Workflow
Etherlink分布式交换架构
icon
Search documents
Arista Networks Inc(ANET)FY25Q3业绩点评及业绩说明会纪要:AI业务开拓顺利,未来发展信心十足
Huachuang Securities· 2025-11-07 05:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Arista Networks Inc's FY25Q3 performance was strong, with revenue of $2.308 billion, a year - on - year increase of 27.5%. The company is confident about its future development, with AI and campus businesses as key growth drivers [3]. - The company's technology innovation in AI and cloud business, such as Etherlink and AVA, has enhanced network performance and automation. It has also formed a gradient product layout and is expanding its customer base [4]. - The company expects Q4 2025 revenue to be between $2.3 - $2.4 billion, with a gross margin of 62% - 63% [4][11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs ANET2025Q3 Performance 25Q3 Performance Overview - Revenue in 25Q3 was approximately $2.31 billion, a year - on - year increase of 27.5%, achieving 19 consecutive quarters of record - breaking growth. Non - GAAP gross margin was 65.2%, down 40bps quarter - on - quarter and up 60bps year - on - year. Operating profit was $1.12 billion, accounting for 48.6% of revenue, and net profit was $962.3 million, accounting for 41.7% of revenue. Diluted shares were 1.277 billion, and EPS was $0.75, a year - on - year increase of 25% [7]. Business Segment Performance - **AI Business**: Progressed smoothly, with a target revenue of $1.5 billion in 2025 and $2.75 billion in 2026, becoming a key growth engine [3][8]. - **Campus Business**: Performed strongly, with a target revenue of $750 - 800 million in 2025 and $1.25 billion in 2026, achieving a record - high single - quarter result this quarter [3][9]. - **Other Businesses**: Core network businesses in traditional fields such as cloud and enterprise grew steadily with market demand, and the growth of product - related deferred revenue reflected strong market demand for new products and AI solutions [10]. 2025Q4 Company Performance Guidance - The company expects Q4 revenue to be between $2.3 - $2.4 billion, gross margin between 62% - 63%, operating margin about 47% - 48%, actual tax rate about 21.5%, and diluted shares about 1.281 billion [11]. Meeting Content - **Growth Trend**: Shipments and revenues fluctuate with supply, and there is no problem with demand. The revenue in Q2 2025 exceeded expectations, so quarterly fluctuations are not over - interpreted. The difference in product gross margins is due to the customer structure, not a change in the 2026 gross margin model [12]. - **Gross Margin Drivers**: Service and software profit margins were overestimated. The product profit margins of cloud and AI giants are significantly lower than 60%, while those of enterprise customers are higher. A higher proportion of cloud and AI products in the portfolio puts pressure on the gross margin [13]. - **Company Positioning**: Participating in 5 - 7 accelerator rack projects, with related designs to be promoted in 2026 and implemented in 2027. Adopting the "Blue Box JDM model" instead of the traditional OEM model [14]. - **Customer - related Issues**: - In cloud giant customers, the share is stable. Procurement decisions are jointly made by LLM providers and cloud giants [15]. - Three of the four core customers have completed the deployment of over 100,000 GPU clusters, and the fourth is about to achieve it. Fluctuations in Q4 shipments are supply - driven [16]. - **Business Outlook**: - AI and campus businesses are high - growth tracks, while the core business may have flat or low - single - digit growth. The company is confident of achieving over $10 billion in revenue in 2026 and a future target of $15 billion [18][19]. - The Blue Box business has a slightly lower gross margin than branded EOS devices. It targets professional cloud providers and key customers, and its development trend in 2026 will continue [20][23]. - The front - end and back - end networks are increasingly converging, and the company is the only one outside China to cover both, which is a core differentiating advantage [21]. - The company offers both DSF and non - scheduling architectures, and DSF is attracting more attention [22]. - The UEC released the 1.0 specification in June 2025, and the company's products are fully compatible. The expansion of the alliance and the implementation of specifications in 2026 - 2027 are key milestones [25]. - Emerging cloud厂商customers have great growth potential, and some initially use bundled solutions but more choose to cooperate with the company [26][27]. - The enterprise market focuses on three breakthrough directions: campus business, geographical expansion, and new customer acquisition [28]. - The company's core growth engine is new network construction in AI - driven data centers [29]. - The company plans differently for different business lines to ensure delivery capabilities [30].