Core Thesis - Grab Holdings Limited is experiencing strong growth in its superapp ecosystem, with significant revenue and EBITDA increases, positioning the company favorably for future expansion [3][4][8] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Grab reported revenue of $873 million, reflecting a 22% year-over-year growth, and adjusted EBITDA of $136 million, up 51% year-over-year [3] - The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $3.38–3.40 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $490–500 million, indicating confidence in its growth trajectory [4] Ecosystem Growth - On-Demand GMV increased by 24% year-over-year to $5.77 billion, with monthly transacting users (MTUs) growing 14% year-over-year to 47.7 million [4] - The loan portfolio grew 65% year-over-year to $821 million, driven by a $3.5 billion annualized run-rate in disbursals [4] Segment Performance - Deliveries segment posted 26% year-over-year GMV growth, while mobility transactions grew 30% year-over-year [5] - Financial services (GFin) improved segment EBITDA margins from -40% to -31%, leveraging ecosystem data to extend credit to underbanked users [5] Emerging Businesses - GrabMart now accounts for 10% of Deliveries GMV, and GrabAds saw a 15% year-over-year increase in advertisers and a 41% increase in spending, contributing to high-margin growth [6] - Management is focused on disciplined cost control, improving operating leverage, and strategic capital allocation towards organic growth and selective M&A [6] Strategic Positioning - The core platform flywheel, combining deliveries, financial services, GrabMart, and GrabAds, is accelerating, providing strong visibility into future products and revenue growth [7] - Grab is well-positioned for sustained revenue growth, higher margins, and long-term shareholder value creation [7]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook for Grab, indicating an "Outperform" rating based on expected growth and profitability in the upcoming periods [18]. Core Insights - Grab's strong Q2 2025 performance was driven by its "product and tech-driven" strategy, which enhanced service affordability and reliability, attracting more price-sensitive users and increasing platform engagement [2][7]. - The company achieved a record Q2 profit of $20 million, a significant turnaround from a loss of $68 million in the same period last year, with revenue reaching $819 million, a 23% year-over-year increase [1][6]. - Adjusted EBITDA surged to $109 million, marking a 69% year-over-year growth and the 14th consecutive quarter of growth [1][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue reached $819 million, exceeding market expectations of $811.35 million, with a profit of $20 million compared to a loss of $68 million last year [1][6]. - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $109 million, a 69% year-over-year rise, and the On-Demand GMV reached $5.4 billion, up 21% year-over-year [1][6]. Business Segments - **Deliveries**: GMV grew 22% year-over-year, driven by new product innovations contributing one-third of the segment's growth, with advertising revenue increasing 45% year-over-year [2][8]. - **Mobility**: Transactions increased by 23% year-over-year, reflecting the success of a price elasticity strategy that lowered average fares by 4% [3][9]. - **Financial Services**: This segment led the group with a 41% year-over-year revenue growth, primarily from a 44% increase in loan disbursements, reaching $721 million [4][10]. 2025 Outlook - The company expects full-year revenue between $3.33 billion and $3.40 billion, representing a 19%-22% year-over-year growth, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $460 million and $480 million [4][11]. - Grab anticipates that On-Demand GMV growth will accelerate beyond 2024 levels while maintaining strict cost control [4][11].