AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary - Moby Strategic Execution and Portfolio Optimization Achieved industry-leading total shareholder returns of 42% in 2025 by executing a disciplined programmatic securitization strategy and optimizing legacy liabilities. Successfully transitioned the portfolio by rotating capital out of legacy WMC residential and commercial exposures into higher-yielding home equity and agency-eligible strategies. Optimized the balance sheet by refinanc ...

Core Insights - The current economic environment in 2026 necessitates a more nuanced approach to housing investment, focusing on risk management, cash accessibility, and long-term financial goals rather than a simple rent vs. buy debate [1][27] Housing Market Overview - Home prices in the U.S. remain high relative to incomes, and mortgage interest rates have increased significantly since the pandemic, altering family perspectives on home buying [2] - Despite these challenges, housing continues to be a critical avenue for wealth accumulation and a reliable long-term asset [2] Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to consider whether to invest in housing through mortgage REITs or by paying down their own home mortgage, as both options are influenced by the housing economy but differ in risk and returns [3][6] - A monthly contribution of $1,500 is used as a benchmark for comparing these two investment paths, leading to a total contribution of $180,000 over ten years [5] Path One: Mortgage REITs - Mortgage REITs allow investment in the financing side of housing, focusing on mortgages and mortgage-backed securities rather than physical properties [7][8] - Investing in mortgage REITs offers liquidity, diversification, and regular income through dividends, but is sensitive to interest rate changes and economic downturns [9][10] - Historical returns for mortgage REITs range from 6% to 10% annually, with a conservative estimate suggesting a portfolio value of approximately $245,000 to $260,000 after ten years with consistent investment and reinvestment of dividends [11][12] Path Two: Home Equity - Home equity grows through mortgage repayment, property value appreciation, and inflation effects, leveraging borrowed money to control a larger asset [15][18] - A typical scenario involves purchasing a $400,000 home with a 10% down payment, leading to an estimated home equity of about $225,000 after ten years, assuming a 3% annual appreciation rate [19] - Homeownership entails hidden costs such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, which can diminish overall returns [20] Comparative Analysis - After ten years, both investment paths yield similar financial outcomes, with mortgage REITs potentially offering higher nominal cash balances due to uninterrupted compounding, while home equity benefits from leverage and inflation hedging [22] - The key difference lies in the nature of risk; mortgage REITs exhibit daily volatility, while home value fluctuations are less apparent until a sale or refinance occurs [23] Investor Suitability - Mortgage REITs are suited for investors seeking flexibility and diversification, comfortable with market volatility [25] - Home equity is ideal for those planning to stay in one location long-term, willing to accept higher initial costs and illiquidity for the benefits of leverage and forced savings [26] Conclusion - Consistent investment in the housing sector can be structured through various strategies, each aligning with different risk tolerances and financial goals, emphasizing the importance of method selection in accessing the housing market [27]

Core Insights - The total home equity held by Americans aged 62 and older reached a record $14.39 trillion in mid-2025, indicating a strong trend in housing wealth accumulation among older homeowners [3] - The median home equity for homeowners aged 65 and older is $250,000, which is 47% higher than pre-pandemic levels, highlighting the significant increase in housing wealth during this period [2][4] - Home equity is a critical asset for many retirees, especially among Black and Latino homeowners, where it constitutes a large portion of their net worth [3][8] Home Equity Trends - The average home equity for homeowners with mortgages is now $307,000, reflecting the overall increase in property values and mortgage paydowns over time [3] - Almost one in three homeowners aged 75 and older now carries a mortgage, a significant increase from 1998, with a median mortgage debt of approximately $107,000 for this age group [4] - The median per-capita home equity for Medicare beneficiaries increases with age, from $134,450 for those aged 65 to 74 to $179,700 for those aged 85 and older, indicating that older homeowners are more likely to own their homes outright [6] Income and Home Equity - Retirees with incomes between $50,000 and $199,000 reported a median of $253,000 in total household savings (excluding home equity), compared to a median of $211,000 in home equity for the same group [7] - Lower-income baby boomers have 3.8 times their annual income tied up in their homes, compared to 1.1 times for higher earners, emphasizing the importance of housing wealth for those with smaller retirement accounts [8] - Home equity constitutes a significant portion of net worth across racial lines, with 81% for Black homeowners and 89% for Latino homeowners aged 62 and older, compared to 47% for white homeowners [8]

Core Insights - U.S. homeowners currently have record-high home equity of $17.8 trillion, yet many feel financially strained due to economic conditions [1] - A significant portion of homeowners (54%) express uncertainty or pessimism about the economy, with 40% feeling worse off financially compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - Home equity is perceived as "paper wealth," which cannot be easily converted into cash for daily expenses, leading to financial strain [3] - Rising inflation has outpaced wage growth, contributing to a lack of optimism regarding pay increases among workers [4] Group 2: Mortgage Rates and Lock-In Effect - A large majority (80.3%) of U.S. homeowners have mortgage rates below 6%, with over half (52.5%) below 4%, creating a reluctance to sell and take on new higher-interest loans [5] - The "lock-in effect" has resulted in tight housing inventory, as homeowners are hesitant to give up low-rate mortgages despite a desire to move [6] Group 3: Emergency Savings - Many homeowners lack sufficient emergency savings, with over a third having less than $1,000 saved, which exacerbates financial pressure despite high home equity [7]

Core Insights - The company is focused on enhancing the consumer shopping experience through operational excellence and AI technology, particularly with tools like AgenTeq AI and LLMs [1] - The recent passing of the founder, Doug Lebda, has left a significant impact on the company, with leadership expressing commitment to uphold his legacy [2][4] - The company reported strong financial results for Q3, with revenue reaching $308 million, marking the second highest in its history, and all segments showing double-digit year-over-year growth [5][6] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue of $308 million was nearly at the historical high, with a sixth consecutive quarter of revenue growth [5] - Each business segment recorded double-digit year-over-year revenue and VMD growth, indicating robust performance across the board [5][6] - The insurance segment has regained leadership in the marketplace, with a notable 60% increase in spending from the fourth to tenth largest carriers compared to the previous year [7] Business Strategy - The company is leveraging its diversified business model to capture high demand, particularly in the insurance sector, and is well-positioned for future growth [6] - A strong focus on high-touch customer service has resulted in a 30% increase in loans closed for partners and a 50% year-over-year revenue increase [8] - The personal loans business is expanding as lenders are cautiously widening credit criteria, with double-digit growth in close rates for debt consolidation loans [8][9] Market Outlook - The home equity product revenue increased by 35% in Q3, despite high mortgage rates, indicating resilience in the housing market [9] - The company anticipates strong growth in the insurance segment, with a focus on driving high-quality traffic and maximizing VMD [22] - There is optimism regarding the mortgage market, with expectations of a potential refinancing boom if mortgage rates decline to around 5.75% [30][31] Leadership and Culture - The new CEO expresses a commitment to continue the vision established by the founder, emphasizing the importance of employee ownership through stock compensation [3][10] - The company culture is highlighted as a key strength, with a focus on employee engagement and performance [2][3] Future Initiatives - The company is exploring potential M&A opportunities to enhance its service offerings, particularly looking for smaller companies that can complement its existing products [36][37] - There is a strategic emphasis on building a direct concierge sales team to improve consumer experience and monetization [13]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fully diluted earnings per share increased to $1.20, a 29% rise year-over-year and a 13% increase from the previous quarter [3] - Net interest margin improved for the sixth consecutive quarter, rising by seven basis points to 2.46% [3] - Return on common equity improved to 13.6% for the quarter [3] - Average deposits increased by 7% annualized [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average balance of deposits contributed to the growth in net interest income, which increased by $7 million [14] - Consumer loans represented over half of total loans at 57%, amounting to $7.9 billion, with a focus on secured lending [8] - Commercial loans totaled $6.1 billion, with 73% secured by real estate [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Bank of Hawaii advanced its number one deposit market share position in Hawaii by 40 basis points as of June 30, 2025 [4] - The bank's market share has grown by 600 basis points since 2005, outperforming competitors in Hawaii [4] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its strong brand and market position to enhance its wealth management segment, which has lagged in growth [5][6] - A partnership with Saterra is expected to modernize the broker-dealer platform, enhancing client experience and attracting advisors [6] - The bank is focused on improving coordination between commercial and wealth teams to capitalize on cross-marketing opportunities [6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates further expansion of net interest margin in the coming quarters [5] - The bank's credit quality remains strong, with a diversified portfolio and low delinquency rates [11] - The outlook for loan growth is expected to remain in the low single digits, with improving pipelines [30] Other Important Information - Noninterest income increased to $46 million, driven by higher customer derivative activity and trust earnings [18] - The bank's capital ratios remain above regulatory thresholds, with Tier-One Capital at 14.3% [22] - A dividend of $0.70 per common share was declared for the fourth quarter of 2025 [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Spot rate on total deposits - The total spot rate on deposits is 154 basis points [25] Question: Outlook for net interest margin (NIM) - Management believes achieving a 3% NIM is possible, with a projected increase of 25 basis points per year [26][28] Question: Loan growth outlook - The guidance for loan growth remains in the low single digits, with expectations for improvement in Q4 [30] Question: Wealth management strategy - The partnership with Saterra is progressing well, and the bank is focused on enhancing client experience and attracting top advisors [32][34] Question: Capital return and buybacks - The bank is considering share repurchases and is satisfied with current capital levels [37][38] Question: Credit quality in the office sector - A reduction in loans in the Central Business District was due to exiting a non-core relationship [44]

The 2 biggest things we've heard in the ~4 months since launch:1. I want to be able to buy more BTC2. My mortgage balance is too high to qualifyToday, we addressed both of these.US home equity is a $35T market. We're dedicated to bringing a huge chunk of it over to BTC 🫡Horizon (@JoinHorizon_):📢 ANNOUNCEMENT: Homeowners can unlock more equity from their home starting TODAY.Homeowners can stack up to 2x MORE BTC, thanks to our expanded terms.Additionally, we’ve expanded access! Homes with higher mortgages ma ...

RT Horizon (@JoinHorizon_)📢 ANNOUNCEMENT: Homeowners can unlock more equity from their home starting TODAY.Homeowners can stack up to 2x MORE BTC, thanks to our expanded terms.Additionally, we’ve expanded access! Homes with higher mortgages may now qualify to unlock equity with Horizon. https://t.co/QDQ0Rs5ZGd ...

Company Overview - Horizon is pioneering the digital transformation of real estate for homeowners across the US [1] - The company funds homeowners across the United States [1] Product & Services - Horizon offers homeowners the ability to swap home equity for BTC (Bitcoin) [1] - The process takes approximately 10-14 days [1] - The product has no monthly payments or term limits [1] Customer Feedback - Homeowners have provided glowing reviews about the seamless process and efficient funding [1]

Every American should own bitcoin. Every American should own a home.Owning a home and building a bitcoin treasury used to be at odds. But now, they don't have to be.This is the future of American homeownership 🫡Horizon (@JoinHorizon_):Horizon helps homeowners stack bitcoin using their home equity.A bitcoin treasury, sitting right under your roof, without disrupting your lifestyle.✅No monthly payments✅No interest charges✅No term limitsThis is the future of homeownership. This is Horizon. https://t.co/PtzJ42M ...