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FOLD Rises 136% in 6 Months: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-16 17:07
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) shares have surged 135.8% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 Index, driven by strong product momentum and a merger agreement with BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN) [1][8]. Company Overview - BioMarin has agreed to acquire all outstanding shares of Amicus for $14.50 per share, totaling $4.8 billion, with the deal expected to close in Q2 2026 [3]. - Post-acquisition, BioMarin will integrate Amicus' marketed products, including Galafold (migalastat) and the combination therapy Pombiliti (cipaglucosidase alfa) + Opfolda (miglustat), both of which have shown steady sales growth [3][4]. Product Performance - Galafold generated sales of $371.5 million in the first nine months of 2025, accounting for over 80% of Amicus' net product sales, with a year-over-year growth of approximately 12% [6][9]. - Pombiliti + Opfolda achieved sales of $77.5 million in the same period, reflecting a 61% increase year-over-year, indicating strong market potential [10]. Competitive Landscape - Amicus faces significant competition in the lysosomal storage disorder market, particularly from established players like Sanofi and Takeda, which market therapies for Fabry disease and Pompe disease [11][12][13]. - The company's heavy reliance on Galafold for revenue poses a risk, especially with increasing competition [11]. Valuation and Estimates - Amicus shares are currently trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 7.42, which is above the industry average of 2.51, but below its five-year mean of 8.82 [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has slightly increased from 34 cents to 35 cents, while estimates for 2026 have decreased from 67 cents to 65 cents [15]. Investment Outlook - The strong sales performance of Amicus' marketed products is expected to continue driving revenue growth, with incremental contributions from Pombiliti + Opfolda [17]. - Given the impending acquisition by BioMarin, investment strategies should focus on event-driven trading rather than long-term growth [18]. - Despite competitive risks, Amicus' unique positioning in the rare disease market and stable earnings estimates suggest a positive outlook, making it a potential addition for investors seeking short-term gains before the acquisition [19].
Will Galafold Be Able to Aid FOLD's Top Line Heading Into Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 17:15
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics has made significant progress with its lead product, Galafold, which is crucial for the company's revenue generation [1][2] - Galafold is approved for treating Fabry disease and has been a major contributor to Amicus' sales performance [1][2] Sales Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, Galafold generated sales of $371.5 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately 12% [2][9] - Galafold accounted for over 80% of Amicus' net product sales during this period [2][9] - The combination therapy Pombiliti + Opfolda generated $77.5 million in sales, up around 61% year-over-year [6][9] Market Position and Competition - Galafold benefits from a strong intellectual property portfolio in the U.S., with patent protection extending through 2038 [3][9] - The recent settlement with Teva Pharmaceuticals prevents the sale of a generic version of Galafold in the U.S. until January 2037, which is expected to support sales growth [4][6] - Amicus faces competition from established players like Sanofi and Takeda, which market products for treating Fabry disease and other lysosomal storage disorders [7][8] Financial Metrics and Valuation - Amicus shares have increased by 135.6% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 21.5% [10] - The company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is currently 7.39, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.43, although it is below its five-year mean of 8.89 [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has risen from 31 cents to 35 cents over the past 60 days, while estimates for 2026 have decreased from 70 cents to 65 cents [13]
FOLD Shares Hit 52-Week High: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 16:31
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) shares reached a 52-week high of $11.14 on December 15, currently trading at $10.88, with a significant 87.6% increase over the past six months compared to the industry's 21% growth [1][4][9] Company Performance - The stock's rally is driven by investor optimism regarding Amicus' marketed products, particularly Galafold (migalastat) and the combination therapy Pombiliti (cipaglucosidase alfa) + Opfolda (miglustat), which are experiencing steady sales growth [2][20] - Galafold generated sales of $371.5 million in the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase, and is a key revenue driver for the company [7][9] - Pombiliti + Opfolda sales reached $77.5 million in the same period, marking a 61.5% year-over-year growth, indicating strong market uptake [9][13] Market Position and Competition - Amicus has successfully resolved patent litigation with Teva Pharmaceuticals, ensuring Galafold's market protection until January 2037, which is expected to safeguard sales from generic competition [10][11] - Despite the success of Galafold, the company's heavy reliance on this drug for revenue poses a risk, especially with increasing competition from established players like Sanofi and Takeda in the Fabry and Pompe disease markets [14][15][16] Valuation and Financial Estimates - Amicus is currently trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.64, which is above the industry average of 2.46, but below its five-year mean of 8.99 [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has increased from 31 cents to 36 cents, while estimates for 2026 have decreased from 70 cents to 67 cents [18] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from strong sales of Galafold and incremental contributions from Pombiliti + Opfolda, indicating potential for growth [20] - Despite concerns regarding reliance on Galafold and competition, recent developments and improving earnings estimates suggest strong upside potential for Amicus [21][22]
Can Galafold Continue to Drive Amicus' Top Line in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-05 16:01
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics is experiencing significant growth driven by its lead product, Galafold, which is crucial for the company's revenue generation [1][9] - Galafold is approved for treating Fabry disease and is available in multiple countries, including the US, EU, UK, and Japan [1] - The company has also made progress with its two-component therapy, Pombiliti + Opfolda, which is approved for late-onset Pompe disease [5] Financial Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, Galafold generated sales of $371.5 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately 12% [2][9] - The sales forecast for Galafold suggests a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.4% over the next three years [2] - Pombiliti + Opfolda achieved sales of $77.5 million during the same period, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 61.5% [5][9] Competitive Landscape - Amicus faces rising competition in the market for lysosomal storage disorders, particularly from established players like Sanofi and Takeda Pharmaceuticals [6][7] - The company’s reliance on Galafold for revenue generation is a concern, especially with increasing competition [6] Intellectual Property and Legal Developments - In October 2024, Amicus entered a licensing agreement with Teva Pharmaceuticals, preventing Teva from selling a generic version of Galafold in the US until January 2037 [4][9] Valuation and Market Performance - Amicus shares have increased by 5.7% year-to-date, compared to the industry growth of 20% [8] - The company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio stands at 5.16, which is higher than the industry average of 2.49, although it is below its five-year mean of 9.06 [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has risen from 31 cents to 36 cents, while estimates for 2026 have decreased from 69 cents to 67 cents [11] Investment Rating - Amicus currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [15]
Can Galafold Drive Amicus' Growth Through the Rest of 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-10-02 14:41
Core Insights - Amicus Therapeutics' lead product, Galafold, is the primary revenue driver for the company, being the first oral precision medicine approved for Fabry disease treatment [1][2] - Galafold sales reached $233.1 million in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, with a projected CAGR of 11.7% over the next three years [2][9] - The company has secured strong patent protection for Galafold in the U.S. until 2038, following a licensing agreement with Teva Pharmaceuticals that prevents generic competition until January 2037 [3][4][9] Product Performance - Galafold has shown consistent sales growth since its launch, with label expansions and approvals in new regions contributing to its revenue increase [2][3] - The combination therapy Pombiliti + Opfolda for late-onset Pompe disease generated $46.8 million in sales during the first half of 2025, marking a 74% year-over-year increase [5] Market Dynamics - Amicus is heavily reliant on Galafold for revenue, which poses risks if regulatory challenges arise [6] - The company faces significant competition from established players in the lysosomal storage disorder market, including Sanofi and Takeda Pharmaceuticals, which market products for Fabry and Pompe diseases [7][8]
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-05-14 16:00
Summary of Amicus Therapeutics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Amicus Therapeutics - **Industry**: Biotechnology, specifically focusing on rare diseases and therapies Key Points and Arguments Macro Environment and Regulatory Impact - Recent executive orders, particularly the most favored nation (MFN) pricing, could impact Amicus's revenue structure, with approximately 60% of Galafold's revenue coming from outside the US and 40% from within, including Medicare and Medicaid exposure [4][5][6] - Tariffs are not expected to significantly affect Amicus in 2025 due to existing inventory and a transition from China to Ireland for manufacturing [7][8][10] Product Performance and Market Dynamics - **Galafold**: Expected to surpass $500 million in sales this year, driven by growth in the US, Germany, and the UK, with a focus on diagnosing underdiagnosed Fabry disease [15][16][20] - The company is leveraging AI to identify potential Fabry patients through medical records, which could enhance patient diagnosis and treatment [17][18] - The amenability rate for Galafold is projected to increase to over 50% in new patient diagnoses, enhancing market share [20][21] Growth Strategy - Future growth will primarily come from diagnosing new patients rather than switching existing patients from other treatments [19][24] - There is a significant pool of diagnosed but untreated patients, estimated at 6,000 to 7,000, which presents an opportunity for growth [24][25] Pompe Disease Treatment - **Pompe Disease**: The company anticipates a revenue growth guidance of 50% to 65%, with April showing the strongest demand since launch [31][32] - The company is expanding into new reimbursed markets like Italy and the Netherlands, with a focus on existing markets for growth [33][34] - Transitioning patients from existing therapies to Amicus's products is expected to accelerate as more data becomes available [38][39] Acquisition Strategy - Amicus is pursuing a cautious acquisition strategy, focusing on in-licensing products that align with its existing portfolio, such as DMX 200, which targets FSGS [53][54][58] - The acquisition of DMX 200 is seen as a strategic move to leverage existing infrastructure and address a significant unmet medical need in the US market [58][59] Financial Outlook - The company aims to achieve GAAP profitability while managing risks associated with new acquisitions and product launches [60] Additional Important Insights - The company is focused on balancing shareholder interests with growth opportunities, avoiding over-dilution while pursuing strategic investments [55][56] - There is a strong emphasis on educating physicians about the benefits of switching to Amicus's therapies, particularly in the context of progressive diseases like Pompe [47][48] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the Amicus Therapeutics conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, product performance, and market opportunities.