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PayPal Falls Despite Q2 Earnings Beating Estimates: ETFs in Focus
ZACKSยท 2025-07-30 11:46
Core Insights - PayPal Holdings reported second-quarter 2025 non-GAAP earnings of $1.40 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.7% and reflecting a 17.6% year-over-year increase, driven by better-than-expected revenue growth [1] - Despite the positive earnings report, PayPal's stock fell over 8% due to a decline in transaction margin dollars and a 5% decrease in payment transactions during the quarter [1] Revenue Performance - Total payment volume (TPV) reached $443.5 billion, marking a 6% year-over-year increase on a reported basis and 5% on a forex-neutral basis [3] - Net revenues amounted to $8.3 billion, up 5.1% year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate by 2.3% [2] - Transaction revenues were $7.4 billion, accounting for 89.8% of net revenues, with a 4% year-over-year increase [4] - Value Added Services revenues rose to $847 million, representing 10.2% of net revenues and a 15.7% year-over-year growth [4] Active Accounts and Transactions - Total active accounts increased by 2% year-over-year to 438 million [5] - Payment transactions per active account decreased by 4% year-over-year to 58.3 million [5] Guidance and Future Expectations - For 2025, PayPal raised its non-GAAP earnings guidance to a range of $5.15 to $5.30 per share, indicating an 11-14% growth year-over-year [6] - The company expects transaction margin dollars to be between $15.35 billion and $15.5 billion, suggesting a growth of 5-6% [6] - Free cash flow is projected to be between $6 billion and $7 billion, with share repurchase expected to be around $6 billion [7] ETF Exposure - PayPal stock has a 6.1% exposure to Amplify Digital Payments ETF (IPAY), a 5.7% weight in Global X FinTech ETF (FINX), and a 4.2% exposure to Madison Covered Call ETF (CVRD), indicating potential investor interest in these ETFs amid PayPal's stock decline [8]