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Q-TECH(1478.HK):BEGINNING OF EARNINGS UPWARD REVISION CYCLE;RAISE TP TO HK$13.21
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-12 19:10
Core Viewpoint - Q-tech preannounced a significant net profit growth of 150-180% YoY for 1H25, with a mid-point of RMB305 million, surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 20% and tracking 54% of the FY25E net profit estimate [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 1H25, Q-tech's estimated revenue and net profit growth were 7% and 162% YoY, respectively, driven by a 2% YoY increase in CCM (with non-mobile CCM up 97%) and a 100% YoY increase in FPM (with ultrasonic FPM up 20x) [2]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) improved to 7.1% in 1H25, compared to 5.2% in 1H24 and 6.9% in 2H24, attributed to HCM spec upgrades and higher-margin non-mobile CCM and ultrasonic FPM shipments [2]. Outlook - The outlook for 2H25 is positive, with expectations of continued strong momentum driven by high-end smartphone camera upgrades (OIS/periscope), IoT/auto CCM growth, and GPM recovery [2]. - Revenue and net profit are estimated to grow by 25% and 162% YoY in 2H25E, respectively, supported by a 23% mix of high-end HCM in 2H and an 85% revenue increase in IoT/auto [2]. Earnings Estimates - The company raised FY25-27E EPS estimates by 21-30%, reflecting strong 1H25 performance and improved GPM outlook for FY26/27E, with EPS now 14-19% above consensus [1][3]. - The new target price (TP) is set at HK$13.21, based on a higher 19.5x FY25E P/E, aligning with the 10-year historical average forward P/E, following sector re-rating and a stronger outlook for FY26-27E [1][3]. Investment Thesis - Q-tech is positioned to capture high-end smartphone camera upgrade demand and momentum in IoT/auto CCM modules, leading to a reiteration of the BUY rating [3].
AI业务贡献不足1%,北森控股上市2年未破亏损魔咒,股价已降7成
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 00:31
作者 | 星空 编辑 | 蛋总 美编 | 邢静 出品 | 创业最前线 审核 | 颂文 作为中国HR SaaS第一股,北森控股自从2023年4月上市以来,营收也在持续增长,2025财年已经突破9亿元大关。 事实上,从2016年到2024年,北森控股已经连续9年坐稳HCM SaaS榜首(HCM SaaS全称"Human Capital Management Software-as-a-Service",是一种基于 云计算的人力资源管理软件服务),但如今也面临着持续亏损、AI业务贡献小、并购协同效应存疑这三重挑战,值得该公司董事会主席王朝晖及公司管 理层格外注意。 今年6月下旬,北森控股发布了2025财年的财报。 表面上看,北森控股2025财年的业绩挺亮眼:年营收突破9亿元,达到9.45亿元,同比增长10.6%;整体ARR(年度经常性收入)突破9.08亿元,同比增长 超20%;经营性现金流净额7690万元首次转正。 同时,年内亏损从32亿元收窄至1.47亿元,降幅达到95%,经调整净亏损亦从1.05亿元收窄至2910.1万元,同比缩减约72%;公司整体毛利率从2024财年的 60.2%增至2025财年的64.9%。 ...
Payroll Stocks to Watch as June's Jobs Report Comes in Strong
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 22:26
Group 1: Labor Market Overview - The U.S. job market exceeded expectations for the 11th consecutive month, with 147,000 jobs added in June compared to the forecast of 110,000 [1] - The unemployment rate decreased from 4.2% to 4.1%, better than the expected 4.3% [1] - Average hourly earnings increased by 0.2% month-over-month and 3.7% year-over-year [1] Group 2: Payroll Stocks Performance - Paylocity Holding Corporation (PCTY) and Dayforce (DAY) saw stock increases of over +2% and +1% respectively, both classified as Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [2] - Paychex (PAYX) is noted for its integrated Human Capital Management (HCM) solutions and has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), with expectations for steady growth in top and bottom lines [3] - Maximus (MMS) is identified as a strong buy with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), despite a 21% decline from its 52-week high, attributed to a spike in FY25 EPS estimates by 7% [5] Group 3: Market Reactions and Economic Implications - The dip in Maximus stock followed the announcement of 7,000 federal government job cuts, but this may be an overreaction given the addition of 47,000 state government jobs and 19,000 social assistance jobs [6] - The resilient labor market and better-than-expected jobs report contribute positively to the stock market's recovery, making payroll stocks particularly attractive [8]
4 Internet Delivery Services Stocks to Watch in a Thriving Industry
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 14:06
Industry Overview - The Zacks Internet - Delivery Services industry includes companies providing services through Internet-based platforms, such as food delivery, online travel booking, and web hosting [2] - Growth-stage companies in this industry are increasing spending on R&D and sales & marketing, which may hinder short-term profitability [2] Growth Drivers - The rise in smartphone usage and improved Internet access are creating significant opportunities for the industry, with 4G and emerging 5G technology enhancing user experiences [3] - Shifting consumer preferences towards convenience and online services are expected to benefit the industry, particularly in food ordering and travel booking [4] - Technological advancements, such as smart routing algorithms and real-time GPS tracking, are improving delivery efficiency and customer experience [5] Challenges - Persistent macroeconomic uncertainties, inflation, and high interest rates pose challenges to the industry [1] - Higher upfront costs associated with market expansion may negatively impact profitability, especially as competition intensifies from major tech companies like Amazon and Alphabet [7] - The potential fallout from tariff wars could indirectly affect revenue growth and margins due to reduced spending from small businesses and startups [6] Market Performance - The Zacks Internet - Delivery Services industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and the broader Computer and Technology sector, rising 23.2% over the past year compared to 11.7% and 11% respectively [11] - The industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 55, placing it in the top 22% of approximately 250 Zacks industries, indicating solid near-term prospects [9][10] Valuation - The industry is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.81X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 5.23X and the sector's 6.62X [14] Company Highlights - **Vipshop Holdings**: An online discount retailer in China, benefiting from a growing online shopping trend and a focus on high-margin apparel businesses. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings is $2.49 per share [19][21] - **QuinStreet**: A provider of online marketing services, well-positioned to capitalize on the shift to online business models. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $1.05 per share [24][25] - **GoDaddy**: An Internet domain registrar and web hosting company, experiencing growth in its Applications & Commerce business. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $5.92 per share [28][30] - **Asure Software**: A cloud computing firm focused on human capital management solutions, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings of 90 cents per share [33][34]
Oracle Red Bull Racing Selects Oracle Fusion Cloud Applications Suite to Accelerate Operations
Prnewswire· 2025-06-26 12:00
Six-time world champion Formula One team moves finance and HR processes to the cloud to increase efficiency and support cost cap complianceAUSTIN, Texas and MILTON KEYNES, UK, June 26, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Oracle Red Bull Racing is adopting Oracle Fusion Cloud Applications Suite to better support its multiple-championship-winning team. With Oracle Fusion Applications for finance, HR, and customer experience, Oracle Red Bull Racing will be able to increase productivity, reduce costs, and enhance the employee ...
Airbase Upsell, Float Income, Buybacks: The Overlooked Catalysts In Paylocity's Model
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-24 14:36
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or ...
Workday VNDLY Named a Leader in Everest Group's Vendor Management Systems (VMS) PEAK Matrix® Assessment 2025
Prnewswire· 2025-06-24 13:00
Core Insights - Workday VNDLY has been recognized as a Leader and Star Performer in Everest Group's Vendor Management Systems (VMS) PEAK Matrix® Assessment 2025, marking the fifth consecutive year of this recognition [1][5] - The platform is designed to help organizations manage their contingent workforce effectively, leveraging AI to enhance talent sourcing and management [2][3] Company Overview - Workday, Inc. is an AI platform focused on managing people, money, and agents, utilized by over 11,000 organizations globally, including more than 60% of the Fortune 500 [6] - The integration of Workday VNDLY with Workday Human Capital Management (HCM) provides companies with a comprehensive view of their workforce and total labor costs, facilitating better decision-making [2][7] Product Innovations - Workday has introduced a new Contingent Sourcing Agent that combines Workday VNDLY with HiredScore AI, aimed at accelerating the hiring process for temporary staff [3] - The platform offers several advantages, including enhanced visibility, optimized spending, and data-driven decision-making through a unified view of the total workforce [7] Market Position - Workday VNDLY's recognition as a Leader and Star Performer is attributed to its rapid innovation, global reach, and strong ecosystem partnerships, which cater to diverse workforce needs [5]
Paychex to Report Q4 Earnings: Here's What to Expect From the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 17:11
Key Takeaways PAYX is expected to report Q4 revenues of $1.4B, up 9.3% year over year on solid segmental growth. Management Solutions revenues are forecast to rise 5.2% on client growth, pricing and product penetration. PEO and insurance revenues are projected to grow 4.4% on higher worksite employees and PEO insurance gains.Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) will release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 25, before market open.PAYX has delivered a decent earnings surprise in the trailing four quarters, wi ...
北森控股(09669.HK):经营性现金流转正 AI商业化稳步推进
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-22 18:25
机构:中金公司 研究员:张潇丹/赵丽萍 FY2025 业绩基本符合市场预期 北森控股公布FY2025 业绩:收入同比增长10.6%至9.45 亿元,经调整归母净亏损由上年1.05 亿元收窄 至2,910 万元,均落于公司此前发布的盈喜区间,基本符合市场预期。此外,公司于2025 年1 月15 日公 告,宣布收购酷学院100%股权,以进一步强化eLearning(即在线学习)市场布局。 发展趋势 风险 宏观经济疲软,产品迭代、技术应用不及预期。 展望FY2026,我们预计伴随业务规模效应持续释放,公司有望实现全年经调整净利润层面的扭亏为 盈。 盈利预测与估值 维持FY2026 收入预测基本不变;考虑毛利率改善及费控成效好于预期,将FY2026 经调整归母净利润 由-1,811 万元上调至2,251 万元。引入FY2027收入预测12.69 亿元和经调整归母净利润预测1.00 亿元。 维持跑赢行业评级;鉴于估值中枢上行以及AI 场景赋能下中长期更为乐观的增长预期,上调目标价 130%至11.5 港元(将估值切换至FY26;将市销率倍数由3.4 倍上调至7.0 倍)。目前公司交易于5.4 倍 FY26 市销率,对应 ...
北森控股(09669.HK)年度收入9.45亿元 同比增长10.6%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-19 14:32
Core Insights - North Summit Holdings (09669.HK) reported a total revenue of RMB 945 million for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.6% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA reached RMB 28.9 million, with a subscription revenue retention rate maintained at a strong 106% [1] - The Core HCM integrated ARR exhibited a growth rate of 29% [1] Industry Trends - The complex and changing economic environment in 2024 is leading companies to face increased uncertainty, prompting them to optimize existing human capital and enhance internal organizational resilience through lean management [1] - Many companies are accelerating their expansion into overseas markets to seek new growth points and maintain competitiveness [1] - The emergence of digital technologies, such as generative AI represented by Deep Seek, is penetrating core business scenarios in human resource management, presenting new growth opportunities [1] Company Strategy - North Summit will continue to launch new products and features throughout the fiscal year 2026, creating more cross-selling opportunities across different modules [1] - The company aims to strengthen its competitive advantage through increased product offerings, greater integration, and higher ARR [1] - North Summit's unique business model is deepening its competitive moat [1] Performance Metrics - Over the past five years, North Summit's ARR has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.6%, with the Core HCM integrated ARR growing at a CAGR of 41.2% [2] - The subscription revenue retention rate has consistently remained around 106% for the past five years, driven by multi-module cross-selling and rapid growth of Core HCM [2] - North Summit's PaaS-based integrated HCMSaaS is capable of serving clients with over ten thousand employees, laying a solid foundation for the company's "big client strategy" [2]