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能源列国志:苏丹、南苏丹
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 06:38
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - Sudan and South Sudan are both under - developed countries. Sudan has a weak industrial base with agriculture as the main economic pillar, while South Sudan has almost no large - scale industrial production and depends entirely on imports for industrial products and daily necessities [2]. - The two countries are rich in natural resources. As of early 2024, the combined proven crude oil reserves are estimated at 5 billion barrels, and the combined proven natural gas reserves are estimated at 3 trillion cubic feet. After South Sudan's independence in 2011, 75% of the original Sudan's oil reserves were allocated to the south, leading to a significant reduction in Sudan's oil production [2]. - Sudan is currently in an armed conflict with the Rapid Support Forces, and South Sudan has intense domestic political struggles with the political transition period extended several times [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 National Overview 3.1.1 Geographical Location - Sudan is located in northeastern Africa, on the western coast of the Red Sea, bordering Egypt to the north, Libya, Chad, and the Central African Republic to the west, South Sudan to the south, and Ethiopia and Eritrea to the east [8]. - South Sudan is an inland country in northeastern Africa, bordering Ethiopia to the east, Kenya, Uganda, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo to the south, the Central African Republic to the west, and Sudan to the north [8]. 3.1.2 Economic Overview - **Sudan**: In 2024, the population was about 49.4 million. It is one of the least developed countries in the world. The economy was once boosted by oil exports but was severely affected by South Sudan's independence in 2011 and the armed conflict in 2023. In 2024, the GDP was 29.7 billion US dollars, and the per - capita GDP was only 594 US dollars. The main economic pillar is agriculture, and it also has some industries such as oil, textile, and sugar - making. The total foreign trade volume in 2024 was 8.04 billion US dollars [12][13]. - **South Sudan**: In 2024, the population was about 15.9 million. It is also a least - developed country, with the economy highly dependent on oil, accounting for about 90% of government fiscal revenue. In 2024, the GDP was about 5.27 billion US dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 26.7%, and the per - capita GDP was about 331 US dollars. It has almost no large - scale industrial production and depends on imports [14]. 3.1.3 Historical Politics - **Sudan**: It has a long history. It was part of ancient Egypt from 2800 BC to 1000 BC. After a series of historical changes, it became independent in 1956. Since 2023, it has been in an armed conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces [15][16]. - **South Sudan**: It became independent in 2011. Since 2013, there have been armed conflicts between the government and the opposition, and the political transition period has been extended several times [16]. 3.2 Oil and Other Liquids - As of early 2024, the combined proven crude oil reserves of Sudan and South Sudan were estimated at 5 billion barrels, unchanged from the previous year. The main producing areas are the Muglad Basin and the Melut Basin, and they produce three types of crude oil blends: Dar, Nile, and Fula [17]. - In 2023, Sudan's average daily production of liquid fuels was about 70,000 barrels, and South Sudan's was about 149,000 barrels. Sudan's production has been decreasing due to insufficient upstream exploration, while South Sudan's has grown relatively steadily [20]. - Sudan has 3 refineries and 3 topping units, but most are shut down. South Sudan's Bentiu refinery started commercial operation in 2021, and it plans to build more refineries [23]. 3.3 Natural Gas - As of early 2024, the combined proven natural gas reserves of Sudan and South Sudan were estimated at 3 trillion cubic feet, unchanged from the previous year. Neither country produces or consumes natural gas [24]. 3.4 Coal - Sudan and South Sudan do not produce or consume coal [25]. 3.5 Electricity 3.5.1 Sudan - In 2021, the total installed capacity was 4.5 GW, with about half from fossil fuels, about 43% from hydropower, and the rest from renewable energy. In 2020, the total power generation was 16.6 billion kWh, with 60% from hydropower [26]. - The power transmission and distribution network mainly serves major power - consuming centers like Khartoum and is concentrated in the more densely populated eastern region. Only about 62% of the population had access to electricity in 2021, with a higher urban access rate (84%) than rural (49%) [26]. - The government is committed to diversifying the power mix and has prioritized investment in thermal power in recent years [26]. 3.5.2 South Sudan - In 2021, the total installed capacity was 0.12 GW, almost entirely from fossil fuels, and the total power generation was 600 million kWh, also almost entirely from fossil fuels. Only about 8% of the population had access to electricity in 2021 [29]. - In June 2023, Uganda and South Sudan signed an agreement allowing South Sudan to import electricity from Uganda, and they are conducting a feasibility study on an inter - connected transmission line [30]. 3.6 Energy Trade 3.6.1 Oil and Other Liquids - The main export products of Sudan and South Sudan are Nile and Dar crude oil blends, which are sold to the Asian market. The average daily export volume of crude oil from 2014 - 2023 was about 145,000 barrels, and it decreased due to the decline in total production. In 2023, the export volume was about 125,000 barrels per day, with the UAE being the largest destination country [31][36]. 3.6.2 Natural Gas and Coal - Sudan and South Sudan do not participate in natural gas or coal trade and have no relevant imports or exports [38][39].