DexCom Inc. (NASDAQ:DXCM) is one of the best growth stocks to buy in 2026. On December 2, Morgan Stanley upgraded DexCom to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $75, which was up from $63. The firm noted that the company is overcoming recent operational hurdles while its stock remains at historical lows. Morgan Stanley expects the full scope of this recovery to be visible by early next year and believes that investors are currently undervaluing the G7 rollout’s margin potential. Earlier on ...

Core Insights - DexCom has received FDA clearance for its CGM-integrated basal insulin dosing optimizer, Dexcom Smart Basal, specifically for adults with Type 2 diabetes using glargine U-100 long-acting insulin therapy [1][8] - The software will utilize data from DexCom's G7 15 day CGM sensor to provide personalized daily insulin dose recommendations, enhancing the effectiveness of long-acting insulin therapy [2][9] - Despite the FDA clearance, DexCom's stock has declined by 23.2% this year, contrasting with the industry's growth of 0.6% and the S&P 500's gain of 13.5% [3] Product Details - Dexcom Smart Basal is the first titration software that integrates with a CGM sensor to optimize basal insulin doses, starting with an initial dose set by healthcare providers [1][6] - The software analyzes CGM readings to provide personalized recommendations, adjusting doses based on glucose levels and offering alerts for low glucose to prevent hypoglycemic episodes [9][10] - The feature is expected to improve adherence to insulin therapy and reduce the workflow for healthcare providers by minimizing manual input and office visits [10] Market Performance - Following the FDA clearance, DexCom's stock fell by 0.7% on November 19, indicating ongoing pressure on gross margins despite the positive regulatory news [3][4] - The introduction of Dexcom Smart Basal is anticipated to boost demand for the G7 15 day sensor among Type 2 diabetes patients [4] Competitive Landscape - DexCom currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), while other medical stocks like Medpace Holdings, Globus Medical, and Masimo have higher rankings, indicating stronger performance in the market [11] - Medpace has shown a significant earnings growth rate of 17.1% for 2025, outperforming the industry average of 16.6% [12] - Globus Medical and Masimo also reported strong earnings, with adjusted EPS exceeding consensus estimates, highlighting competitive performance in the medical sector [12][13]

Core Insights - DexCom, Inc. has received FDA clearance for Dexcom Smart Basal, the first and only CGM-integrated basal insulin dosing optimizer for adults with Type 2 diabetes on glargine U-100 long-acting insulin therapy [1] - The Dexcom Smart Basal will utilize data from the Dexcom G7 15 Day sensor and logged doses to provide personalized daily recommendations for optimizing long-acting insulin doses [1] Company Summary - DexCom, Inc. is recognized as the global leader in glucose biosensing technology [1] - The introduction of Dexcom Smart Basal represents a significant advancement in diabetes management, specifically targeting adults with Type 2 diabetes [1] Industry Impact - The FDA clearance of Dexcom Smart Basal is expected to enhance the management of Type 2 diabetes, potentially improving patient outcomes through personalized insulin dosing [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported worldwide revenue of $1.21 billion for Q3 2025, a 22% increase compared to $994 million in Q3 2024, with organic revenue growth of 20% [20] - U.S. revenue reached $852 million, up 21% from $702 million in Q3 2024, driven by growth in Type 2 diabetes contributions [20][21] - International revenue grew 22% to $357.4 million, with organic growth of 18%, marking the third consecutive quarter of accelerating international growth [21] - Gross profit was $741.3 million, representing 61.3% of revenue, down from 63.0% in Q3 2024, impacted by higher scrap rates [22][24] - Operating income was $272.9 million, or 22.6% of revenue, compared to $212.0 million, or 21.3% in Q3 2024 [24] - Net income for Q3 was $242.5 million, or $0.61 per share, the highest quarterly earnings per share in the company's history [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company continues to see strong performance in Type 2 diabetes, with new customer starts increasingly coming from this population due to expanded coverage [8][21] - The introduction of Dexcom Smart Basal aims to improve basal insulin management for Type 2 customers, enhancing the user experience [11][12] - Stelo surpassed $100 million in revenue within its first year, indicating strong market acceptance and potential for further growth [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has established coverage for nearly 6 million Type 2 non-insulin lives in the U.S., representing about half of the Type 2 NIT commercial population [9] - France and Canada are highlighted as fast-growing markets, with significant new coverage contributing to growth [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding coverage for Type 2 diabetes patients and enhancing product personalization through new features [10][11] - The upcoming launch of the G7 15-day system is expected to enhance the company's market position, with finalized contracts with major payers [15][52] - The company is committed to improving customer experience through digital innovations like My Dexcom Account [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential driven by expanding CGM access and the increasing body of evidence supporting CGM use among Type 2 patients [9][10] - The company anticipates a strong performance in Q4 and 2026, with expectations for record new patient starts [77] - Management acknowledged challenges in Q3 but emphasized improvements in product quality and customer satisfaction [34][35] Other Important Information - The company raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $4.630 billion to $4.650 billion, reflecting approximately 15% growth for the year [25] - Non-GAAP gross profit margin guidance was lowered to approximately 61% due to scrap dynamics [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on 2026 growth estimates - Management refrained from providing specific guidance for 2026 but indicated a double-digit growth potential based on current coverage and access [30][31] Question: G7 performance and impact of quality issues - Management confirmed that quality issues have been resolved, and while there was a slight impact on new starts in Q3, they expect improvements moving forward [34][35] Question: Growth in new patient segments - Management noted strong performance across all Type 2 markets, including intensive and non-insulin users, and emphasized ongoing efforts to drive growth [40][41] Question: Expanded coverage potential in 2026 - Management stated that the base case for guidance includes current coverage, with potential for expanded coverage to be recognized as it materializes [44][45] Question: Revenue contribution from the 15-day sensor - Management indicated that the 15-day sensor will have a nominal contribution in the current year but is expected to drive additional patient uptake in 2026 [53][54] Question: Actions to ensure clear communication regarding product quality - Management is actively engaging with prescribers and users to communicate improvements and address concerns regarding product performance [58][59] Question: Gross margin impacts and future expectations - Management indicated that scrap and freight issues are expected to improve, leading to a return to more normalized margin rates in 2026 [62][72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported worldwide revenue of $1.21 billion for Q3 2025, a 22% increase compared to $994 million in Q3 2024, with organic revenue growth of 20% [20][21] - U.S. revenue reached $852 million, up 21% from $702 million in the same quarter last year [20][21] - Gross profit was $741.3 million, representing 61.3% of revenue, down from 63.0% in Q3 2024 [22] - Operating income was $272.9 million, or 22.6% of revenue, compared to $212.0 million, or 21.3% in Q3 2024 [24] - Net income for Q3 was $242.5 million, or $0.61 per share, marking the highest quarterly earnings per share in the company's history [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced strong growth in Type 2 diabetes segments, with new customer starts increasingly coming from this population due to expanded coverage [8][20] - The introduction of Dexcom Smart Basal aims to enhance the management of basal insulin for Type 2 customers, addressing their specific needs [11][12] - Stelo surpassed $100 million in revenue within its first year, indicating strong market acceptance and growth potential [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue grew 22% to $357.4 million, with organic growth of 18%, marking the third consecutive quarter of accelerating international growth [21] - France and Canada were highlighted as strong markets, with France showing consistent growth due to new coverage [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding coverage for Type 2 diabetes patients, aiming to secure access for the entire population of over 25 million Americans [9][10] - The launch of the G7 15 Day system is anticipated to enhance the company's product offerings and market position [14][15] - The company is committed to improving customer experience through new digital platforms and ongoing software updates [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's growth trajectory, emphasizing the importance of expanding access to CGM for Type 2 diabetes patients [8][9] - The company acknowledged challenges related to sensor deployment but indicated improvements have been made, leading to a positive outlook for Q4 and beyond [34][35] - Management expects to return to record levels of new patient starts in 2026, driven by existing coverage and potential new coverage opportunities [77] Other Important Information - The company raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $4.630 billion to $4.650 billion, reflecting approximately 15% growth for the year [25] - Operating expenses increased to $468.4 million in Q3 2025, up from $413.9 million in Q3 2024, as the company continues to invest in R&D [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on 2026 growth estimates - Management refrained from providing specific guidance for 2026 but indicated a positive outlook based on current coverage and access to CGM [30][31] Question: G7 performance and deployment issues - Management confirmed that deployment challenges have been addressed, and they expect improvements in new starts and prescribing patterns moving forward [34][35] Question: Growth in new patient segments - The company noted strong performance across all Type 2 markets, including intensive and non-insulin users, and is actively exploring marketing strategies to drive uptake [40][41] Question: Expanded coverage potential for 2026 - Management stated that the base case for guidance includes current coverage, with potential for expanded coverage being a positive but not guaranteed factor [44][45] Question: 15 Day sensor launch and revenue contribution - The company is excited about the upcoming broader launch of the 15 Day sensor, with expectations for it to contribute to revenue growth in 2026 [52][53] Question: Gross margin and scrap rate issues - Management indicated that scrap and freight issues have impacted margins but expect improvements as they transition back to more cost-efficient shipping methods [70][72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported worldwide revenue of $1.21 billion for Q3 2025, a 22% increase compared to $994 million in Q3 2024, with organic revenue growth of 20% [17] - U.S. revenue totaled $852 million, up 21% from $702 million in Q3 2024, driven by growth in Type 2 diabetes contributions [17][18] - International revenue grew 22% to $357.4 million, with organic growth of 18%, marking the third consecutive quarter of accelerating international growth [18] - Gross profit was $741.3 million, representing 61.3% of revenue, down from 63.0% in Q3 2024, impacted by higher scrap rates [19][20] - Operating income was $272.9 million, or 22.6% of revenue, compared to $212.0 million, or 21.3% in Q3 2024 [22] - Net income reached $242.5 million, or $0.61 per share, the highest quarterly earnings per share in the company's history [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company continues to see strong performance in Type 2 diabetes, with new customer starts coming from the entire Type 2 population due to expanded coverage [5][6] - The Dexcom Smart Basal feature aims to improve basal insulin management for Type 2 customers, currently under FDA review [9] - Stelo surpassed $100 million in revenue within its first year, indicating strong market acceptance and potential for international expansion [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Coverage for nearly 6 million Type 2 non-insulin lives has been established, representing about half of the Type 2 NIT commercial population in the U.S. [6] - France and Canada are highlighted as fast-growing markets, with significant new coverage contributing to growth [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding coverage for Type 2 diabetes patients and enhancing product personalization [8][10] - The launch of the G7 15-day system is anticipated to enhance the company's market position, with contracts finalized with major payers [11][12] - The company is committed to improving customer experience through digital innovations like My Dexcom Account [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing expansion of CGM access for Type 2 diabetes, viewing it as a matter of "when, not if" [6][7] - The company is optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in expanding access and improving product offerings [15][22] Other Important Information - The company raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $4.630 billion to $4.650 billion, reflecting approximately 15% growth for the year [23] - Operating expenses increased to $468.4 million in Q3 2025, compared to $413.9 million in Q3 2024, as the company continues to invest in R&D [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on 2026 growth estimates - Management refrained from providing specific guidance for 2026 but indicated a double-digit growth runway based on current coverage [27] Question: G7 performance and impact of quality issues - Management confirmed that quality issues have been resolved, and while there was a slight impact on new starts, they expect to return to record levels in Q4 [30][32] Question: Growth in new patients and market strategy - Growth is observed across all Type 2 markets, with ongoing adjustments in marketing strategies to capture new patient segments [35] Question: Expanded coverage potential in 2026 - The base case for guidance includes current coverage, with potential for expanded coverage not factored in [39][40] Question: Revenue contribution from the 15-day sensor - The broader launch of the 15-day sensor is expected soon, with nominal revenue contribution anticipated in the current year but significant potential in 2026 [46][47] Question: Gross margin and scrap rate impacts - Management indicated that scrap and freight issues are expected to improve, with a return to normalized margins anticipated in 2026 [56][67] Question: Type 2 user utilization rates - Utilization rates for Type 2 users are strong, with AID customers showing the highest utilization, followed by intensive insulin users [68] Question: Quality issues and new patient starts - Quality issues had a slight impact on Q3 starts, but management expects to return to record levels without needing expanded access [72]

Dexcom Dexcom earnings Q3 2025 nigbetes Nasdag Safe harbor statement This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" that are based on our management's beliefs and assumptions and on information available to management as of October 30, 2025. We intend for such forward-looking statements to be cavered by the sofe harlpor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include information conceening our possi ...