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Celsius vs. Coca-Cola: Which Beverage Stock Is the Better Investment?
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 14:10
Core Viewpoint - Celsius Holdings and Coca-Cola represent two contrasting investment opportunities in the beverage sector, with Celsius focusing on high growth and innovation while Coca-Cola emphasizes stability and consistent revenue generation [3][17]. Group 1: Celsius Holdings - Celsius Holdings is recognized as a rapidly growing energy drink brand, appealing to health-conscious consumers with its zero-sugar offerings [6][7]. - The company has expanded its market presence through the acquisition of Alani Nu, contributing approximately 20% to the energy drink category's dollar growth in Q1 2025 [7]. - Product innovation is a key growth driver, with new flavors and the launch of CELSIUS HYDRATION entering the $1.4 billion hydration powder market [8]. - Celsius has achieved significant retail distribution expansion, but ongoing investment in marketing and supply chain efficiency is crucial for maintaining growth [9]. Group 2: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola operates globally with over 200 brands, demonstrating resilience with a 6% increase in organic revenues in Q1 2025, driven by a 5% rise in price/mix [10]. - The company's growth strategy includes brand strength, marketing expertise, and innovation, aiming to become a total beverage company [11]. - Coca-Cola has diversified its portfolio to include healthier options and is expanding into the ready-to-drink alcoholic beverage market with new product launches planned for 2025 [12][13]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Coca-Cola's 2025 EPS remains stable at $2.96, indicating a more optimistic profitability outlook compared to Celsius Holdings [14]. Group 3: Performance Comparison - Coca-Cola's forward P/E ratio is 23.45x, reflecting strong earnings visibility, while Celsius trades at a higher 36.46x due to anticipated growth [15]. - Over the past 12 months, Coca-Cola's stock has risen by 14%, contrasting with Celsius Holdings' 60.3% decline, highlighting Coca-Cola's stronger performance amid macroeconomic uncertainty [15]. - The bottom line suggests that Coca-Cola's stable earnings visibility and defensive appeal make it a more reliable investment choice compared to Celsius Holdings, which faces challenges ahead [17][18].
El Pollo Loco Introduces New Fresca Salads and Wraps
Globenewswire· 2025-05-15 13:01
Core Insights - El Pollo Loco introduces new Fresca Salads and Wraps, emphasizing portability and quality ingredients for on-the-go meals [1][2] - The new menu items feature two distinct flavor profiles and are available as salads in bowls or wrapped in whole wheat tortillas [2] - The Citrus Vinaigrette dressing will become a permanent menu item following the limited-time offering of the Fresca Salads and Wraps [2] Product Details - The Fresca Salads include the Citrus Avocado Fresca Salad and the Mexican Cobb Fresca Salad, both featuring fire-grilled chicken and fresh ingredients [7] - The Fresca Wraps mirror the salads, providing a convenient option for customers who prefer a portable meal [7] - Prices for the Fresca Salads and Wraps range from $9.00 to $12.00, varying by location [2] Marketing and Brand Positioning - The new items will be featured in a modernized ad campaign, showcasing a vibrant and energetic brand image [3] - El Pollo Loco has been recognized as the 1 "Best Restaurant for Quick, Healthy Food" in USA TODAY's 10 Best Readers' Choice Awards, reinforcing its commitment to quality and health [5] - The company operates over 495 restaurants across seven U.S. states and has expanded internationally with locations in the Philippines [5]
Coca-Cola Stock Slips Below 50-Day SMA: Time to Buy or Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 14:31
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola's stock has recently slipped below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a potential short-term bearish trend, with a notable decline of 3.9% since the earnings report on April 29, 2025 [1][4][25]. Stock Performance - KO stock closed at $69.53, below the 50-day SMA of $70.88, and has been on a downtrend since May 9, 2025 [1][4]. - The stock has lost 4% in the past month, slightly outperforming the Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry's decline of 4.7% but underperforming the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector's decline of 1.4% and the S&P 500's growth of 4.4% [4][5]. - KO stock reflects a 6.5% discount from its 52-week high of $74.38 and a 14.7% premium to its 52-week low of $60.62 [8]. Financial Performance - The first quarter of 2025 saw a 2% decline in revenues and a modest 1% growth in earnings per share (EPS), with underwhelming results across most operating segments except North America and EMEA [9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KO's 2025 revenues and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 2.3% and 2.8%, respectively, with estimates for 2026 suggesting 5.2% and 8.2% growth [18]. Competitive Positioning - Coca-Cola's performance is weaker than competitor Monster Beverage, which rallied 4.8% in the past month, but it outperformed PepsiCo and Keurig Dr Pepper, which declined by 10.3% and 6.1%, respectively [5]. - KO trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 22.8X, significantly higher than industry peers like PepsiCo and Keurig, which trade at 16.37X and 16.04X, respectively [20][21]. Strategic Initiatives - Coca-Cola is focusing on innovation and strategic expansion, diversifying its portfolio to include healthier options and entering the ready-to-drink alcoholic beverage market [11][13]. - The company aims to balance volume growth with price/mix optimization while anticipating a tapering impact from inflation-driven pricing pressures [14]. Market Outlook - Despite short-term headwinds, Coca-Cola's strong market leadership, diversified product portfolio, and strategic emphasis on innovation support its long-term growth trajectory [26]. - The company's proactive approach to navigating economic volatility is crucial for sustaining performance, making it an attractive option for long-term investors [27].
Where Will Constellation Brands Stock Be in 1 Year?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-02 08:54
The alcoholic beverages maker faces a lot of near-term challenges.Constellation Brands (STZ -1.18%) was once considered a reliable blue-chip stock. It owns more than 100 brands of beers, spirits, and wines, and it has raised its dividend annually for 10 consecutive years. But over the past 12 months, Constellation's stock price has dropped nearly 30%. Let's see why that happened -- and if it can bounce back over the next 12 months.What happened to Constellation over the past year?Constellation struggled wit ...
El Pollo Loco(LOCO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, total revenue was $119.2 million, up from $116.2 million in Q1 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.6% [21] - Company-operated restaurant revenue increased by 1.2% to $98.4 million from $97.2 million in the same period last year, driven by a 0.6% increase in comparable restaurant sales [21][22] - GAAP net income for Q1 2025 was $5.5 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, compared to $5.9 million, or $0.19 per diluted share in the prior year [28][29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Franchise revenue increased by 16.2% to $13.2 million, driven by IT pass-through revenue related to the franchisee rollout of a new point of sale system [23] - The increase in franchise revenue was partially offset by a 1.3% decrease in comparable restaurant sales [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide comparable store sales decreased by 1.2% in Q2 to date through April 23, 2025, with a 0.1% decrease in company-operated restaurants and a 1.8% decrease in franchise restaurants [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a brand turnaround, emphasizing long-term sustainable growth without shortcuts [5] - Upcoming initiatives include a brand relaunch and menu innovations, such as the launch of Fresca wraps and salads, and quesadillas [6][9] - The company aims to open at least 10 new restaurants in 2025, marking the largest system-wide unit growth since 2022 [16][17] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged that the first quarter results were underwhelming but expressed confidence in the steps being taken to improve performance [6] - The company expects sequential quarterly acceleration in comparable sales trends in Q3 and Q4, driven by the brand relaunch and new product launches [24] - Management noted that the consumer pullback is real, but they are focused on what they can control, including reinforcing quality and value [35] Other Important Information - Food and paper costs as a percentage of company restaurant sales decreased by 120 basis points year-over-year to 25.2% due to higher menu pricing [24][25] - Labor and related expenses increased by 120 basis points year-over-year to 32.7%, with wage inflation of approximately 12% in Q1 2025 [25][26] - The company expects to remodel between 60 to 70 system-wide restaurants in 2025, with eight already completed [19][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for Q2 same store sales - Management indicated that headwinds are expected to continue in Q2, but they are focused on their brand relaunch and menu innovations to drive sales [34][35] Question: Impact of new product launches on comp trends - Management noted that the Mango Habanero product drove initial trial, and they are optimistic about the upcoming launches of Fresca wraps and quesadillas [38][40] Question: Regional differences in consumer behavior - Management observed that the consumer pullback is widespread, affecting various income bands, including the Hispanic consumer [51][52] Question: Menu pricing expectations for the year - Management expects menu pricing to be around 3% for the year, with approximately 2% in Q3 and Q4 [53] Question: Operational gaps identified through consumer feedback - Management is implementing a back-to-basics program to address operational gaps, focusing on accuracy and hospitality [70][72] Question: Kiosk rollout status and benefits - Kiosks are in most company restaurants, with plans to complete the rollout in the remaining locations, and management sees opportunities to enhance guest engagement through kiosks [73][74]
El Pollo Loco(LOCO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 20:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, total revenue was $119.2 million, up from $116.2 million in Q1 2024, representing a 1.7% increase [19] - Company-operated restaurant revenue increased by 1.2% to $98.4 million, driven by a 0.6% increase in comparable restaurant sales and additional sales from two new restaurant openings [19] - The effective price increase was approximately 4.4% compared to 2024 [20] - GAAP net income for Q1 2025 was $5.5 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, compared to $5.9 million, or $0.19 per diluted share in the prior year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Franchise revenue increased by 16.2% to $13.2 million, driven by IT pass-through revenue related to a new point of sale system and new franchise openings [20] - Comparable restaurant sales decreased by 1.3% for franchise-operated restaurants [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide comparable store sales decreased by 1.2% in Q2 to date, with a 0.1% decrease in company-operated restaurants and a 1.8% decrease in franchise restaurants [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a brand turnaround, emphasizing long-term sustainable growth without shortcuts [5] - Upcoming initiatives include a brand relaunch and menu innovations, such as the launch of Fresca wraps and salads, and quesadillas [6][8] - The company aims to open at least 10 new restaurants in 2025, marking the largest system-wide unit growth since 2022 [14][15] - Remodeling efforts are ongoing, with plans to remodel 60 to 70 restaurants in partnership with franchisees [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a challenging consumer environment but remains confident in the brand's long-term potential [6] - The company expects sequential quarterly acceleration in comparable sales trends in Q3 and Q4, driven by the brand relaunch and new product launches [22] - Wage inflation is anticipated to be between 4% to 5% for the year, with Q1 experiencing a 12% increase [23][24] Other Important Information - The company has transitioned to a new distribution partner, which is expected to enhance margins and support future growth [14] - The restaurant contribution margin for Q1 was 16%, down from 17.6% in the previous year, primarily due to labor inflation and occupancy costs [24][25] - General and administrative expenses decreased to 9.5% of total revenue, aided by prior year restructuring costs [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for Q2 same store sales - Management noted that consumer pullback is real and expects headwinds to continue into Q2, but is focused on brand relaunch and value innovation [32][33] Question: Impact of new product launches on comp trends - The Mango Habanero product drove initial trial, and upcoming launches of Fresca wraps and quesadillas are expected to attract different consumer segments [36][38] Question: Timing of kitchen equipment rollout and labor cost impact - Equipment rollout is ongoing, with expectations of improved labor efficiency as new systems are implemented [41] Question: Regional differences in consumer behavior - Management observed similar consumer pullback across markets, with particular pressure on the Hispanic consumer segment [50][51] Question: Menu pricing expectations for the year - The company expects menu price increases to be around 3% for the year, with variations across quarters [52] Question: Development pipeline momentum - Management expressed optimism about the development pipeline, with confidence in opening at least 10 new units this year and potential for more in the following year [59][60]
El Pollo Loco(LOCO) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-06 23:59
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:LOCO) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call March 6, 2025 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Ira Fils - CFO Liz Williams - CEO Conference Call Participants Todd Brooks - The Benchmark Company Larson Rice - Truist Tania Anderson - William Blair Operator Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the El Pollo Loco Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded today, March 6, 2 ...