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Will SMCI's Next-Generation Products Fuel Long-Term Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 13:30
Key Takeaways SMCI is first to ship NVIDIA B300 & GB300 AI systems, launching over 30 new NVIDIA- and AMD-based solutions.New DLC-2 reduces power and water use by up to 40%, cuts costs 20%, and operates at lower noise levels.SMCI expands manufacturing in Silicon Valley, Taiwan, the Netherlands, and Mexico to meet surging AI demand.Super Micro Computer‘s (SMCI) next-generation server platforms, storage offerings, and direct liquid cooling (DLC) racks are experiencing massive traction as enterprises and hyper ...
2 Popular AI Stocks to Sell Before They Fall 43% and 67%, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-21 08:45
Group 1: C3.ai Overview - C3.ai has faced significant challenges, including a 19% year-over-year revenue decline to $70.3 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, marking its first revenue miss since going public [7] - The company reported a non-GAAP operating loss of $57.8 million, worsening from a $16.6 million loss in the same quarter the previous year [9] - C3.ai's non-GAAP gross margin decreased by nearly 18 percentage points year-over-year to 52%, primarily due to higher costs and weaker economies of scale [10] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment on C3.ai - Analysts have set a price target of $10 per share for C3.ai, indicating a 43% downside from its current price of $17.80 [4] - The company has withdrawn its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, suggesting limited revenue visibility [11] - Despite a $2.4 billion market cap, some analysts view the valuation as unjustified given the company's growth issues [12] Group 3: Super Micro Computer Overview - Super Micro Computer reported a 47% year-over-year revenue increase to $22 billion in fiscal 2025, but its Q4 revenue of $5.76 billion fell short of estimates [13] - The company's non-GAAP margin was 9.6%, significantly below its long-term target of 14% to 17% [13] - Operating expenses rose 29% year-over-year to $239 million in Q4, and inventories increased to $4.7 billion [15] Group 4: Analyst Sentiment on Super Micro Computer - Analysts maintain a bearish stance on Super Micro Computer, with a target price of $15, suggesting a 67% downside from its current price of approximately $44.60 [4] - The company trades at roughly 16.9 times forward earnings, which some analysts believe is not justified given the current profitability challenges [17] - Management's expectations for new products to improve profit margins remain uncertain due to a lack of experience in forecasting their financial impact [16]
Will SMCI's DCBBS Push Spark Growth in its Data Center Business?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 15:31
Key Takeaways SMCI's DCBBS integrates liquid cooling to boost efficiency, power, and density for AI and HPC workloads.The company expects $6-$7B in Q1 FY26 revenues from AI racks, DCBBS, software, and services.SMCI stock has surged 46.7% YTD, outpacing industry growth of 2.8%, with lower valuation multiples.Super Micro Computer’s (SMCI) Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) is experiencing traction among customers operating in artificial intelligence (AI), hyperscale and high-performance computing (H ...
Can SMCI's Cooling Platforms Emerge as the Next Revenue Pillar?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 16:21
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing significant growth in its next-generation air-cooled and liquid-cooled GPU and AI platforms, contributing over 70% to its revenue in Q4 fiscal 2025 [1][9] - The company has set a revenue guidance of $33 billion for fiscal 2026, reflecting a 48% year-over-year growth [5][9] Group 1: Product and Technology Developments - SMCI's cooling technologies are integral to its Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS), which have seen increased demand, reducing installation time from 12-18 months to 3-6 months [2][9] - The newly introduced DLC-2 system is popular among customers, achieving up to 40% reductions in power and water consumption, thus lowering total ownership costs while enhancing performance for modern data centers [3] - The company has achieved a production milestone of 2000 DLC racks per month, indicating strong adoption of liquid cooling technology [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Vertiv (VRT) is expanding its thermal management portfolio and collaborating with NVIDIA to enhance cooling systems for AI factories [6] - Dell Technologies (DELL) offers modular and customizable liquid cooling architectures, facilitating easier deployment and adoption of their server solutions [7] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - SMCI's shares have increased by 31.6% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 21.4% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.75X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.52X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a 23% year-over-year growth in fiscal 2025 earnings and a 29% growth in fiscal 2026 earnings, although these estimates have been revised downward recently [12]
SMCI Projects $33B FY26 Revenues: Is the Growth Target Realistic?
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 13:36
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) aims to achieve revenues of at least $33 billion in fiscal 2026, reflecting a significant 50% year-over-year growth [1] - The company reported a 47% year-over-year revenue increase to $22 billion in fiscal 2025, despite facing supply constraints and regulatory delays [1][4] Revenue Growth Strategy - SMCI is focusing on its Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS), which provide modular infrastructure for AI data centers, reducing deployment time and costs [2] - The company anticipates that DCBBS will attract both hyperscale and enterprise customers, with several large-scale clients already engaged and more expected in fiscal 2026 [2] Market Demand and Partnerships - The increasing demand for AI computing supports SMCI's growth target, bolstered by partnerships with vendors like NVIDIA and Advanced Micro Devices [3] - Expansion into Europe, Asia, and the Middle East presents additional growth opportunities for the company [3] Competitive Landscape - SMCI competes with Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise in the AI and data center market [5] - Dell Technologies has a strong position due to its established distribution and service offerings, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise focuses on hybrid cloud and AI workloads, making it a direct competitor [6][7] Financial Performance and Valuation - SMCI's shares have increased approximately 44.6% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Storage Devices industry's gain of 11.7% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.61, which is lower than the industry average of 17.71 [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2026 revenues is $32.54 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 48.1% [4] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 imply year-over-year increases of approximately 23.3% and 29.2%, respectively, although these estimates have been revised downward in the past 30 days [11]
Super Micro Computer Sees Modular Infrastructure As The Solution For Its Margin Decline
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-14 18:32
Group 1 - Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is launching Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) to enhance AI infrastructure for enterprises and cloud services [1] - The DCBBS is an integrated technology stack aimed at accelerating the implementation of AI solutions [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of considering the entire investment ecosystem rather than evaluating a company in isolation [1]
Supermicro Shares Plunge on Outlook. Is This a Red Flag or a Buying Opportunity?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-10 09:05
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has faced significant challenges with revenue forecasting and gross margins, leading to a volatile stock performance, with shares down approximately 25% over the past year but up nearly 50% year to date [1] Revenue Performance - For fiscal Q4, Supermicro's revenue increased by 7% year over year to $5.76 billion, missing the analyst consensus of $5.89 billion and falling within the low end of its guidance range of $5.6 billion to $6.4 billion [5] - The company has consistently lowered its revenue guidance throughout the fiscal year, starting with a reduction in November for fiscal Q1 revenue from $6 billion to $7 billion to a range of $5.9 billion to $6 billion [2][5] Gross Margin Issues - Supermicro's gross margins have been under pressure, dropping from 17% a year earlier to 11.3% in June 2024, and further declining to 9.5% in fiscal Q4 compared to 10.2% a year ago [6][7] - The decline in gross margins is attributed to price reductions to secure new design wins and increased competition in the GPU platform transition [6][7] Profitability Challenges - The company's adjusted EPS fell by 24% to $0.41, missing the analyst consensus of $0.44, indicating that lower gross margins are adversely affecting profitability [10] - Fiscal Q1 revenue guidance is projected between $6 billion and $7 billion, but adjusted EPS guidance of $0.40 to $0.52 is below the analyst estimate of $0.59 [10] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Supermicro projects revenue growth to at least $33 billion, representing a 50% increase, driven by expanding its enterprise customer base and new product innovations [11] - The company aims to improve gross margins by focusing on higher-margin markets and complete data center solutions, with a long-term goal of reaching 15% to 16% [9] Valuation Considerations - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of just over 16 times based on fiscal-year 2026 estimates, which appears reasonable given the revenue growth guidance [13] - However, the business model is characterized as low-margin and may struggle with GPU product transition cycles, making it less favorable compared to other AI infrastructure companies [12][13]
Super Micro Computer(SMCI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-05 21:00
Financial Performance - Revenue for Fiscal Q4 2025 reached $5757 million, a 25% increase QoQ and an 8% increase YoY[28] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Fiscal Q4 2025 was 96%, a decrease of 10 bps QoQ and 70 bps YoY[28] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Fiscal Q4 2025 were $041, up $010 QoQ but down $013 YoY[28] - Cash flow from operations was $864 million, up $237 million QoQ but down $1511 million YoY[28] Revenue Mix - Server and Storage Systems revenue was $5618 million, up 26% QoQ and 10% YoY[28] - Subsystems & Accessories revenue was $139 million, down 1% QoQ and 48% YoY[28] Future Outlook - The company projects revenue between $60 billion and $70 billion for FQ1 2026[30] - The company anticipates GAAP diluted net EPS between $030 and $042 and non-GAAP diluted net EPS between $040 and $052 for FQ1 2026[30] - The company expects at least $33 billion in revenue for FY26[30] Strategic Initiatives - The company is targeting ~30%+ of global new data center deployments to use DLC solutions in the next 12 months[10]
Why Super Micro Computer Rallied Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-28 20:59
Group 1 - Digi Power X has filed a provisional utility patent for its ARMS 200 modular data center platform, naming Super Micro Computer as the exclusive server supplier with an order expected in Q4 2025 [3][6] - Digi Power X aims to retrofit underutilized energy assets in remote areas to power new AI data centers, positioning itself as a neocloud provider similar to CoreWeave or Nebius [4] - The flagship project for Digi Power X and Supermicro will be located in Columbiana, Alabama, with a launch date set for Q1 2026 [5] Group 2 - Super Micro Computer's shares rose by 10.2% following the announcement of its partnership with Digi Power X [1] - The selection of Supermicro as the exclusive server provider indicates the company may possess advanced technology, particularly with the new Nvidia Blackwell systems [6] - Supermicro has been promoting its own modular "Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS)" technology, which aligns with Digi Power X's modular approach [7]
SMCI's Server Demand Rising: Will Innovation Keep the Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 15:06
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's (SMCI) server and storage system revenues grew 19% year over year in Q3 FY25, surpassing $4.5 billion, driven by demand from hyperscalers and AI clients [1][11] - The company's direct liquid cooling products for data centers are a significant contributor, with production exceeding 2000 DLC racks per month [2] - Recent product launches, including Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) and petascale storage systems, are expected to enhance future growth [3] Revenue and Growth - The server and storage system segment accounted for 97% of SMCI's total revenue, indicating a strong reliance on this area for overall performance [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2025 revenues is projected at $22.12 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 48% [5] Competitive Landscape - The global storage and server market features competitors like Pure Storage and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, with Pure Storage focusing on modern storage solutions and HPE experiencing a 6% year-over-year growth in server sales due to AI demand [6][7] - The enterprise server market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 8.03% from 2025 to 2030, reaching $139.81 billion, presenting significant opportunities for SMCI and its competitors [8] Manufacturing and Expansion - SMCI is expanding its global manufacturing capabilities in Malaysia, Taiwan, and Europe to enhance deployment and navigate geopolitical and tariff challenges [4][11] Valuation and Performance - SMCI shares have increased by 43.3% year to date, contrasting with a 3.2% decline in the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.87X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.61X, indicating potential undervaluation [12]