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Telecom ETFs in Focus This Earnings Season
ZACKSยท 2025-10-31 16:20
Industry Overview - The telecom sector has shown strong performance, with the S&P Telecom Select Industry Index increasing by 50.85% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 17.35% gain [1] - The index has also outperformed the broad market index month to date, rising by 9.52% compared to the S&P 500's 2% gain [1] - The sector's positive outlook is bolstered by optimistic AI growth forecasts and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 [2] Verizon Communications - Verizon reported third-quarter 2025 results with wireless service revenues of $21 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.1% [3] - On a GAAP basis, net income was $5.06 billion or $1.17 per share, up from $3.41 billion or 78 cents per share in the prior-year quarter, driven by top-line growth and lower operating expenses [4] - Total operating revenues increased by 1.5% to $33.82 billion, although it missed the consensus estimate of $34.18 billion [5] - Verizon achieved 261,000 net additions in fixed wireless access, growing its subscriber base to nearly 5.4 million, with a target of 8 to 9 million subscribers by 2028 [5] - The company expects wireless service revenues to grow by 2%-2.8% in 2025 [6] AT&T - AT&T reported third-quarter 2025 results with strong mobility and broadband demand trends, but both adjusted earnings and revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate [7] - On a GAAP basis, net income was $9.28 billion or $1.29 per share, a significant improvement from a net loss of $0.23 billion or a loss of 3 cents per share in the prior-year quarter, largely due to a $5.5 billion gain from the sale of DIRECTV investments [8] - Adjusted earnings remained flat at 54 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate by a penny [9] - Quarterly GAAP operating revenues increased by 1.6% year over year to $30.71 billion, but also missed the consensus mark of $30.96 billion [9] - AT&T recorded 328,000 post-paid net additions, including 405,000 postpaid wireless phone additions [9] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiencies while focusing on 5G and fiber-based connectivity, along with expanding software-based entertainment platforms [10] - For 2025, AT&T expects wireless service revenues to improve by 3% or more, with broadband revenues anticipated to grow in the mid to high-teens [11] ETFs in Focus - Several exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide exposure to the U.S. telecom industry, including: - Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund with 4.13% exposure to AT&T and 4.2% to Verizon [13] - Vanguard Communication Services ETF with 4.12% exposure to AT&T and 3.85% to Verizon [14] - Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF with 4.13% exposure to AT&T and 3.82% to Verizon [15] - iShares Global Comm Services ETF with 3.62% exposure to AT&T and 3.37% to Verizon [16] - iShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF with approximately 11.59% exposure to AT&T and 11.11% to Verizon [17]
Verizon(VZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The third quarter consolidated revenue was $33.8 billion, up 1.5% from the prior year period [10] - Adjusted EBITDA was $12.8 billion, up 2.3% year over year, with year-to-date adjusted EBITDA growth of 3.5% at the top end of the guided range [12][13] - Adjusted EPS was $1.21 in the quarter, up 1.7% year over year [13] - Free cash flow for the third quarter was $7 billion, representing a nearly 17% improvement year over year [14] - Net unsecured debt at the end of the quarter was $112 billion, a $9.4 billion improvement year over year [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Postpaid phone gross adds were up 8.4% from the prior year, but net losses were 7,000 due to a churn rate of 0.91% [7][8] - Consumer upgrades increased by 16% year over year, driven by the best value guarantee [8] - Core prepaid delivered 47,000 net adds, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive subscriber growth [8] - Verizon Business added 51,000 phone net adds, offsetting disconnect pressure in the public sector [9] - Broadband net adds were 306,000, with a total of over 13.2 million subscribers, and FiOS Internet delivered 61,000 net adds, the best quarterly result in two years [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Converged customers on fiber have a mobility churn rate nearly 40% lower than the overall mobility base [8] - The company is focused on expanding its fiber footprint and enhancing its broadband offerings through partnerships [10][92] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to shift from a technology-centric to a customer-centric approach, focusing on delighting customers and improving retention [19][32] - A fundamental change in strategic approach is planned, emphasizing financial discipline and sustainable growth [6][26] - The acquisition of Frontier is expected to create significant cross-sell opportunities and enhance the company's fiber capabilities [23][24] - The company plans to leverage AI to improve customer experience and operational efficiency [22][86] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management acknowledges that Verizon has not captured customer growth opportunities despite its strong network foundation [5][17] - There is a commitment to transforming the culture and financial profile of the company, focusing on customer satisfaction and shareholder returns [19][26] - The company expects to close the Frontier deal in the first quarter of 2026 and is making progress with regulatory approvals [15][16] Other Important Information - The company raised its dividend for the 19th consecutive year, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [14] - The management is focused on reducing costs and improving operational efficiency across all business aspects [12][22] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Can you expand on your vision for the company and how you expect to turn consumer volumes? - The vision includes shifting to a customer-centric approach, focusing on retention and creating the best value proposition [30][32] Question: How do you drive share for Verizon higher without going through a painful back book repricing exercise? - The strategy involves addressing customer pain points and creating targeted value propositions without relying solely on price increases [40][42] Question: Are there any parallels between Verizon and PayPal that inform your view of the opportunity for improvement? - Similarities exist in the need to focus on customer satisfaction and addressing pain points to drive growth [53][55] Question: What is the company's perspective on convergence and its fiber footprint? - Convergence is seen as a powerful opportunity for revenue synergies, and the company plans to invest in both fiber and fixed wireless [65][66] Question: How does the company plan to address cost opportunities? - The focus will be on identifying areas for cost reductions and reallocating those savings to enhance the value proposition [90][94]
Verizon(VZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q3 2025 was $33.8 billion, an increase of 1.5% year-over-year [11] - Adjusted EBITDA was $12.8 billion, up 2.3% year-over-year, with year-to-date adjusted EBITDA growth of 3.5% [13] - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.21, reflecting a 1.7% increase year-over-year [13] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $7 billion, representing a nearly 17% improvement year-over-year [14] - Net unsecured debt at the end of the quarter was $112 billion, a $9.4 billion improvement year-over-year [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Postpaid phone gross adds increased by 8.4% year-over-year, but net losses were 7,000 due to a churn rate of 0.91% [8] - Consumer upgrades rose by 16% year-over-year, attributed to the best value guarantee [9] - Core prepaid business added 47,000 net subscribers, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of growth [9] - Verizon Business added 51,000 phone net adds, offsetting disconnect pressure in the public sector [10] - Broadband net adds were 306,000, with a total of over 13.2 million subscribers, and FiOS Internet delivered 61,000 net adds, the best quarterly result in two years [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - More than 18% of the consumer postpaid phone base took a converged offering, up over 200 basis points from last year [9] - Fixed wireless access net adds were 261,000 for the quarter, with approximately 5.4 million FWA subscribers [11] - Annualized revenue from fixed wireless access surpassed $3 billion [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is shifting to a customer-first focus, aiming to redefine its trajectory and enhance customer experience [6][20] - Plans to aggressively transform the culture and financial profile of the company, focusing on customer retention and reducing churn [18][19] - The acquisition of Frontier is expected to create significant cross-sell opportunities and enhance the fiber footprint [24][25] - Emphasis on leveraging AI to improve customer experience and operational efficiency [23][88] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges that the company has not captured growth opportunities despite a strong network foundation [5][18] - The focus will be on driving sustainable value for shareholders through disciplined growth and improved customer satisfaction [6][20] - The company is committed to maintaining its dividend and reducing debt while exploring growth opportunities [16][26] Other Important Information - The company raised its dividend for the 19th consecutive year, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [15] - Integration planning for the Frontier acquisition is on track, with strong performance reported by Frontier [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you expand on your vision for the company and what you expect to accomplish in the first hundred days? - The vision includes shifting from a technology-centric to a customer-centric approach, focusing on retention and creating the best value proposition [33][34] Question: How do you drive share for Verizon higher without a painful back book repricing exercise? - The strategy involves addressing customer pain points, enhancing the customer experience, and leveraging convergence [41][44] Question: What strategies do you think are best for reducing churn? - The company will focus on understanding churn drivers and proactively addressing customer needs with tailored offers [80][85] Question: How do you view the opportunity for AI within Verizon? - AI is seen as a transformative technology that can enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [87][88] Question: Can you discuss the nature of the cost opportunities and the organic fiber expansion rate? - The company aims to optimize costs while expanding its fiber footprint, with a focus on both organic growth and acquisitions [92][95]
T-Mobile US (NasdaqGS:TMUS) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-10 20:27
Summary of T-Mobile US Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: T-Mobile US (NasdaqGS: TMUS) - **Date**: September 10, 2025 - **Focus**: Growth strategy, financial performance, market opportunities, and competitive positioning in the telecommunications industry Key Points Industry Position and Growth Strategy - T-Mobile is positioned as the growth leader in the telecommunications industry, focusing on near-term, medium-term, and long-term growth strategies [1][2][3] - The company reported record performance in Q2, with significant metrics such as postpaid net additions and service revenue growth outpacing competitors by three times [1][2] - T-Mobile has led the industry for 13 consecutive quarters in both postpaid and broadband net additions, indicating a successful growth strategy [2][4] Market Opportunities - T-Mobile is targeting underpenetrated segments, particularly in rural areas and smaller markets, where it is experiencing growth at twice the market share [3][4] - The company sees a substantial opportunity among "network seekers" in the top 100 markets, with millions of potential customers switching from competitors [3][8] - The enterprise and government sectors are identified as significant growth areas, with record performance in Q2 [4][48] Digital Transformation and Customer Experience - T-Mobile has made significant advancements in IT and digital capabilities, with 75 million downloads of its T-Life app, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency [9][11] - The company aims to reduce friction in the customer switching process, leveraging digital tools and AI to improve service delivery [9][10] Competitive Landscape - T-Mobile is comfortable with the current competitive environment, noting that its customer acquisition value aligns with historical norms despite increased churn rates [20][21] - The company emphasizes its best value proposition, allowing customers to save 20% by switching to T-Mobile, which is increasingly recognized as having the best network [21][27] Financial Performance and Capital Allocation - T-Mobile reported a cash flow of 26% of service revenue, leading the industry [2] - The company is focused on maintaining a leverage ratio of 2.5x EBITDA while pursuing attractive business opportunities, including spectrum and fiber investments [71][75] - T-Mobile's broadband strategy includes a target of 12 million fixed wireless access subscribers and 12 to 15 million fiber homes passed by 2028 [50][63] Future Outlook - T-Mobile's leadership believes the best days are ahead, with ongoing investments in technology and network capabilities expected to drive future growth [12][76] - The company is optimistic about the integration of UScellular, which is anticipated to enhance its network and market presence [41][44] Conclusion - T-Mobile US is positioned for continued growth and success in the telecommunications industry, with a strong focus on customer experience, digital transformation, and strategic market opportunities [76][77]
SBA Communications (SBAC) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-04 19:02
Summary of SBA Communications Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC) - **Event**: BofA Media Telecom Conference - **Date**: September 04, 2025 Industry Insights - **Carrier Deployment Status**: - T-Mobile is largely completed with 2 to 5 GHz spectrum deployment - Verizon is approximately 70% complete and actively working with SBA - AT&T is at about 50% completion, playing catch-up [3][4][5] Financial Performance - **Application Volume**: - Application volume has increased for six consecutive quarters, with over 50% of revenues coming from colocation applications [4][5] - The book-to-bill cycle is 6 to 9 months, causing a lag in translating applications into revenue [4][5] - Guidance for the second half of the year remains at $37 million, expected to exceed the first half [4][5] Market Dynamics - **5G Deployments**: - The next phase of 5G will focus on densification due to increasing traffic, especially from fixed wireless access (FWA) customers [15][18] - FWA customers are projected to use 15 to 20 times more bandwidth than traditional handset users [15][18] International Market - **Latin America**: - Central America and Brazil are key markets, with a recent acquisition of 7,000 towers from Millicom locking in mid to high single-digit growth rates [33][34] - Brazil's telecom market is consolidating, with 5G deployment at 30-35% [35][37] - The currency in Brazil has appreciated by 20% this year, improving operational conditions [37][38] Capital Allocation and Debt Management - **Capital Allocation**: - Approximately $700 million available for allocation annually after accounting for expenses [53][54] - In 2023, $100 million was spent on share buybacks and $600 million on debt repayment [54] - Future capital allocation will focus on buybacks and debt repayment, with M&A opportunities being scarce [54] - **Debt Management**: - SBA has $12 billion in debt, with a recent upgrade to investment grade (BBB-) [56][57] - Plans to manage debt maturities effectively, with a focus on maintaining a balanced mix of secured and unsecured debt [56][57] Strategic Relationships - **Master Lease Agreements (MLAs)**: - The company is open to MLAs on a case-by-case basis, depending on the volume commitments from carriers [19][20] - Securing long-term growth through volume commitments is a priority [25][26] Future Outlook - **Market Trends**: - Anticipation of increased capital expenditures as the industry prepares for 6G and densification needs [72][80] - The company remains optimistic about long-term growth despite short-term churn from carriers like Sprint and EchoStar [66][68] Conclusion - SBA Communications is positioned for growth with a strong focus on international markets, strategic partnerships, and effective capital allocation. The company is navigating challenges in the U.S. market while capitalizing on opportunities in Latin America and preparing for future technological advancements in the telecom industry.
Rogers Communications (RCI) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-03 16:22
Summary of Rogers Communications Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Rogers Communications (RCI) - **Date**: September 03, 2025 - **Speakers**: CEO Tony Staffieri, CFO Glenn Brandt Key Points Wireless Business - **Pricing Environment**: The pricing environment in Canada has seen a significant step down over the past 18-24 months, with little change despite fluctuations [3][4] - **Revenue Outlook**: Continued growth in service revenue is expected, with a focus on balancing market share and Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) [4][5] - **New Price Plans**: Implementation of new price plans has been successful, with a shift from data bucket sizes to other differentiating factors [5][6] - **Add-a-Line Strategy**: There is an opportunity to increase penetration in terms of lines per account, following the U.S. model [6][7] - **Roaming Value Proposition**: New constructs for roaming have been well received in the marketplace [7][8] - **Back to School Promotions**: Promotions during the back-to-school season were more price disciplined compared to previous years, indicating a stable pricing environment [8][9] Bundling Strategy - **Bundling Benefits**: The bundling of wireless and cable services is seen as a way to solidify customer relationships and reduce churn [17][19] - **Convergence Focus**: Future bundling strategies will focus on seamless integration of 5G and in-home WiFi [19][20] - **Market Expansion**: The acquisition of Shaw has allowed Rogers to expand its footprint and offer bundled services in new territories [20][21] Fixed Wireless Access - **Market Opportunity**: Fixed wireless access is aimed at covering the 40% of homes not served by cable, with a focus on rural areas [21][22] - **Sustainable Business Model**: The fixed wireless access model is viewed as sustainable, with network slicing technology ensuring no impact on mobile users [29][32] - **Growth Metrics**: The fixed wireless access is becoming increasingly material to net adds in the Internet segment [26][24] Satellite Mobile Service - **Launch of Service**: A satellite mobile service was launched in partnership with Starlink, with good initial demand [34][35] - **Market Coverage**: The service aims to cover areas with no existing cellular coverage, significantly increasing Rogers' market reach [36][39] - **Revenue Model**: The economic construct with Starlink is not a revenue share model but is expected to provide incremental margins [37][39] Cable Business - **Revenue Growth Strategy**: Post-acquisition of Shaw, the cable business is focused on organic growth, particularly in Internet services [44][50] - **Margin Improvement**: Margins have improved from 50% to 58-59% due to operational efficiencies and direct content purchasing [51][52] - **Business Segment Growth**: Strong growth is observed in the business segment, leveraging the expanded national footprint [48][50] Sports and Entertainment Assets - **MLSE Acquisition**: Rogers is consolidating its ownership of the MLSE assets, with a focus on maximizing value for shareholders [62][66] - **Valuation of Assets**: The estimated value of Rogers' sports and entertainment holdings is around CAD 15 billion, with significant cash flow potential [68][69] - **Leverage Management**: Progress in integrating Shaw has helped reduce leverage, allowing for strategic investments in sports assets [64][70] Future Outlook - **Capital Investment**: A gradual decline in capital intensity is expected, driven by revenue growth and reduced investment needs [55][57] - **Synergy Opportunities**: There are substantial opportunities for revenue and cost synergies from the integration of sports and entertainment assets [82][83] Additional Insights - **Market Position**: Rogers holds a competitive position in the Canadian market, leveraging its diverse service offerings to enhance customer relationships [42][44] - **Technological Advancements**: The company is focused on utilizing advanced technologies, such as AI, to enhance customer engagement and service delivery [80][81]
Verizon(VZ) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-21 12:30
Financial Performance - Total revenue increased to $34.5 billion, a 5.2% year-over-year increase[21] - Adjusted EBITDA grew to $12.8 billion, up 4.1% year-over-year, with a margin of 37.1%[6, 21] - Adjusted EPS increased to $1.22, a 6.1% year-over-year increase[21] - First half free cash flow reached $8.8 billion, a 3.6% year-over-year increase[6] Subscriber Growth - Wireless service revenue increased by 2.2% year-over-year[6] - The company surpassed 5 million Fixed Wireless Access subscribers[6] - Wireless retail postpaid phone gross adds were 2.7 million, up 13.8% year-over-year[11] - Consumer wireless retail postpaid phone gross adds were 2.0 million, up 18.9% year-over-year[11] Updated Guidance - The company raised 2025 guidance on Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EPS, and free cash flow[6] - Free cash flow guidance was raised to $19.5 billion - $20.5 billion[25]
Verizon Gains 11% in 3 Months: Should You Invest in VZ Stock Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-07 15:20
Core Viewpoint - Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) has shown strong stock performance, gaining 10.5% over the past three months, outperforming the Wireless National industry's growth of 5.4% and the S&P 500 composite's decline of 7.9% [1][5]. Price Performance - VZ stock closed at $44.15, down only 6.7% from its 52-week high, indicating a relatively stable position in the market [5]. - Compared to peers, VZ outperformed Rogers Communications and T-Mobile, which declined by 5.5% and 0.8%, respectively, while AT&T gained 13.3% [4]. Key Growth Catalysts - Significant 5G adoption and fixed wireless broadband momentum are driving growth for Verizon, with plans to accelerate the availability of its 5G Ultra-Wideband network [6]. - The company recorded 137,000 retail prepaid net additions in the last quarter, the best since the TracFone acquisition [7]. - A three-year price lock guarantee for myPlan and myHome network plans aims to attract and retain customers [8]. - Verizon added 339,000 broadband net additions in Q1 2025, with expectations to achieve 8 to 9 million Fixed Wireless Access subscribers by 2028 [11]. - The enterprise and wholesale business is shifting towards growth services like cloud and security, with several private network deals closed in Q1 [12]. Challenges - The wireline division faces persistent losses due to competition from voice-over-Internet-protocol services and aggressive offerings from cable companies [13]. - The wireless market is highly competitive, with price wars and promotions impacting margins [14]. - High capital expenditures for 5G network build-out and fiber asset deployment raise concerns about achieving reasonable returns [15]. - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downwards, reflecting bearish sentiments for the stock [16]. Key Valuation Metric - VZ trades at a price/earnings ratio of 9.3, lower than the industry average of 14.10 but above its historical mean of 8.88 [18]. - Comparatively, AT&T, T-Mobile, and Rogers Communications have P/E multiples of 13.21, 22.64, and 7.28, respectively [19].
Verizon(VZ) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-22 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wireless service revenue increased by 2.7%, reaching the high end of the guided range [8][19] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $12.6 billion, marking a 4% growth and the highest reported result ever [9][19] - Free cash flow improved by over $900 million compared to the previous year, totaling $3.6 billion [9][19] - Adjusted EPS was $1.19 for the quarter, up 3.5% year over year [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer postpaid phone net losses were 356,000, attributed to recent pricing actions [16] - Prepaid net adds were 137,000, the best performance since the TracFone acquisition [11][16] - Broadband offerings, including Fios and fixed wireless access, added 339,000 net customers, continuing to gain market share [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is on track to deploy C band to 80-90% of planned sites by year-end [10] - Fixed wireless access is expected to reach 8-9 million subscribers by 2028 [12] - The company aims to cover over 100 million premises with broadband offerings over time [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on growing wireless service revenue, expanding adjusted EBITDA, and generating strong free cash flow [14] - A multiyear business transformation is underway, emphasizing customer-first strategies and targeted offerings [25][39] - The company is committed to enhancing customer experience through AI and personalized services [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current macroeconomic landscape and emphasized the essential nature of connectivity services [6][7] - The company anticipates improved churn rates in the second half of the year due to new pricing strategies and customer retention initiatives [50] - Management remains optimistic about achieving better consumer postpaid phone net adds in 2025 compared to 2024 [66] Other Important Information - The company is pursuing a pending acquisition of Frontier to enhance its broadband capabilities [9][21] - The Verizon Value Guarantee, which includes a three-year price lock and free phone guarantee, is expected to drive customer loyalty and revenue growth [31][36] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Impact of tariffs on handsets and telecom equipment - Management indicated that tariffs on handsets could lead to increased costs for consumers, but they are prepared to manage these challenges without compromising capital expenditures [45][46] Question: Churn expectations with new plans and promotions - Management expects churn to improve in the second half of the year, attributing recent increases to specific pricing actions that were necessary for revenue stability [50] Question: March and April gross adds improvement - The company reported double-digit growth in gross adds in April, largely driven by the successful launch of the Verizon Value Guarantee [65] Question: Consumer behavior changes due to tariffs - Management noted no significant shifts in consumer behavior, with stable payment trends and continued demand for connectivity services [75][80] Question: Business EBITDA growth sustainability - Management expressed confidence in sustaining business EBITDA growth, attributing it to ongoing cost transformation efforts and a shift towards higher-margin wireless services [68][81]