum and Copper**: Demand has deteriorated significantly amid high prices, with a **3-10% YoY** decline reported [1] - **Steel**: Margins have improved, but production control remains weak [1] - **Battery Materials**: Strong demand persists, leading to price hikes in solar modules, AC, LFP cathodes, and battery cells [1] Producer Feedback - A proprietary survey indicates a mixed month-over-month (MoM) trend in forward orderbooks, with **19%** of respondents reporting a pickup in January for downstream sectors and **6%** for basic materials [2] Additional Observations - The report notes that in regions with strong demand or better supply structures, price hikes have begun in specific materials, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [1] - The overall sentiment reflects caution due to high commodity prices suppressing demand, particularly in sectors sensitive to price fluctuations [1] Conclusion - The China Basic Materials industry is currently experiencing a complex interplay of high commodity prices affecting demand and supply across various sectors. While some areas like battery materials show resilience, others like aluminum and copper are facing significant demand challenges. The mixed feedback from producers suggests a cautious outlook moving forward, with potential opportunities in regions with strong demand dynamics.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Basic Materials Sector**: The report covers the basic materials sector in China, focusing on metals, steel, cement, paper, glass, and solar materials [1][2][3]. Metals - **Copper**: LME copper price increased by 2.0% WoW to US$11,764/t, while China's price decreased by 1.4% to RMB 92,640/t [1][32]. - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum rose by 1.3% WoW to US$2,872/t; however, China's price fell by 1.0% to RMB 21,820/t, leading to a margin squeeze of RMB 170/t WoW to RMB 5,915/t [1][15]. - **Gold**: COMEX gold price increased by 0.7% WoW to US$4,330/oz [1][11]. - **Lithium**: Domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate (99.5%) averaged RMB 97,650/t, up 3.3% WoW [1][55]. - **Uranium**: U₃O₈ spot price rose by 1.8% WoW to US$77.2/lb [1][65]. - **Cobalt**: Shanghai Changjiang cobalt price increased by 1.2% WoW to RMB 417,000/t [1][63]. - **Tungsten**: Prices accelerated due to supply shortages and import uncertainties [1]. Steel - **Price Recovery**: Rebar prices rose by 1.5% WoW to RMB 3,322/t, and HRC gained 1.2% to RMB 3,312/t [2][66]. - **Consumption**: Apparent consumption decreased by 0.5% WoW to 8.4 million tons, while inventories edged down by 0.15% to 13.3 million tons [2][66]. - **Iron Ore**: Price climbed by 3.2% WoW to USD 108.4/t [2][71]. - **Margins**: Negative margins persisted, with rebar falling to -RMB 292/t and HRC to -RMB 360/t [2][76]. Cement - **Price Trends**: National average cement price pulled back by 0.3% WoW to RMB 348/t, with regional variations [3][89]. - **Shipment Ratio**: Nationwide shipment ratio dropped by 1.4 percentage points WoW to 32.8% [3][22]. - **Inventory Ratio**: Inventory ratio decreased by 2.4 percentage points to 62.3% [3][22]. Paper and Glass - **Paper Prices**: Paper prices edged down by 0.89% WoW to RMB 3,751/t, influenced by cautious market sentiment [3][99]. - **Glass Prices**: National average float glass price declined by 1.2% WoW to RMB 1,151/t due to limited demand [3][98]. Solar Materials - **Polysilicon Prices**: Prices for N-type polysilicon and granular silicon remained stable at RMB 53/kg and RMB 51/kg, respectively [3][112]. - **Solar Glass Prices**: Prices for coated solar glass declined to RMB 18.5/sqm and RMB 11.5/sqm [3][121]. - **Inventory Days**: Solar glass inventory days expanded by 8.7% WoW to 35.92 [3][123]. Additional Insights - **Market Sentiment**: The report indicates a shift in market sentiment from traditional off-season to anti-involution expectations, impacting pricing and consumption dynamics [2][66]. - **Utilization Rates**: Blast furnace utilization rates decreased by 0.99 percentage points WoW to 85% [2][78]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting trends and data across various sectors within the basic materials industry in China.

Company Strategy and Outlook - Klabin reaffirms its commitment to developing its people for future challenges and ensuring management continuity with a culture of excellence[10] - The company emphasizes strategic planning and financial discipline as drivers for capital allocation, aiming to maximize shareholder value generation[27, 29] - Klabin is focused on extending debt maturities and reducing debt, reinforcing its deleveraging trajectory[32] Financial Performance and Discipline - Klabin maintains its 2025 guidance, reflecting its ability to adapt and capture efficiencies[41] - The company projects total cash cost to be less than R$3300 per ton in 2026, assuming an accumulated IPCA of 14% which would be R$3600 per ton[38, 39] - Klabin anticipates CAPEX between R$2 billion and R$25 billion for 2026[45] Shareholder Returns - Klabin declared interim dividends of R$11 billion based on accumulated profits recorded in 2025[47] - The company is increasing capital with bonus shares, representing 1% of the current share base[50] - Klabin paid R$13 billion in dividends in LTM3Q25, representing a 55% dividend yield[32] Competitive Advantages - Klabin has a unique forest asset base, providing privileged access to long fiber and high forest productivity[17, 19] - The company has a diversified business model with leadership positions in niche markets, including a 22% market share in corrugated boxes and a 50% market share in industrial bags in Brazil[20, 24]

Core Insights - Anoto Group AB reported a decrease in net sales and gross margin for both the third quarter and the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same periods in 2024 [5][6] - The company has entered into a secured convertible loan agreement to support its financing needs and global expansion efforts [2][5] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, net sales were MSEK 7, up from MSEK 5 in Q3 2024 - Gross margin for Q3 2025 decreased to 40% from 52% in Q3 2024 - Operating loss for Q3 2025 was MSEK -13, slightly improved from MSEK -15 in Q3 2024 - Earnings per share before and after dilution improved to SEK -0.03 from SEK -0.07 in Q3 2024 [5] - For the period of January to September 2025, net sales amounted to MSEK 17, down from MSEK 24 in the same period of 2024 - Gross margin for this period decreased to 54% from 57% - Operating loss increased to MSEK -47 from MSEK -45 in the previous year - Earnings per share before and after dilution remained at SEK -0.07, improved from SEK -0.12 [6] Financing Activities - In October 2025, Anoto Group AB secured a convertible loan of approximately USD 2.4 million with an 8% annual interest rate, maturing on 1 October 2027, convertible at SEK 0.06 per share [2] - The loan is secured by a SEK 20 million floating charge over Anoto AB and a share pledge over Anoto AB's shares in KAIT Knowledge AI Holdings Pte. Ltd. - Previous convertible loans totaling USD 1.4 million were set off against this new financing [2]

Summary of China Basic Materials Monitor (November 2025) Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Basic Materials** industry, highlighting signs of **weaker demand** across various sectors, including white goods, renewables, and construction, which are experiencing a sequential deterioration beyond seasonal factors [1][1][1]. - **Infrastructure** projects are at multi-year low start rates due to funding challenges from local governments [1][1][1]. - The **automotive sector** remains robust currently, but concerns are emerging for the first quarter of 2026 [1][1][1]. - **Energy Storage System (ESS) batteries** are seeing accelerated growth, with positive expectations for 2026 based on producer feedback [1][1][1]. Demand Trends - Current demand in China is reported to be **7-12% lower year-on-year** for cement and construction steel, and **5-10% lower** for flat steel, copper, and aluminum [1][1][1]. - Finished goods inventory has increased, primarily due to metal fabrications and selected appliances and machinery [1][1][1]. - The **forward orderbook trend** is mostly stable month-on-month, with **61%** of respondents indicating an increase in downstream sectors and **35%** in basic materials for November [2][2][2]. Supply Dynamics - On the supply side, there is excess production and safety inspections leading to a contraction in output in key coal-producing regions [1][1][1]. - Incremental changes in cement and steel production have been limited [1][1][1]. - Recent weeks have seen improvements in margins/pricing for coal, aluminum, copper, and lithium, while steel prices have softened and cement prices remain stable [1][1][1]. Key Statistics - The report indicates a **deceleration in demand** due to high commodity prices and the diminishing momentum from trade-in programs [1][1][1]. - The **current demand** metrics reflect a significant decline across various materials, indicating potential risks for investors in the basic materials sector [1][1][1]. Conclusion - The China Basic Materials industry is facing challenges with weaker demand across multiple sectors, particularly in construction and infrastructure, while some segments like automotive and ESS batteries show resilience. The supply side is also adjusting to these demand changes, with implications for pricing and production strategies moving forward.

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview Basic Materials - China - **Copper Prices**: LME copper rose 1.5% WoW to US$10,856/t, while the China price increased 1.3% WoW to RMB87,200/t [1][31] - **Aluminum Prices**: LME aluminum slipped 0.2% WoW to US$2,830/t, while the China aluminum price increased 1.7% WoW to RMB21,910/t. Domestic aluminum margins improved by RMB395/t WoW to RMB6,094/t due to lower power costs [1][31][52] - **Gold Prices**: COMEX gold climbed 2% WoW to US$4,084/oz [1][11] - **Lithium Prices**: Average price of domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate (99.5%) rose 5.9% WoW to RMB85.2k/t [1][55] - **Uranium Prices**: Uranium U₃O₈ spot prices settled at US$77.7/lb, down 2.7% WoW [1][57] - **Cobalt Prices**: China cobalt spot price edged up 1% WoW to RMB395,000/t [1][63] Steel Industry - **Finished Steel Prices**: Rebar prices edged up 0.2% WoW to RMB3,218/t, and HRC rose 0.2% WoW to RMB3,298/t [2][66] - **Inventory and Consumption**: Finished steel inventory fell 1.7% WoW to 14.8 million tons, while apparent consumption slipped 0.7% WoW to 8.6 million tons [2][66] - **Iron Ore Prices**: Iron ore prices declined 1% WoW to USD104/t [2][66] - **Profit Margins**: Higher coke costs pressured margins, with rebar narrowing by RMB28/t WoW to –RMB392/t and HRC contracting by RMB36/t to –RMB380/t [2][66][75] Cement Industry - **Cement Prices**: Average national cement price traded higher by 0.6% WoW to RMB345/t. Prices in various provinces showed mixed trends [3][88] - **Demand Recovery**: National cement demand slightly recovered amid favorable weather conditions, with producers planning to push prices higher by year-end [3][88] - **Shipment and Inventory Ratios**: Nationwide shipment ratio decreased by 0.3 percentage points WoW to 40.0%, while inventory ratio was at 69.4%, down 0.2 percentage points WoW [3][20] Paper and Glass Industries - **Paper Prices**: Paper price rose by 1.76% WoW to RMB3,669/t, supported by supply shrinkage and low inventory [3][99] - **Glass Prices**: National average float glass price settled lower by 0.16% WoW to RMB1,195/t amid lukewarm demand. Xinyi float glass GPM was down 0.5 percentage points to 10.8% [3][22][98] Solar Materials - **Polysilicon Prices**: N-type polysilicon and granular silicon prices remained stable at RMB53/kg and RMB51/kg, respectively [3][109] - **Solar Glass Capacity**: Solar glass daily capacity climbed 1.43% WoW to 88,590t/day, with inventory days expanding 6.5% WoW to 25.63 [3][122] Additional Insights - **Market Sentiment**: The end of the U.S. government shutdown eased risk-off sentiment, supporting copper prices [1][31] - **Cement Producers' Strategy**: Cement producers are looking to increase prices to secure more profit by year-end [3][88] - **Steel Mill Margins**: Spot cash margins at steel mills indicate a challenging environment with negative margins for both rebar and HRC [2][75][81] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the performance and trends across various sectors within the basic materials industry in China.

Forward Looking Statements 2025 Third Quarter Results October 29, 2025 Paper | Packaging | Solutions Smurfit Westrock Q3 | 2025 Results | 2 The presentation includes certain "forward-looking statements" (including within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) regarding, among other things, the plans, strategies, outcomes, outlooks, and prospects, both business and financial, of Smurfit Westrock, the expected b ...

Core Insights - Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.73 for Q3 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.83 by 4% [1] - The company's revenues increased by 6% year over year to $2.3 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.26 billion [4] - The company anticipates a Q4 2025 EPS of $2.40, indicating a year-over-year decline of 2.8% and a sequential decline of 12% [11] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS increased by 3% year over year, despite missing estimates [10] - Including one-time items, earnings were $2.51 per share, down from $2.64 in the prior year [3] - Gross profit decreased by 0.2% year over year to $504 million, with a gross margin of 21.8% compared to 23.1% a year ago [4] Segment Performance - In the Packaging segment, sales rose 6% year over year to $2.13 billion, with total corrugated product shipments down 1.1% year over year [6] - Containerboard production was 1,255,000 tons at legacy mills and 47,000 tons at acquired mills, with adjusted operating profit of $348 million [7] - The Paper segment's revenues were $161 million, up 1.2% year over year, but adjusted operating profit fell to $36 million from $39 million [8] Cost and Expenses - Cost of products sold increased by 8% year over year to $1.81 billion [4] - Selling, general and administrative expenses totaled $154 million, down from $162 million in the prior year [5] - Higher operating costs, lower production volumes, and increased depreciation and freight expenses impacted overall profitability [2] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - The cash balance at the end of Q3 was $806.4 million, down from $841 million at the end of the prior year [9] Market Outlook - The company expects higher daily corrugated shipments in Q4 but anticipates seasonal cost and mix headwinds [12] - Containerboard production is expected to dip sequentially due to maintenance outages, impacting earnings by 29 cents [12] - The Packaging segment is projected to experience lower prices due to a less favorable seasonal mix [13] Stock Performance - PKG shares have declined by 8.3% over the past year, outperforming the industry decline of 34.0% [15]