Key Takeaways AMD topped Q2 earnings and revenue estimates, driven by Ryzen and EPYC processor sales.Data Center and Client segments posted double-digit growth, led by Instinct GPUs and Ryzen CPUs.An $800M inventory write-down tied to China export controls pressured margins and weighed on shares.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported second-quarter 2025 non-GAAP earnings of 48 cents per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.13%. The figure declined 30.4% year over year. Revenues of $7.685 billi ...

AMD Financial Results Second Quarter 2025 August 5, 2025 Cautionary Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), such as the features, functionality, performance, availability, timing and expected benefits of future AMD products; AMD's large growth opportunities across diverse set of markets; AMD's data center AI accelerator opportunity; AMD's anticipated sale of ZT Systems' data center infrastructure manufacturing business and expected benef ...

Key Takeaways AMD projects solid Q2 growth led by data center and client segment momentum.Increased demand for EPYC and Ryzen chips is expected to boost AMD's performance.Export restrictions on AI chip shipments to China pose a challenge for AMD this quarter.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is set to release its second-quarter 2025 results on Aug. 5.AMD expects second-quarter 2025 revenues of $7.4 billion (+/-$300 million). At the mid-point of the revenue range, this represents year-over-year growth of approxim ...

Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares have increased by 11.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 7.9% and Intel Corporation's (INTC) 9.5% increase [1][8] Group 1: Financial Performance - AMD's data center revenues surged by 57.2% year-over-year to $3.674 billion in Q1 2025, accounting for 49.4% of total revenues [4][8] - AMD expects Q2 2025 revenues of $7.4 billion (+/- $300 million), indicating a year-over-year growth of approximately 27% [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's Q2 2025 earnings is 54 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 21.74% [14] Group 2: Product and Market Developments - AMD is expanding its EPYC portfolio, with Nokia adopting its fifth-gen EPYC 9005 Series processors for enhanced performance in cloud applications [5][8] - The introduction of the Instinct MI350 Series GPUs at the 2025 Advancing AI event showcases AMD's commitment to the AI market, with 4x generational AI compute gains [6][9] - Strategic partnerships with companies like Meta Platforms and OpenAI are enhancing AMD's role in AI workloads [9] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - AMD faces significant competition from NVIDIA, particularly in the data center and AI chip markets, where NVIDIA's data center revenues increased by 73.3% year-over-year [10][11] - Export restrictions on GPUs to China are expected to negatively impact AMD's revenues by approximately $700 million in Q2 2025 [12][13] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - AMD stock is currently considered overvalued, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 6.33X compared to the industry average of 3.83X [15] - The company is advised to hold its stock for now, as near-term prospects are affected by macroeconomic uncertainties and competitive pressures [19][20]

AI Workloads & AMD's Solutions - AI workloads are classified into five buckets: traditional machine learning, recommendation systems, language models and generative AI, and mixed AI enabled workloads [7] - AMD offers both GPUs and CPUs to cover the span of all enterprise AI needs, supported through an open ecosystem [11] - AMD's 5 GHz EPYC processor is purpose-built as a host processor for AI accelerators, leveraging the x86 ecosystem for broad software support and flexibility [13][14] - AMD EPYC CPUs lead with 64 cores and 5 GHz operation, suitable for robust enterprise-class workloads [15] Performance & Efficiency - AMD EPYC CPUs demonstrate a 7% to 13% performance boost compared to Xeon when used as a host processor for GPUs [17] - For generative workloads, AMD EPYC CPUs show a 28% to 33% improvement compared to the competition [24] - For natural language workloads, AMD EPYC CPUs outperform the latest generation competition by 20% to 36% [25] - AMD EPYC processors are built for low power, low cost AI inference, offering fast inference, easy integration, and the ability to add AI workloads without adding significant power consumption [28] Uber's Use Case - Uber handles 33 million trips daily, serving 170 million monthly active users, requiring a robust technology stack [30] - Uber began its cloud migration journey with GCP and OCI in late 2022, focused on accelerating innovation and optimizing costs [33] - Uber is migrating more workloads to AMD CPUs in a multi-cloud environment, leveraging next-gen technologies like PCI Gen 6 and CXL [37] - Uber expects over 30% better SPECjbb2015-perf per dollar with GCP C40 chips based on Turin architecture compared to CKD [38]

Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares are currently overvalued with a Value Score of D, trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 5.63X compared to the industry's 3.60X [1][3] Stock Performance - AMD shares have declined by 3.9% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's increase of 2.5% and the Zacks Computer – Integrated Systems industry's growth of 16.4% [3][5] - The underperformance is attributed to macroeconomic challenges, including higher tariffs and export controls on certain Instinct GPUs to China [3] AI Market Expansion - AMD is enhancing its presence in the AI market with the introduction of the Instinct MI350 Series GPUs, which offer 4x generational AI compute gains [7] - Strategic partnerships with companies like Meta Platforms, OpenAI, Microsoft, and Oracle are pivotal in supporting AMD's role in next-gen AI workloads [8][10] EPYC Processor Adoption - The adoption of AMD's fifth-gen EPYC Turin processors is significant, with deployment across top telecom, aerospace, and semiconductor companies [12] - Nokia has adopted AMD's fifth-gen EPYC 9005 Series processors for its Cloud Platform, improving performance for 5G applications [13] Acquisitions and Market Position - AMD's acquisition of ZT Systems aims to strengthen its AI ecosystem and compete with NVIDIA in the AI chip market, targeting the $500 billion data center AI accelerator market by 2028 [14] - Despite a strong portfolio, AMD faces challenges from export restrictions to China and competition from NVIDIA [15][18] Financial Guidance - AMD expects second-quarter 2025 revenues of $7.4 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of approximately 27%, but anticipates a $700 million reduction due to halted shipments to China [15][16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's second-quarter 2025 earnings is 56 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 18.84% [16] Conclusion - AMD's expanding portfolio and strategic partnerships are expected to enhance top-line growth, but near-term prospects are hindered by macroeconomic uncertainties and competition, particularly from NVIDIA [17][18]

Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is projected to grow from $631.01 billion in 2025 to $958.93 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.73% during this period, driven by demand for AI and data center technologies [2] - Shipment volume in the semiconductor market is expected to increase from 1.40 trillion units in 2025 to 2.29 trillion units by 2030, at a CAGR of 10.32% [3] AMD Insights - AMD's data center revenues surged 57.2% year over year to $3.674 billion in Q1 2025, accounting for 49.4% of total revenues, driven by the adoption of EPYC processors [4] - The launch of the AMD EPYC 4005 Series processors in May 2025 is aimed at enhancing performance and efficiency for small and medium businesses [6] - AMD's partnerships with major hyperscalers like Oracle and Google Cloud have expanded the use of its EPYC CPUs, contributing to its growth [5] Semtech Insights - Semtech's data center revenues reached a record $51.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, up 143% year over year, driven by demand for CopperEdge and FiberEdge products [7] - The launch of the CopperEdge portfolio in April 2025 includes solutions that enable 800G and 1.6T connectivity for AI/ML data centers, focusing on power savings and performance [8] - Semtech has strengthened collaborations with cloud service providers, enhancing its position in next-generation data center infrastructure [9] Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, AMD shares have decreased by 2.8%, while SMTC shares have fallen by 38.5%, attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment [11] - Both AMD and SMTC shares are currently considered overvalued, with AMD trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 5.65X and SMTC at 3.09X [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's 2025 earnings is $4.02 per share, reflecting a 21.45% year-over-year increase, while SMTC's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate is $1.66 per share, indicating an 88.64% year-over-year increase [16] Earnings Performance - AMD has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.30%, while SMTC has a higher average surprise of 10.83% [17] - Semtech's stronger earnings surprise history and innovative solutions position it as a more attractive investment compared to AMD [18]

Core Insights - The FPGA market is projected to grow from $11.14 billion in 2025 to $18.76 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 10.98% during this period [2] - AMD and Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC) are key players in this market, with AMD benefiting from its acquisition of Xilinx and LSCC focusing on low-power FPGA solutions [1][7] AMD Insights - AMD's acquisition of Xilinx has allowed it to expand into various embedded markets, including CPUs, GPUs, and FPGAs [3] - The latest VP1902 adaptive SoC from AMD features 18.5 million logic cells, doubling the programmable logic density compared to the previous generation [4] - In Q1 2025, AMD launched a high-performance 5G core powered by the Virtex UltraScale+ XCVU5P FPGA and completed initial shipments of cost-optimized Spartan UltraScale Plus FPGAs [5] - AMD is enhancing partnerships with major cloud providers like AWS, which launched FPGA-accelerated instances powered by AMD's EPYC processors and Xilinx Virtex FPGAs [6] LSCC Insights - LSCC is experiencing strong demand for its small and mid-range FPGA solutions, particularly with its Nexus and Avant product families [7] - The company is targeting high-growth applications such as AI, data centers, and advanced driver-assistance systems in automotive [8] - In February 2025, LSCC validated Everspin Technologies' MRAM for use across its FPGAs, enhancing suitability for mission-critical applications [9] Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, AMD shares have decreased by 6.9%, while LSCC shares have fallen by 1.4% due to a challenging macroeconomic environment [10] - Both AMD and LSCC shares are currently considered overvalued, with AMD trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 5.41X and LSCC at 13.91X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's 2025 earnings is $4.09 per share, reflecting a 23.56% year-over-year increase, while LSCC's estimate is $1.05 per share, indicating a 16.67% increase [16] - AMD has consistently beaten earnings estimates, while LSCC has missed estimates in two of the last four quarters [17] Conclusion - AMD's portfolio expansion and partnerships position it for significant growth in the FPGA market, while LSCC's focus on low-power solutions captures emerging opportunities [18] - AMD is rated higher than LSCC, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) compared to LSCC's 4 (Sell) [18]

Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 6, with projected revenues of $7.1 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of approximately 30% and a sequential decline of about 7% [1] Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's first-quarter revenues is $7.12 billion, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 30.11% [2] - The consensus estimate for first-quarter earnings is 93 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 50% [2] Segment Performance - AMD's data center segment is anticipated to see significant revenue growth, driven by strong sales of EPYC processors and demand for AI applications, with first-quarter revenues estimated at $3.4 billion, a year-over-year increase of 47.5% [5] - The client segment is also expected to grow, with revenues projected at $2.04 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 49.3% [6] - However, the embedded and gaming segments are expected to decline, with embedded revenues estimated at $570 million (a 0.9% decline) and gaming revenues at $509 million (a 38.1% decline) [7] Stock Performance - AMD shares have decreased by 17.9% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's decline of 9% and the Computer – Integrated Systems industry's decline of 7.2% [8] Valuation Metrics - AMD's current valuation is considered stretched, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.68X, compared to the industry average of 2.90X [11] Strategic Partnerships - AMD benefits from a strong partner base, including major companies like Microsoft, Oracle, Dell Technologies, and IBM, which enhances its market position [14] - The demand for AI accelerators, particularly the Instinct MI300 series, is expected to continue growing, further boosting data center revenues [15] Conclusion - AMD's expanding portfolio and strategic acquisitions are likely to improve top-line growth despite weaknesses in the embedded and gaming segments and competition from NVIDIA [18]