Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Tongli Co., Ltd. is positioned for long-term growth in the autonomous mining truck sector, with a dual focus on growth and dividends [1] - In 2024, the global shipment of autonomous mining trucks is expected to reach approximately 2,100 units, with significant demand growth anticipated from regions like the Middle East and Australia [1] - The Chinese market for autonomous mining truck solutions is rapidly expanding, projected to reach a market size of 1.9 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for about 75.6% of the closed-scene autonomous driving market [1] Group 2 - Tongli Co., Ltd. has achieved large-scale production of autonomous vehicles, with an estimated delivery of over 700 units by 2024, capturing more than half of the domestic market share for controlled chassis [2] - The company has developed a comprehensive autonomous driving control platform that integrates various control systems, which has been recognized as a top intelligent solution in the engineering machinery sector [2] - The new Mineral Resources Law, effective from July 2025, aligns with the company's product solutions, emphasizing safety, resource conservation, and green development [2] Group 3 - The company has provided substantial cash dividends to investors, with a dividend yield of 5.49% in 2024, making it the only company listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange to be included in the CSI Dividend Index [3] - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 8.87 billion yuan, 9.94 billion yuan, and 11.14 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 1.94, 2.17, and 2.43 yuan per share [3] - The company is expected to accelerate product innovation and expand its overseas market presence, leading to a positive outlook for sustainable growth [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" due to the long-term growth potential opened by autonomous mining trucks, showcasing both growth and dividend attributes [5][7]. Core Views - The global market for autonomous mining trucks is expected to see significant growth, with an estimated total shipment of approximately 2,100 units in 2024, and a projected increase to about 8,700 units by 2026. The average price for autonomous mining trucks is expected to be around 2.5 million yuan per unit in China and over 5.0 million yuan internationally [6][5]. - The company has achieved significant milestones in the autonomous vehicle sector, delivering over 700 autonomous vehicles and capturing more than half of the domestic market share for controlled chassis. The company is focused on R&D and production of controlled chassis technology to enhance compatibility with autonomous systems [5][6]. - The company has a strong dividend policy, with a projected dividend yield of 5.49% in 2024, and has consistently provided substantial cash dividends to investors over the years [5][7]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 6,145 million yuan in 2024 to 8,174 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.98% [8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 887 million yuan in 2025 to 1,114 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.94 yuan in 2025 to 2.43 yuan in 2027, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [8].