Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record revenue of $50 billion for Q2 2025, with an adjusted EBIT of $2.1 billion, reflecting year-over-year improvement in costs [8][32] - The full-year adjusted EBIT guidance was updated to a range of $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion, net of tariffs [9][38] - Adjusted free cash flow was solid at $2.8 billion, with a strong balance sheet showing over $28 billion in cash and $46 billion in liquidity [36][37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford Pro's revenue grew 11% to nearly $19 billion, with a 12.3% EBIT margin driven by a strong product lineup and disciplined pricing [33] - Model E revenue more than doubled to $2.4 billion, with margins improving nearly 44 points due to a favorable product mix [34] - Ford Blue earned nearly $700 million in the quarter, reflecting profitable market share gains and higher net pricing [35] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., Ford's sales grew 7 times faster than the industry, with market share up 1.7 points sequentially [20] - The company sold more electrified vehicles than its two main domestic rivals combined, with EVs and hybrids making up close to 14% of the U.S. mix [21] - Outside the U.S., Ford gained market share in key regions such as Canada, Europe, South America, and the Middle East [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is shifting capital towards Ford Pro, reallocating resources from future EV programs to accelerate growth in high-margin services [10] - Ford aims to enhance its product lineup with a focus on trucks and iconic products, while also investing in low CO2 emissions technologies [14] - The company is committed to improving vehicle quality and reducing warranty costs, with a focus on achieving world-class vehicle quality [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of tariffs, estimating a net headwind of about $2 billion for the year, while expressing confidence in the company's cycle plan [13][39] - The management team emphasized the importance of capital efficiency and cost improvement, with a strong balance sheet providing flexibility to invest through economic downturns [38][40] - The company is optimistic about the future, with a focus on sustainable improvements in warranty and material costs [44] Other Important Information - The company announced a regular dividend of 15 cents per share, payable on September 2, reflecting its commitment to return capital to shareholders [38] - Ford's transformation journey is well underway, with a focus on building a higher growth, higher margin, and more capital-efficient business [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Drivers of guidance change and improvement - Management noted that the guidance reflects strong improvement in the business, particularly in cost areas, despite absorbing larger tariffs [42][43] Question: Sustainability of market share - Management expressed confidence in sustaining market share gains into the second half of the year, supported by a strong product portfolio [61][62] Question: Balancing emissions policy and EV technology - Management highlighted the importance of transforming engineering and supply chain processes to remain competitive against global OEMs, particularly Chinese manufacturers [70][71] Question: Impact of tariffs and compliance credits - Management discussed ongoing negotiations with the administration to simplify tariffs and reduce liabilities, emphasizing the potential upside for the company [83][84] Question: Electrification initiatives and regional commitments - Management indicated a focus on partnerships for EVs and a streamlined product lineup to balance investments across different regions [99]

Core Viewpoint - Ford's CEO Jim Farley warns that Trump's tariffs on imported cars and parts are expected to last at least three years, leading to industry-wide price increases and a potential loss of $1.5 billion for Ford this year [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Ford's Q1 adjusted EPS was $0.14, exceeding analysts' expectations of a loss of $0.043, with a net income of $471 million, down 64% year-over-year [3]. - The traditional vehicle segment (Ford Blue) and commercial vehicle segment (Ford Pro) performed strongly, achieving EBIT of $1.2 billion and $1.31 billion, respectively [3]. - The electric vehicle division (Model E) reported a loss of $849 million, but the loss was less than anticipated [3]. Group 2: Tariff Impact - The tariffs are expected to increase costs for popular Ford models like the Bronco Sport and Maverick by $5,000 or more, leading to price hikes in the industry as early as this summer [1][3]. - Ford has withdrawn its 2025 earnings guidance, which previously estimated operating profits between $7 billion and $8.5 billion, due to the impact of tariffs [3][4]. - The company acknowledges that the tariffs and potential retaliatory measures from other countries pose significant risks to financial performance [4]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the news of Farley's pessimistic outlook, Ford's stock initially rose but closed with a gain of only 2.6% [1]. - The discussions between Canadian Prime Minister Carney and Trump have influenced the stock movements of Ford and other automotive companies [1].

Core Viewpoint - Ford Motor Company is expected to report break-even quarterly earnings per share, indicating a 100% decline year-over-year, with revenues projected at $35.48 billion, reflecting an 11.1% decrease from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 8.7% over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Revenues- Company excluding Ford Credit' to be $34.72 billion, a decrease of 13% from the year-ago quarter [5]. - 'Revenues- Ford Credit' is expected to reach $3.05 billion, showing a 5.2% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenues- External Revenues- Ford Blue' is estimated at $18.21 billion, reflecting a 16.5% decline from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenues- Ford Pro' is forecasted at $16.41 billion, indicating an 8.8% decrease year-over-year [6]. - 'Revenues- External Revenues- Ford Model e' is projected at $809.82 million, representing a significant increase of 604.2% from the year-ago quarter [6]. Wholesale Units - 'Wholesale Units - Ford Blue' is expected to be 560.82 thousand, down from 626 thousand in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Wholesale Units - Ford Pro' is projected at 354.08 thousand, compared to 409 thousand reported in the previous year [7]. - 'Wholesale Units - Ford Model e' is anticipated to reach 29.38 thousand, up from 10 thousand in the year-ago quarter [7]. Adjusted EBIT - 'Adjusted EBIT- Ford Credit' is estimated at $338.24 million, slightly up from $326 million in the previous year [8]. - 'Adjusted EBIT- Ford Blue' is projected at $239.79 million, a significant decrease from $905 million reported in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Adjusted EBIT- Ford Pro' is expected to be $1.64 billion, down from $3.01 billion in the same quarter of the previous year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Ford Motor shares have recorded a return of +2.1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a -0.2% change [9].