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How SMCI is Leveraging DCBBS to Capture Growth From the AI Boom?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 16:25
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's (SMCI) Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) technology enhances server architecture for AI and high-performance computing workloads [1][3] - DCBBS is designed to improve data center efficiency by supporting high-wattage CPUs and GPUs while minimizing reliance on traditional bulky server systems [2] - The demand for DCBBS is rapidly increasing, particularly with NVIDIA's Blackwell Ultra and AMD MI350/355X platforms, contributing to expected margins over 20% [3] Company Performance - SMCI anticipates significant revenue growth in its server and storage system segment, with a projected revenue of $36 billion for fiscal 2026 [4] - The company has secured over $13 billion in orders for Blackwell Ultra, indicating strong market demand [4] - Despite growth prospects, SMCI expects a decline in second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings due to high costs associated with the GB300 ramp and other operational expenses [5] Competitive Landscape - The AI data center market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 31.6%, reaching a market size of $934 billion by 2023 [6] - Major competitors include Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies, both of which offer various server solutions and have established partnerships with NVIDIA [6][7] Valuation and Estimates - SMCI shares have increased by 31.8% year-to-date, compared to the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 89.8% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.62X, significantly lower than the industry's average of 2.07X [10] - Zacks Consensus Estimates indicate a year-over-year earnings growth of 4.37% for fiscal 2026 and 44% for fiscal 2027, although recent estimates have been revised downward [11]
Super Micro Stock Tests Support as AI Expansion Outpaces Its Cash Engine
Investing· 2025-11-06 19:53
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc. is experiencing a significant contrast between its growth potential in the AI hardware sector and its current financial challenges, with Q1 FY2026 revenue declining by 15% year-on-year to $5.0 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $6 billion [1][2][14] - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to at least $36 billion, up from $33 billion, driven by substantial orders for NVIDIA's GB300 AI platform [1][2] Financial Performance - Q1 FY2026 results showed a decline in earnings per share (EPS) to $0.35, below the expected $0.46, and a gross margin contraction to 9.5%, the lowest in two years [1][14] - Operating cash flow turned negative at –$918 million, with inventories increasing by $1 billion to $5.7 billion, and the cash-conversion cycle extended to 123 days from 96 [2][11] - The company ended the quarter with $4.2 billion in cash and $4.8 billion in debt, resulting in a net-debt position of $575 million [2][14] Growth Strategy - CEO Charles Liang described FY2026 as a pivotal year for "hypergrowth consolidation," with over 75% of Q1 revenue derived from AI compute platforms [3][12] - The company aims to produce 6,000 racks per month, including 3,000 direct-liquid-cooling units, across expanded facilities in multiple regions [5][12] Market Position and Competition - Super Micro's unique value proposition lies in its speed-to-market and system integration capabilities, although it faces increased competition from Dell, HPE, and Celestica [9][10] - The company has shifted its regional exposure, with the U.S. contributing 37% of revenue (down 57% YoY) while Asia's share increased by 143% to 46% [9][10] Valuation and Investor Sentiment - The stock trades at approximately 18.5 times forward P/E and 0.9 times price-to-sales, significantly below peer medians, indicating a market discount for execution risk rather than growth potential [10][13] - Management emphasizes maintaining profitability and leveraging credit lines to manage liquidity, with a focus on restoring double-digit margins as the business scales [11][15]
Super Micro (SMCI) Tumbles 11% as Q1 Earnings Disappoint
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-06 17:11
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has experienced a significant decline in stock performance, dropping 11.52% to close at $42.03 after disappointing earnings results for Q1 of fiscal year 2026 [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company's net income fell by 60% to $168.28 million from $424 million year-on-year, while net sales decreased by 15% to $5 billion from $5.9 billion [2]. - For the full fiscal year 2026, Super Micro expects net sales to grow by 64% to $36 billion, up from $21.97 billion in fiscal year 2025 [3]. - In Q2, net sales are projected to be between $10 billion and $11 billion, with GAAP diluted earnings per share estimated at $0.37 to $0.45 [3]. Strategic Direction - Super Micro is transforming into a leading AI and datacenter infrastructure company, focusing on solutions that simplify deployment, accelerate time-to-market, and reduce total cost of ownership (TCO) [4].
Supermicro Introduces New Business Line, Data Center Building Block Solutions, for Data Center Facilities Equipment and Management Services
Prnewswire· 2025-10-14 13:05
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has launched a new business line called Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) aimed at simplifying the design and construction of data centers from a single vendor [1][2] - The DCBBS offers a complete IT infrastructure solution, including servers, storage, management software, liquid cooling, networking, and electrical components, all pre-tested and integrated before shipment [1][2][6] - The introduction of liquid cooling technology can reduce data center power consumption by up to 40% compared to traditional air-cooled systems [2][4] DCBBS Components - DCBBS serves as a one-stop-shop for data center needs, focusing on time-to-online, performance, and cost reduction [3] - Key components include critical computing, power, cooling infrastructure, management software, and data center services [3] - Liquid-cooling modular building blocks are designed for optimized configurations based on customer workloads and environmental requirements [3] AI and Compute Systems - Supermicro provides a range of systems optimized for AI and accelerated compute technology from major partners like NVIDIA, AMD, and Intel [4] - The company’s liquid cooling solutions can efficiently remove up to 98% of heat from electronics, enhancing system performance [4] Power and Backup Solutions - Supermicro offers power shelves designed for 33kW per shelf and battery backup units (BBUs) that provide 48V DC backup power for critical workloads [5] - In-row cooling solutions can handle up to 1.8 MW of server-generated heat, ensuring efficient cooling for high-powered racks [5] Management Software Suite - The SuperCloud Composer (SCC) is a comprehensive management software that monitors servers, networking, and liquid cooling infrastructure [5] - SuperCloud Automation Center (SCAC) provides enterprise-grade automation for data center and edge infrastructure, enhancing security and scalability [5] Services and Onsite Deployment - Supermicro offers professional services for data center design, solution validation, and on-site deployment, ensuring long-term success and reduced lead times [9] - The integrated total solutions provided by Supermicro aim to enhance the quality of data center installations while minimizing time-to-online [9]
Will SMCI's Next-Generation Products Fuel Long-Term Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 13:30
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing significant growth due to the increasing demand for next-generation server platforms and AI deployments, particularly with its new products and solutions [2][3][11] Product and Technology Developments - SMCI has launched next-generation AI systems, including the NVIDIA B300 and GB300, and introduced Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) for faster AI data center deployments [3][11] - The company has also released DLC-2 technology, which reduces power and water consumption by up to 40%, lowers noise levels to approximately 50 decibels, and decreases total cost of ownership by 20% [4][11] - More than 30 new solutions optimized for NVIDIA and AMD architectures have been introduced, positioning SMCI to benefit from strategic partnerships for building hyperscale AI campuses globally [5][11] Market Position and Competition - SMCI faces competition from Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies, both of which offer advanced AI server solutions and liquid cooling technologies [7][8][9] - HPE has entered the AI infrastructure market with modular solutions that support high-performance computing, while Dell provides customizable AI server solutions with rapid deployment capabilities [8][9] Financial Performance and Projections - SMCI's shares have increased by 50.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 36.5% [10] - The company is expanding its global manufacturing capacity with new facilities in Silicon Valley, Taiwan, the Netherlands, and Mexico to meet rising AI demand [6][11] - Revenue growth projections indicate a 48% increase for fiscal 2026 and a 15% increase for fiscal 2027, according to the Zacks Consensus Estimate [6] Valuation Metrics - SMCI currently trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.85X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.7X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 23%, while fiscal 2026 estimates indicate a growth of 29% [13]
2 Popular AI Stocks to Sell Before They Fall 43% and 67%, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-21 08:45
Group 1: C3.ai Overview - C3.ai has faced significant challenges, including a 19% year-over-year revenue decline to $70.3 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, marking its first revenue miss since going public [7] - The company reported a non-GAAP operating loss of $57.8 million, worsening from a $16.6 million loss in the same quarter the previous year [9] - C3.ai's non-GAAP gross margin decreased by nearly 18 percentage points year-over-year to 52%, primarily due to higher costs and weaker economies of scale [10] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment on C3.ai - Analysts have set a price target of $10 per share for C3.ai, indicating a 43% downside from its current price of $17.80 [4] - The company has withdrawn its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, suggesting limited revenue visibility [11] - Despite a $2.4 billion market cap, some analysts view the valuation as unjustified given the company's growth issues [12] Group 3: Super Micro Computer Overview - Super Micro Computer reported a 47% year-over-year revenue increase to $22 billion in fiscal 2025, but its Q4 revenue of $5.76 billion fell short of estimates [13] - The company's non-GAAP margin was 9.6%, significantly below its long-term target of 14% to 17% [13] - Operating expenses rose 29% year-over-year to $239 million in Q4, and inventories increased to $4.7 billion [15] Group 4: Analyst Sentiment on Super Micro Computer - Analysts maintain a bearish stance on Super Micro Computer, with a target price of $15, suggesting a 67% downside from its current price of approximately $44.60 [4] - The company trades at roughly 16.9 times forward earnings, which some analysts believe is not justified given the current profitability challenges [17] - Management's expectations for new products to improve profit margins remain uncertain due to a lack of experience in forecasting their financial impact [16]
Will SMCI's DCBBS Push Spark Growth in its Data Center Business?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 15:31
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's (SMCI) Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) is gaining traction in the AI, hyperscale, and high-performance computing (HPC) sectors [1][3] - The DCBBS solution features a modular, rack-scale, plug-and-play architecture with direct liquid cooling, enhancing thermal performance and power efficiency [1][7] - SMCI anticipates revenues between $6 billion and $7 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by demand in AI and DCBBS solutions [2][7] Company Performance - Super Micro Computer is positioned to lead in sustainable and high-performance data centers, with expectations for significant revenue growth from DCBBS amid AI and HPC infrastructure upgrades [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects revenues of $32.5 billion for 2026 and $37.5 billion for 2027, reflecting year-over-year growth of 48% and 15% respectively [3] - SMCI shares have increased by 48.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 36.9% [6] Competitive Landscape - SMCI's DCBBS faces competition from Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies (DELL), both of which offer liquid cooling solutions [4][5] - HPE provides liquid-cooled HPC and AI servers, while Dell's solutions are designed to be modular and customizable, enhancing deployment speed [4][5] - Despite competition, SMCI's fully integrated DCBBS offers a competitive advantage due to its plug-and-play design [5] Valuation Metrics - SMCI trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.84X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.71X, indicating a favorable valuation [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year growth of 23.3%, with fiscal 2027 indicating growth of 29.2% [9]
Can SMCI's Cooling Platforms Emerge as the Next Revenue Pillar?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 16:21
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing significant growth in its next-generation air-cooled and liquid-cooled GPU and AI platforms, contributing over 70% to its revenue in Q4 fiscal 2025 [1][9] - The company has set a revenue guidance of $33 billion for fiscal 2026, reflecting a 48% year-over-year growth [5][9] Group 1: Product and Technology Developments - SMCI's cooling technologies are integral to its Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS), which have seen increased demand, reducing installation time from 12-18 months to 3-6 months [2][9] - The newly introduced DLC-2 system is popular among customers, achieving up to 40% reductions in power and water consumption, thus lowering total ownership costs while enhancing performance for modern data centers [3] - The company has achieved a production milestone of 2000 DLC racks per month, indicating strong adoption of liquid cooling technology [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Vertiv (VRT) is expanding its thermal management portfolio and collaborating with NVIDIA to enhance cooling systems for AI factories [6] - Dell Technologies (DELL) offers modular and customizable liquid cooling architectures, facilitating easier deployment and adoption of their server solutions [7] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - SMCI's shares have increased by 31.6% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 21.4% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.75X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.52X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a 23% year-over-year growth in fiscal 2025 earnings and a 29% growth in fiscal 2026 earnings, although these estimates have been revised downward recently [12]
SMCI Projects $33B FY26 Revenues: Is the Growth Target Realistic?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 13:36
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) aims to achieve revenues of at least $33 billion in fiscal 2026, reflecting a significant 50% year-over-year growth [1] - The company reported a 47% year-over-year revenue increase to $22 billion in fiscal 2025, despite facing supply constraints and regulatory delays [1][4] Revenue Growth Strategy - SMCI is focusing on its Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS), which provide modular infrastructure for AI data centers, reducing deployment time and costs [2] - The company anticipates that DCBBS will attract both hyperscale and enterprise customers, with several large-scale clients already engaged and more expected in fiscal 2026 [2] Market Demand and Partnerships - The increasing demand for AI computing supports SMCI's growth target, bolstered by partnerships with vendors like NVIDIA and Advanced Micro Devices [3] - Expansion into Europe, Asia, and the Middle East presents additional growth opportunities for the company [3] Competitive Landscape - SMCI competes with Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise in the AI and data center market [5] - Dell Technologies has a strong position due to its established distribution and service offerings, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise focuses on hybrid cloud and AI workloads, making it a direct competitor [6][7] Financial Performance and Valuation - SMCI's shares have increased approximately 44.6% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Storage Devices industry's gain of 11.7% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.61, which is lower than the industry average of 17.71 [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2026 revenues is $32.54 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 48.1% [4] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 imply year-over-year increases of approximately 23.3% and 29.2%, respectively, although these estimates have been revised downward in the past 30 days [11]
Super Micro Computer Sees Modular Infrastructure As The Solution For Its Margin Decline
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-14 18:32
Group 1 - Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is launching Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) to enhance AI infrastructure for enterprises and cloud services [1] - The DCBBS is an integrated technology stack aimed at accelerating the implementation of AI solutions [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of considering the entire investment ecosystem rather than evaluating a company in isolation [1]