Summary of J.P. Morgan's PC and Server Market Analysis Industry Overview - The analysis focuses on the **PC and server markets**, highlighting trends and forecasts for shipments and demand in the coming years. Key Points on PC Market - **Shipment Growth Forecasts**: - Adjusted global PC shipment growth forecast for 2025 is **+8%**, while a decline of **-9%** is expected in 2026 [1] - **Demand Trends**: - Anticipated downside in PC unit demand due to **memory-driven product price hikes** [1][4] - A significant **20%+ increase** in product prices has been noted recently, impacting consumer PC demand [4] - Forecasts indicate **10%** decline in consumer PC shipments and **7%** decline in commercial PC shipments for 2026 [11] - **Commercial PC Demand**: - Muted refresh demand is expected this year, with a potential pause in demand from **2Q26** onwards [1][11] - **Competition**: - Increased competition in mainstream PCs due to new model launches from major players like **Dell** and **Apple** [4] Key Points on Server Market - **General Server Demand**: - Strong demand from **US Cloud Service Providers (CSPs)** is expected to continue into 2026, particularly for storage servers driven by AI inference activities [4] - Forecasted **30%+ growth** in CSP server shipments, offset by a single-digit decline in enterprise server demand [11] - **AI Server Growth**: - Notable ramp-up in **GB300 server shipments** is expected, with estimates of **50-70k NVL72 rack shipments** this year, driven by strong AI server demand [4] - Anticipated growth in **ASIC server demand**, particularly for TPU servers [4] - **Overall Server Shipment Growth**: - Total server shipment growth forecast for 2026 is **14.6%**, up from previous estimates of **+4.6%** [11] Key Companies Mentioned - **Positive Outlook**: - Companies such as **Wiwynn**, **Hon Hai**, and **Quanta** are favored in the server ODM space [1] - For server components, **ASPEED**, **Delta**, **Jentech**, and **Lotes** are highlighted [1] - **Cautious Outlook**: - Companies like **ASUSTek**, **Micro-Star**, and **Compal** are viewed with caution due to expected challenges in the PC segment [1] Additional Insights - **Memory Component Costs**: - A significant increase in memory component costs is expected, leading to at least **double YoY memory costs** in the upcoming quarters [4] - **Market Dynamics**: - The report indicates a prolonged supercycle in general servers driven by AI demand, with potential risks from component supply constraints [4] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the J.P. Morgan analysis on the PC and server markets, providing a comprehensive overview of expected trends, challenges, and opportunities within the industry.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Asian Technology** sector, specifically the **datacenter power**, **liquid cooling**, and **ODM rack build** related to AI server technology [1][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **AI Server Demand and Shipments**: - Forecast for 2025 indicates approximately **38,000 NVL72 racks** in demand, with **10,000-11,000** in order backlog. For 2026, demand is expected to rise to **50,000-60,000 NVL72 racks** [4][10]. - The anticipated **double YoY growth** in shipments suggests strong revenue potential for AI server ODMs and component vendors [4]. - **GB300/VR200 Server Updates**: - The ramp-up for **GB300 servers** is slower than expected, with a more significant increase anticipated in **1Q26**. The **VR200 modules** are expected to ramp in **2Q26**, with delays likely due to ongoing discussions on specifications [4]. - Key specification changes for the VR200 include increased power consumption and enhanced cooling solutions, which will impact the overall design and manufacturing landscape [4]. - **Power Supply Unit (PSU) Market Growth**: - The global datacenter power installed base is projected to grow from **117 GW in 2025 to 242 GW in 2028**, representing a **27% CAGR** [5]. - The server PSU total addressable market (TAM) is expected to grow at a **64% CAGR** during the same period, benefiting companies like **Delta Electronics** [5]. - **Liquid Cooling Market Expansion**: - The sidecar/CDU TAM is projected to grow from **$6 billion in 2025 to $21 billion by 2028**, indicating a **54% CAGR** driven by increased AI server power consumption [5]. - Companies like **Delta** are positioned to benefit from this trend, with expected revenue growth of **36% CAGR** in liquid cooling systems from 2025 to 2027 [5]. - **Competitive Landscape**: - The potential shift towards standardized compute trays by Nvidia could lead to a more concentrated competitive landscape among NVL72 L10 server ODMs [4]. - Rising competition in the MCP market is anticipated as Nvidia may adopt a "consign" model, limiting customization and increasing competition among suppliers [5]. Additional Important Insights - **Stock Implications**: - J.P. Morgan has an **Overweight (OW)** rating on companies like **Wiwynn**, **Hon Hai**, and **Quanta** in the Taiwan ODM space, as well as **Delta** and **Chroma** in the datacenter power sector [6]. - In the liquid cooling space, **Jentech** and **Fositek** are identified as major beneficiaries from content growth [6]. - **Technological Advancements**: - The report highlights the importance of adopting advanced cooling solutions and power supply architectures to enhance efficiency and reduce power conversion losses in future AI datacenters [5]. - **Market Dynamics**: - The report indicates a potential market share shift from traditional server brands to server ODMs, reflecting changing dynamics in the datacenter hardware landscape [4]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding the datacenter power and liquid cooling industry, emphasizing the growth potential driven by AI server demand and technological advancements.