Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call to Be Held on February 13, 2026BOSTON , Jan. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- DraftKings Inc. (Nasdaq: DKNG) (the “Company” or “DraftKings”) today announced that it will release its fourth quarter 2025 results after the close of market trading on Thursday, February 12, 2026. DraftKings will host a conference call and audio webcast the following morning, Friday, February 13, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET, during which management will discuss the Company’s results and provide ...

Core Insights - DraftKings has seen a significant increase in its stock value, with shares rising over 200% over the past three years, but recent competition from prediction markets has raised investor concerns [2] - The launch of DraftKings Predictions aims to counteract the competitive threat posed by platforms like Robinhood and Kalshi, which have gained traction in the prediction market space [3][5] - Despite a recent drop in share price, analysts on Wall Street see potential for significant upside in DraftKings' stock due to its expansion into prediction markets [6] Company Developments - DraftKings' shares experienced a nearly 12% drop on September 30, following announcements from Robinhood regarding the trading of over 2 billion prediction event contracts in Q3 and Kalshi's introduction of parlay-style bets targeting DraftKings' revenue streams [4] - The introduction of the prediction markets platform allows DraftKings to expand its customer base significantly, reaching 38 states compared to the 26 jurisdictions where it currently offers online sports betting [5] Market Context - The emergence of prediction markets has created a competitive landscape that could potentially divert customers from established players like DraftKings, raising concerns among investors [2][5] - Legal challenges may pose risks to the success of prediction markets, but DraftKings is positioned to mitigate some of these impacts [6]

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) is entering the prediction markets, significantly expanding its nationwide reach with the launch of DraftKings Predictions, which presents added market potential [1] Group 1: Company Expansion - The launch of DraftKings Predictions indicates a strategic move to tap into new market opportunities within the online gaming sector [1] - This expansion is expected to enhance DraftKings' overall market presence and competitive positioning [1] Group 2: Market Potential - The entry into prediction markets is anticipated to unlock additional revenue streams for DraftKings, contributing to its growth trajectory [1] - The move reflects a broader trend in the online gaming industry towards diversifying offerings to attract a wider customer base [1]

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) is entering the prediction markets, significantly expanding its nationwide reach with the launch of DraftKings Predictions, which presents new market potential [1] Group 1: Company Developments - The launch of DraftKings Predictions is expected to enhance market opportunities for the company [1] - The expansion into prediction markets comes with certain drawbacks, indicating potential challenges alongside the growth [1] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy focuses on identifying mispriced securities by understanding the financial drivers of a company, often revealed through a DCF model valuation [1] - This approach allows for a flexible investment strategy that encompasses various stock prospects, rather than being confined to traditional investment categories [1]

Core Insights - DraftKings has launched DraftKings Predictions, a standalone app and web product aimed at entering prediction markets [2][4] - The app will allow eligible U.S. residents to trade on real-world outcomes in sports and finance across 38 states, with plans to expand into entertainment and culture [2][4] - DraftKings Predictions is a registered Introducing Broker with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) [3] Group 1: Product Launch and Features - DraftKings Predictions is now available for eligible U.S. residents and will be added to major app stores shortly [2] - The app will offer event contracts and aims to create a unique customer experience by leveraging partnerships with ESPN and NBCUniversal [4] - The platform plans to connect multiple exchanges, including CME Group and Railbird Technologies, to enhance its offerings [4][5] Group 2: Market Strategy and Growth Potential - The acquisition of Railbird Technologies and Railbird Exchange will enable DraftKings to offer regulated event contracts, supporting its entry into prediction markets [5] - The CEO highlighted that sports are driving the growth of prediction markets and emphasized the competitive advantage DraftKings holds in this space [6] - The launch of DraftKings Predictions could provide legal prediction gaming options in states where online sports betting is not permitted, tapping into a significant market opportunity [6]

Core Insights - DraftKings has launched a new standalone mobile app called DraftKings Predictions, entering the prediction markets under the oversight of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) [1][2] - The app allows eligible customers to trade on real-world outcomes across various markets, initially focusing on sports and finance, with plans to expand into entertainment and culture [1][2] Product Offering - DraftKings Predictions will offer event contracts available across 38 states, enhancing the company's total addressable market, including states like California, Florida, Georgia, and Texas [2] - The app will connect to multiple exchanges, starting with CME Group, to provide a wide range of markets, including global benchmarks and economic indicators [2] Customer Engagement - To promote responsible engagement, DraftKings has extended its Responsible Gaming best practices to federally regulated event contracts through its Responsible Trading program, which includes features like deposit limits and educational resources [3] - The app is available for eligible U.S. residents and will be featured across major app stores, with promotional opportunities such as a chance to win $1 million and a $25 trade bonus for first trades in certain states [4][5] Company Background - DraftKings Inc. is a digital sports entertainment and gaming company founded in 2012, headquartered in Boston, and offers a range of products including daily fantasy, regulated gaming, and digital media [6] - The company operates in 30 states and has partnerships with major sports leagues, positioning itself as a leader in the real-money gaming space [7]

Core Viewpoint - DraftKings is seen as a potential rebound investment for 2026, but its success will depend on the execution of prediction markets and achieving sustainable profitability [1]. Financial Performance - DraftKings stock has rallied 21% in the last month but is still down 8% year-to-date [1]. - The company faced downward revisions of its 2025 guidance due to bettors' success in football, which impacted financial results [4]. Prediction Markets - Prediction markets, particularly Kalshi, have created significant headline risk for DraftKings and its competitors in 2025, leading to a decrease in market capitalization [5]. - DraftKings plans to launch its DraftKings Predictions mobile app following its acquisition of Railbird Technologies, which could influence its stock performance in 2026 [7]. Competitive Landscape - DraftKings is entering the event contracts space, which may offer shorter payback periods and better margins compared to traditional sports wagering [9]. - The company aims to reduce customer acquisition costs in the event contracts market, potentially enhancing profitability [9]. Pricing Strategy - DraftKings must execute effectively in the prediction markets by offering competitive products compared to Kalshi [10]. - The company has been able to provide better odds than prediction markets during the NFL season, which could benefit its event contracts platform [12].

Core Viewpoint - DraftKings has significantly underperformed in the stock market, losing 36.95% over the past five years despite growth in the U.S. sports wagering industry [1][2]. Industry Overview - The U.S. sports betting industry is expanding, with legal sports betting available in 39 states, Puerto Rico, and Washington, D.C. [2] - The domestic sports betting industry generated $13.71 billion in sales last year, up from $11.04 billion in 2023, with total bets expected to reach $172.55 billion this year, increasing from $113.85 billion in 2023 [2]. Company Performance - DraftKings has faced challenges such as slowing revenue growth and consistent operating losses, highlighted by disappointing third-quarter results that fell below Wall Street forecasts [4]. - The company has struggled with unfavorable outcomes for bettors in the NFL and NCAA tournaments, which negatively impacted its financial performance [5]. Tax Environment - DraftKings and its competitors are facing increased taxation, with seven tax increases announced in six states since the start of 2024, including a graduated tax scheme in Illinois that imposes higher rates on larger operators [7][8]. Future Outlook - The emergence of prediction markets presents both challenges and opportunities for DraftKings. Analysts believe the company has been overly punished by market sentiment [9]. - DraftKings Predictions, a new product expected to launch soon, could tap into a $5 billion total addressable market in U.S. prediction markets, potentially generating $176 million in EBITDA for the company within three years [10]. - While prediction markets are not a complete solution to DraftKings' issues, successful execution could lead to long-term growth and recovery from past disappointments [12].

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in shares of DraftKings Inc and Flutter Entertainment PLC is seen as unwarranted by analysts, who believe both companies have significant opportunities in the prediction markets space, estimated at $5 billion [1][3][6]. Company Analysis - DraftKings has an Outperform rating with a price target of $48, while Flutter Entertainment also holds an Outperform rating with a price target of $330 [1][2]. - The total addressable market (TAM) for DraftKings and Flutter in prediction markets is estimated at $5 billion, which includes $4.4 billion for sports prediction markets and $600 million for non-sports prediction markets [4]. - Analysts estimate that DraftKings and Flutter could achieve market shares of 14% and 16%, respectively, in prediction markets in states where online sports betting is not yet legalized [5]. Market Context - Since the end of August, DraftKings and Flutter have seen market capitalizations decrease by approximately $10 billion and $20 billion, respectively [6]. - The market is currently pricing in a worst-case scenario regarding the TAM, assuming that all states legalize online sports betting without allowing the launch of prediction markets [6]. - DraftKings shares closed at $29.44, down 1.83%, while Flutter shares closed at $191.79, down 0.79%, reflecting year-to-date declines of 18.9% and 24.7%, respectively [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of DraftKings may rebound despite current challenges, with investors needing to consider the impact of prediction markets on the company's performance [1][3]. Industry Overview - Companies like Kalshi and Polymarket are gaining traction in the prediction markets space, which has raised concerns among public market investors regarding sports betting [2][4]. - The October sports wagering handle in New York reached a record $2.64 billion, indicating that bettors are not abandoning traditional sportsbooks like DraftKings for prediction markets [5]. Company Performance - DraftKings' stock has declined 15.48% over the past month and is currently 46.24% below its 52-week high [2]. - The company is facing soft fundamentals, with a 2% growth in monthly unique payors and a 4% increase in revenue for the September quarter, which are not indicative of a growth stock [8]. - DraftKings is experiencing difficulties in attracting new clients and encouraging high spending among existing customers [8]. Strategic Initiatives - DraftKings plans to enter the Missouri market for online sports betting, which will require significant marketing and customer incentives [9]. - The company has announced the acquisition of Railbird Exchange for approximately $250 million, aiming to enhance its prediction market capabilities [11]. - A potential rebound could be supported by favorable NFL outcomes and a successful launch in Missouri, along with the performance of DraftKings Predictions [12]. Financial Actions - DraftKings has expanded its buyback program from $1 billion to $2 billion, which could signal confidence to investors if shares are repurchased at lower prices [13].