Key Takeaways QBTS outperformed IBM with a 1312.3% stock gain in a year, fueled by enterprise traction and tech rollouts. D-Wave's Advantage2 system with 4,400 qubits and hybrid solvers is now available via cloud and on-prem. QBTS ran a materials simulation in minutes that would take classical systems over a million years.In 2025, D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) and International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) have emerged as prominent players in quantum computing, a niche that is currently getting commerciali ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the competitive landscape of quantum computing, focusing on Rigetti Computing and IBM as key players in the industry, highlighting their distinct approaches and market strategies [1][2]. Company Overview - Rigetti Computing is a startup that emphasizes cutting-edge quantum processors and scalable systems, while IBM utilizes its extensive experience to create a comprehensive quantum ecosystem that includes hardware, software, and cloud services [1][2]. - Rigetti's stock has decreased by 8.2% year-to-date, whereas IBM's stock has increased by 17.6% in the same period [3]. Valuation - IBM's price/book ratio is 8.92, which is more attractive compared to Rigetti's 19.43 [5]. Technology - Rigetti's Ankaa-3 system features 84 superconducting qubits with approximately 99.5% two-qubit gate fidelity, and it plans to launch a 36-qubit system in mid-2025, aiming to exceed 100 qubits by year-end [8]. - IBM's 133-qubit Heron processor improves upon its predecessor, and its modular architecture supports interconnecting processors like the 1,121-qubit Condor, forming the backbone of Quantum System Two [9]. Business Model - Rigetti's business model is hardware-focused, monetizing through direct system access and partnerships, targeting niche enterprise and research segments [10]. - IBM's model combines hardware, software, and services, commercializing through cloud access and consulting, with over $1 billion in cumulative quantum revenue [11]. Growth Strategies - Rigetti aims to scale its modular systems and achieve a 108-qubit system by the end of 2025, supported by a $250 million partnership [12]. - IBM's strategy focuses on achieving quantum advantage by 2026, leveraging its global infrastructure and enterprise partnerships [13]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 sales indicates an 18.63% year-over-year decline, while IBM's estimates imply a 5.5% growth [14][15]. - Rigetti's projected loss per share for 2025 is 5 cents, compared to IBM's earnings estimate of $10.95 per share [14][16]. Investment Outlook - IBM holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) with a strong Growth Score of 'A', while Rigetti has a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) but a Growth Score of 'B', indicating potential upside [16][17]. - IBM's full-stack capabilities and enterprise reach provide a more stable investment option compared to Rigetti's innovative but smaller-scale approach [17].

Financial Performance and Key Metrics - In 2024, IBM generated $62.8 billion in revenue, growing 3% at constant currency, and delivered $12.7 billion in free cash flow, up $1.5 billion from the previous year [14] - The operating gross profit margin expanded by 130 basis points, driven by demand for high-value offerings and a focus on productivity [14] Business Line Performance - Software revenue grew by 9% at constant currency, supported by strong momentum in data and AI, automation, transaction processing, and security [15] - Consulting revenue increased by 1% at constant currency, reflecting sustained demand for AI deployment and digital transformation [15] - Infrastructure revenue declined by 3% due to the product cycle, although the IBM Z16 mainframe program achieved record client adoption and workload scale [15] Market Data and Key Metrics - More than 90% of Fortune 500 companies utilize IBM's hybrid cloud offerings, indicating strong market penetration [19] - The generative AI book of business has grown to over $5 billion, showcasing IBM's commitment to AI solutions [18] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - IBM is focusing on artificial intelligence and hybrid cloud as the two most transformative technologies, aiming to provide enterprise-grade solutions that are efficient and cost-effective [16][17] - The company emphasizes a client zero philosophy, using its own technology internally to drive automation and efficiency [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management acknowledges the uncertainty in the macro environment but believes IBM's diverse portfolio positions it well for future challenges [35] - The company maintains its full-year guidance for accelerating revenue growth to over 5% and approximately $13.5 billion in free cash flow [39] Other Important Information - IBM has increased its dividend for 29 consecutive years, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders [14] - The stockholder proposal for transparency in lobbying did not receive a majority of votes cast [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on IBM's AI strategy - The AI landscape is evolving, moving towards smaller, open, and fine-tuned models that deliver real business value, which aligns with IBM's focus [27][28] - IBM's Granite model family continues to evolve, emphasizing purpose-built AI for business applications [29] Question: Quantum computing strategy - IBM is recognized as the industry leader in utility-scale quantum computing, with significant advancements in hardware and software [31][32] - The company has met its quantum roadmap goals, releasing the IBM Heron processor, which is significantly faster and more efficient than its predecessor [32] Question: Macro environment impact - IBM's diverse business portfolio provides resilience against market uncertainties, and the company is well-positioned to meet client needs for cost savings and productivity gains [35][36]