Core Viewpoint - Healthy competition between AMD and Nvidia has driven innovation and investor returns, with AMD significantly outperforming Nvidia in 2025 [1] Performance Summary - AMD shares rose approximately 77% in 2025, nearly doubling Nvidia's 39% gain, with a notable divergence in performance in the latter half of the year after AMD secured a multi-year deal with OpenAI [2] - AMD's disciplined execution and expanding AI footprint present a compelling investment opportunity as the company trades around $250 per share in early 2026 [5] Revenue Growth - The data center segment, now AMD's core growth engine, delivered record revenue of $4.3 billion in Q3 2025, up 22% year-over-year, driven by demand for 5th Gen EPYC processors and Instinct accelerators [6] - AMD's MI300 series exceeded expectations, capturing market share amid Nvidia's supply constraints, with management projecting over 60% CAGR in data center revenue in the coming years [7] Competitive Positioning - The MI355X accelerator is positioned as a cost-effective alternative to Nvidia's offerings, gaining traction for its performance-per-dollar advantages, which helped AMD capture share in inference workloads [8] - AMD's total revenue growth accelerated to the mid-30% range in Q3 2025, leading to significant earnings expansion and a trend of exceeding expectations [9] Nvidia Comparison - Nvidia faced challenges in 2025, including potential saturation in training demand and export restrictions impacting revenue, which contributed to AMD's relative outperformance [10] - Despite Nvidia's impressive quarterly growth, AMD's lower valuation and diversifying customer base attracted investor interest, leading to a rotation towards AMD [11] Strategic Partnerships - AMD's partnerships with major companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle, along with the OpenAI deal, validate its position in the market and provide a competitive edge [12] Future Outlook - The AI inferencing market, projected to grow faster than training, aligns with AMD's strengths, particularly with the upcoming MI400 series accelerators promising significant efficiency and scale improvements [13] - Analysts expect AMD's Q4 2025 earnings report to be a key catalyst, with EPS estimates increased by 0.76% and anticipated revenue growth of 26% to $9.65 billion [14] Earnings Expectations - AMD currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and has a positive Earnings ESP of +2.01%, indicating potential for a positive earnings surprise in the upcoming report [17]

Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) is poised for a strong performance in November, driven by seasonal trends, a growing narrative in AI, and positive sentiment from Wall Street ahead of its third-quarter earnings report [1][11]. Earnings Expectations - AMD is expected to report earnings of $1.16 per share on revenue of $8.74 billion, reflecting a 26% increase in EPS from $0.92 a year ago and a 28% rise in revenue from $6.72 billion [2]. - The anticipated surge in earnings is attributed to AMD's increasing presence in the AI chip market, with its latest accelerators gaining traction among major enterprises [2]. November Seasonality - Historically, AMD has been the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 during November, averaging a return of 16.8% over the past decade and finishing higher in eight out of the last ten years [3]. - Since 1995, AMD has averaged a 12.07% gain in November with a 67% win rate, indicating strong seasonal performance [3][4]. AI Market Position - Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya has raised AMD's 12-month price target to $300, indicating a 13% upside, driven by optimism regarding AMD's AI trajectory and the upcoming launch of the MI450 rack 'Helios' [7]. - The Helios racks, which utilize AMD's Instinct MI450 GPUs, are set to launch in the second half of 2026, with significant interest from cloud giants like Meta and OpenAI [8]. - Arya projects that AMD could capture over 5% of the AI accelerator market by 2027, up from previous estimates of 3-4%, with a potential EPS of $10-11 in 2027 under a full OpenAI deployment scenario [9]. Future Outlook - Following the earnings report, AMD's Analyst Day on November 11 will be crucial for insights into growth strategy, product roadmap, and AI product guidance [10]. - Despite trailing Nvidia in AI GPU market share, AMD is establishing itself as a credible alternative for hyperscalers seeking to diversify their supply chains [10].

Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) is poised for a strong performance in November, driven by seasonal trends, a growing narrative in AI, and positive sentiment from Wall Street ahead of its third-quarter earnings report [1][11]. Earnings Expectations - AMD is expected to report earnings of $1.16 per share on revenue of $8.74 billion, reflecting a 26% increase in EPS from $0.92 a year ago and a 28% rise in revenue from $6.72 billion [2]. - The anticipated surge in earnings is attributed to AMD's increasing presence in the AI chip market, with its latest accelerators gaining traction among major enterprises [2]. November Seasonality - Historically, AMD has been the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 during November, averaging a return of 16.8% over the past decade and finishing higher in eight out of the last ten years [3]. - Since 1995, AMD has averaged a 12.07% gain in November with a 67% win rate, indicating strong seasonal performance [3][4]. AI Market Position - Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya has raised AMD's 12-month price target to $300, indicating a 13% upside, driven by optimism regarding AMD's AI trajectory and the upcoming launch of the MI450 rack 'Helios' [7]. - The Helios racks, which utilize AMD's Instinct MI450 GPUs, are set to launch in the second half of 2026, with significant interest from cloud giants like Meta and OpenAI [8]. - Arya projects that AMD could capture over 5% of the AI accelerator market by 2027, up from previous estimates of 3-4%, with a potential EPS of $10-11 under a full OpenAI deployment scenario [9]. Future Outlook - Following the earnings report, AMD's Analyst Day on November 11 will be crucial for insights into growth strategy, product roadmap, and AI product guidance [10]. - With strong earnings expectations, favorable seasonal trends, and increasing exposure to AI, AMD is well-positioned for a breakout month, contingent on the earnings results [11].