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Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) Conference Transcript
2025-11-18 15:02
Summary of Ford Motor Company Conference Call (November 18, 2025) Company Overview - **Company**: Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) - **Speaker**: Andrew Frick, President of Ford Blue and Model E Key Points Financial Performance and Guidance - Ford reported a strong underlying business with an EBIT guidance of **$8 billion to $8.5 billion** for the year before the Novelis fire incident, which is a **$1.5 billion to $2 billion** negative impact for Q4 [10][11] - The company managed to offset **$1 billion** of a **$2 billion** tariff headwind through market factors and pricing strategies [10][14] - The revised guidance for Q4 is **$6 billion to $6.5 billion** net of the Novelis impact [12] Tariffs and Regulatory Environment - Tariffs initially posed a significant challenge but were reduced to a **$2 billion** headwind for the year, with Ford well-positioned due to its U.S.-based manufacturing [14][18] - The company plans to incorporate tariff costs into its business model moving forward, treating them as a standard cost of doing business [19][23] - Regulatory changes are expected to provide more flexibility in production, allowing Ford to cater to natural consumer demand across various powertrains [26][29] Emissions and Electrification Strategy - Ford is adapting to changing emissions regulations, with expectations of less stringent caps under the current administration, which will allow for a broader range of vehicle offerings [29][30] - The company has invested in hybrid technology and is seeing a significant increase in hybrid vehicle sales, particularly with the F-150 [45] Ford Pro Business Segment - Ford Pro, the commercial vehicle segment, is a strategic advantage with a diverse customer base across large corporations, small businesses, and government sectors [32][33] - The company has invested over **$2 billion** in dealer infrastructure to support commercial customers, enhancing service capabilities and customer uptime [34][35] - Ford Pro Intelligence, a software offering, has led to higher customer loyalty and increased service revenue [37][38] New Product Developments - Ford is launching a **Universal Electric Vehicle (UEV)** platform aimed at producing affordable electric vehicles, with the first model expected to be a small electric pickup starting around **$30,000** [47][48] - The new manufacturing process will reduce parts and increase assembly line speed by **15%**, enhancing efficiency [49] Competitive Landscape and Market Position - Ford maintains a leading market share in the commercial vehicle sector, outselling competitors significantly [33] - The company is focused on maintaining its leadership in hybrid and electric vehicle segments while also expanding its service and software capabilities [39][40] Return to Formula 1 - Ford is excited about its return to Formula 1, which is expected to enhance brand visibility and attract top engineering talent [55][56] - The partnership with Red Bull Racing aims to leverage F1 technology for consumer vehicles, enhancing Ford's electrification efforts [56][57] Additional Insights - The company emphasizes a balanced approach to electrification, investing across multiple powertrains to meet diverse customer needs [45][51] - Ford's strategic partnerships, such as with ServiceTitan, aim to enhance fleet management solutions for commercial customers [40] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the Ford Motor Company conference call, highlighting the company's financial outlook, strategic initiatives, and market positioning.
Ford Tops Q3 Earnings Mark, Cuts '25 EBIT View Amid Novelis Fire
ZACKS· 2025-10-24 15:16
Key Takeaways Revenues from the Ford Blue segment rose 7% YoY to $28 billion and EBIT came in at $1.54 billion.Ford Model e revenues rose 52% y/y to $1.8 billion and loss before interest and taxes totaled $1.4 billion.Revenues from the Ford Blue segment rose 11% YoY to $17.4 billion and EBIT came in at $1.98 billion.Ford (F) reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of 45 cents, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 38 cents but declined from 49 cents recorded in the year-ago quarter ...
Ford Motor Reports Better-Than-Expected Q3 Earnings: What To Know
Benzinga· 2025-10-23 20:34
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) released its third-quarter earnings report after Thursday's closing bell. Here's a look at the key figures from the quarter. F stock is moving. See the real-time price action here.The Details: Ford Motor reported quarterly earnings of 45 cents per share, which beat the analyst estimate of 36 cents.Quarterly revenue came in at $47.18 billion, which beat the Street estimate of $43.07 billion and was up from revenue of $43.06 billion from the same period last year.Read Next: Latest Beyo ...
Countdown to Ford Motor (F) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 14:16
The upcoming report from Ford Motor Company (F) is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.38 per share, indicating a decline of 22.5% compared to the year-ago period. Analysts forecast revenues of $42.26 billion, representing a decline of 1.9% year over year.Over the last 30 days, there has been no revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their initial forecasts over the course of this timeframe.Before a company reveals ...
Should You Buy Ford Stock While It's Below $12?
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-05 12:00
Group 1 - The investment case for Ford is complex, balancing a low valuation and historical strength against challenges in a dynamic automotive industry [1] - Ford's segment performance in the first half of 2026 shows a strong commercial business in Ford Pro, while the Ford Model e segment is struggling with significant losses of $5.1 billion [2][3] - Ford Pro generated $34 billion in revenue with a 10.7% EBIT margin, while Ford Blue had $46.8 billion in revenue with a 1.6% EBIT margin, contrasting with Ford Model e's $3.6 billion revenue and a -60.5% EBIT margin [3] Group 2 - There is an argument for separating Ford Pro from the rest of the company to unlock value, as Ford transitions from internal combustion engines (ICE) to electric vehicles (EVs) [4] - Ford stock trades at 10.3 times estimated earnings for 2025, primarily driven by the Pro business, which has growth potential through recurring revenue from services [5] - CEO Jim Farley emphasizes the importance of keeping Ford Pro integrated, highlighting the risks of investing in Ford amid the need for significant EV investment [6] Group 3 - Ford has committed to a $5 billion investment in EV development, including a new $30,000 pickup truck planned for 2027 and a Universal EV Production System [7] - The crossover activities among Ford's segments indicate a strategic approach to leverage strengths across the business [9][10] - The growth in the auto market is shifting towards EVs, making it imperative for Ford to remain relevant and competitive against rivals [10][11] Group 4 - Ford's Pro segment is crucial for cash flow to support EV investments, and its dominant position in commercial vans and light trucks is at risk from competitors [11] - The investment in Ford is not merely a bet on hidden value but rather a commitment to becoming a significant player in the EV market [12]
Ford Rises 23% in 6 Months: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-12 14:31
Core Insights - Ford Motor Company (F) shares have increased by 23.4% over the past six months, while the Zacks Automotive – Domestic industry has grown by 38.4% [1] - In the first eight months of 2025, Ford's sales reached 1.49 million units, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.6%, driven by a 14% rise in electrified vehicle sales [2] - Ford's Model e segment saw revenues more than double to $2.4 billion in Q2, with significant margin improvements attributed to product mix and new model launches [6][7] Sales and Performance - Ford's vehicle lineup, including F-series trucks and various SUV models, is performing well, supported by a strong hybrid strategy [5] - Ford Pro, the commercial fleet solutions unit, has diversified its revenue streams, contributing to 17% of its EBIT, moving closer to a 20% target for next year [8] Challenges and Concerns - Ford anticipates a net tariff impact of $2 billion for 2025, up from a previous estimate of $1.5 billion, with a gross tariff cost forecast raised to $3 billion [10] - The company has issued over 100 recalls in 2025, including a recent recall of 1.45 million vehicles, which is expected to increase warranty and recall expenses, putting pressure on margins [11] Valuation and Estimates - Ford appears undervalued with a forward price/sales ratio of 0.29, significantly lower than the industry average of 2.66 [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Ford's EPS has seen slight upward adjustments for 2025 and 2026, indicating a positive outlook [13]
Why Is Ford Motor (F) Up 5.8% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-08-29 16:31
Core Insights - Ford Motor Company reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of 37 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 34 cents but down from 47 cents in the previous year [2] - Consolidated revenues for the second quarter reached $50.18 billion, a 5% increase year over year, with total automotive revenues at $46.94 billion, surpassing estimates [2] Segment Performance - Ford Blue segment's wholesale volume decreased by 6% year over year to 696,000 units, with revenues declining 3% to $25.8 billion, although it exceeded expectations [3] - Ford Model e segment saw a significant increase in wholesale volume, rising 218% to 60,000 units, with revenues jumping 105% to $2.4 billion, despite a loss before interest and taxes of $1.33 billion [4] - Ford Pro segment's wholesale volume increased by 15% to 429,000 units, with revenues rising 11% to $18.8 billion, and earnings before interest and taxes at $2.32 billion [5] - Ford Credit unit reported revenues of $3.24 billion, an 8.3% increase year over year, with pretax earnings up 88% to approximately $645 million [6] Financial Position - Ford reported adjusted free cash flow of $2.83 billion for the quarter, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $23 billion as of June 30, 2025, and long-term debt at $16.74 billion [7] 2025 Outlook - The company expects full-year 2025 adjusted EBIT to be in the range of $6.5-$7.5 billion, down from $10.2 billion in 2024, factoring in a net tariff-related headwind of nearly $2 billion [8] - Adjusted free cash flow is anticipated to be between $3.5-$4.5 billion, down from $6.7 billion in 2024, with capital expenditures expected around $9 billion [8] Estimate Trends - Estimates for Ford have trended downward over the past month, indicating a cautious outlook [9][12] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [12] Industry Performance - Ford is part of the Zacks Automotive - Domestic industry, where General Motors reported a revenue decline of 1.8% year over year, with an EPS drop from $3.06 to $2.53 [13] - General Motors is expected to post earnings of $2.32 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year change of -21.6% [14]
Will Ford Pro's Market Share Gains in the US and Europe Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 16:26
Core Insights - Ford Pro is the primary growth engine for Ford Motor Company, with significant transformation in revenue streams over the past year [1][3] - The segment's disciplined investment strategy has led to increased market share in both the U.S. and Europe [2][3] - Ford Pro's revenues grew by 11% year over year, reaching nearly $19 billion, with a strong EBIT margin of 12.3% [3][9] Revenue and Market Share - Ford Pro's aftermarket parts, software, and services contributed to 17% of its EBIT, approaching the 20% target for next year [1] - Market share increased by 1 percentage point in the U.S. and 3.2 points in Europe, supported by a diverse vehicle lineup [2][9] - The segment's capital investment has accelerated, with dealers contributing $2 billion since 2022 to enhance service capacity [2][9] Performance Metrics - Uptime, a key metric for commercial customers, improved with a 20% reduction in customer repair times over the past year [2][9] - Ford Pro's EBIT margin of 12.3% was driven by a strong product lineup and disciplined pricing [3][9] - The company expects strong demand in the second half of the year, aided by policy changes and a potential recovery in small business activity [3] Competitive Landscape - Ford Pro's growth is contrasted with competitors, as General Motors retains a leading market share of 17.3% in the U.S. [5] - Tesla is losing market share, currently below 50%, down from 63% in 2022, indicating a shift in competitive dynamics [6] Valuation and Estimates - Ford's stock has outperformed the Zacks Automotive-Domestic industry, gaining 18.6% year to date compared to the industry's decline of 13.9% [8] - The stock appears undervalued with a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.29, significantly below the industry's 2.79 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 EPS has increased by 2 cents and 5 cents, respectively, in the past week [11]
Ford Motor (F) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 23:01
Core Insights - Ford Motor Company reported $46.94 billion in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 4.8% and a surprise of +12.52% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $41.72 billion [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.37, down from $0.47 a year ago, with an EPS surprise of +8.82% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.34 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Wholesale Units for Ford Blue reached 696 thousand, exceeding the average estimate of 635.02 thousand [4] - Wholesale Units for Ford Pro were 429 thousand, compared to the average estimate of 377.94 thousand [4] - Wholesale Units for Ford Model e totaled 60 thousand, surpassing the average estimate of 35.7 thousand [4] - Revenues excluding Ford Credit were $46.94 billion, compared to the average estimate of $41.15 billion, reflecting a +4.8% year-over-year change [4] - Revenues from Ford Credit were $3.24 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $3.11 billion, representing an +8.1% change from the previous year [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Ford Credit was $645 million, compared to the average estimate of $431.54 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Ford Model e was -$1.33 billion, slightly better than the average estimate of -$1.37 billion [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Corporate Other was -$155 million, compared to the average estimate of -$289.22 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Ford Blue was $661 million, below the average estimate of $850.84 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Ford Pro was $2.32 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $2.35 billion [4] Stock Performance - Ford Motor's shares have returned -2.4% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by +3.4% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record revenue of $50 billion for Q2 2025, with an adjusted EBIT of $2.1 billion, reflecting year-over-year improvement in costs [8][32] - The full-year adjusted EBIT guidance was updated to a range of $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion, net of tariffs [9][38] - Adjusted free cash flow was solid at $2.8 billion, with a strong balance sheet showing over $28 billion in cash and $46 billion in liquidity [36][37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford Pro's revenue grew 11% to nearly $19 billion, with a 12.3% EBIT margin driven by a strong product lineup and disciplined pricing [33] - Model E revenue more than doubled to $2.4 billion, with margins improving nearly 44 points due to a favorable product mix [34] - Ford Blue earned nearly $700 million in the quarter, reflecting profitable market share gains and higher net pricing [35] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., Ford's sales grew 7 times faster than the industry, with market share up 1.7 points sequentially [20] - The company sold more electrified vehicles than its two main domestic rivals combined, with EVs and hybrids making up close to 14% of the U.S. mix [21] - Outside the U.S., Ford gained market share in key regions such as Canada, Europe, South America, and the Middle East [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is shifting capital towards Ford Pro, reallocating resources from future EV programs to accelerate growth in high-margin services [10] - Ford aims to enhance its product lineup with a focus on trucks and iconic products, while also investing in low CO2 emissions technologies [14] - The company is committed to improving vehicle quality and reducing warranty costs, with a focus on achieving world-class vehicle quality [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of tariffs, estimating a net headwind of about $2 billion for the year, while expressing confidence in the company's cycle plan [13][39] - The management team emphasized the importance of capital efficiency and cost improvement, with a strong balance sheet providing flexibility to invest through economic downturns [38][40] - The company is optimistic about the future, with a focus on sustainable improvements in warranty and material costs [44] Other Important Information - The company announced a regular dividend of 15 cents per share, payable on September 2, reflecting its commitment to return capital to shareholders [38] - Ford's transformation journey is well underway, with a focus on building a higher growth, higher margin, and more capital-efficient business [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Drivers of guidance change and improvement - Management noted that the guidance reflects strong improvement in the business, particularly in cost areas, despite absorbing larger tariffs [42][43] Question: Sustainability of market share - Management expressed confidence in sustaining market share gains into the second half of the year, supported by a strong product portfolio [61][62] Question: Balancing emissions policy and EV technology - Management highlighted the importance of transforming engineering and supply chain processes to remain competitive against global OEMs, particularly Chinese manufacturers [70][71] Question: Impact of tariffs and compliance credits - Management discussed ongoing negotiations with the administration to simplify tariffs and reduce liabilities, emphasizing the potential upside for the company [83][84] Question: Electrification initiatives and regional commitments - Management indicated a focus on partnerships for EVs and a streamlined product lineup to balance investments across different regions [99]