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Why It's Time to Look at This Microsoft ETF
Etftrends· 2025-11-18 15:32
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft stock has recently pulled back about 9% from its 52-week high, which is close to a correction but is seen as a healthy retrenchment [1] Financial Performance - Microsoft's fiscal first-quarter results exceeded guidance, with revenue increasing 17% year over year in constant currency to $77.7 billion, surpassing the high end of guidance at $75.8 billion [3] - The operating margin was reported at 48.9%, also above the guidance of 47.2% [3] Azure Cloud Business - The Azure cloud computing business is a key driver for Microsoft's growth, with Azure growth reported at 39% in constant currency for the quarter, exceeding guidance of 37% [4] - Demand for Azure AI services is surging, contributing positively to long-term growth prospects [4] Investment Opportunities - The Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (MSFU) ETF, which aims to deliver 200% of the daily returns of Microsoft shares, is highlighted as an appealing option for aggressive traders [2] - Morningstar's fair value estimate for Microsoft stock is $600, significantly above its recent close at $506, indicating potential upside [4] Market Valuation - The S&P 500 Technology Index, which includes Microsoft, trades at 42x earnings, lower than the 67x seen during the 2000 internet bubble, suggesting that current valuations may be justified by earnings and cash flow growth [5] - Microsoft is viewed as a catalyst-rich company with ample opportunities for investment through MSFU [5] Long-term Growth Thesis - The long-term growth thesis for Microsoft focuses on the expansion of hybrid cloud environments, the proliferation of AI, and the strength of Azure [6]