Core Insights - Okta (OKTA) is expected to report second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on August 26, with anticipated non-GAAP earnings between 83-84 cents per share and revenues projected at $710-$712 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10% [1][9] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has remained steady at 84 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 16.7%, while the revenue consensus is pegged at $711 million, showing an increase of 10.1% from the previous year [2] - Okta has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 13.53% [2] Business Growth Factors - Okta's expanding product portfolio, particularly in security and identity governance, is expected to drive client acquisition and revenue growth, with approximately 20,000 customers reported at the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2026 [3] - The number of customers with over $100,000 in Annual Contract Value increased by 70 sequentially to 4,870, indicating strong subscription revenue growth [3] - New product momentum, including offerings like Identity Governance and Identity Threat Protection with Okta AI, is anticipated to contribute positively to the upcoming quarter's performance [4] Strategic Partnerships - Okta benefits from a robust partner ecosystem, including major companies like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, and Salesforce, with over 7,000 integrations with various applications and IT infrastructure providers [5][17] Market Position and Competition - Despite strong growth, Okta faces challenges from sluggish federal business and competition from Microsoft and other enterprise security providers like SentinelOne and Cisco [6] - Year-to-date, Okta shares have increased by 13.9%, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Security industry [7] Valuation Insights - Okta's stock is currently considered overvalued, with a Value Score of D, and a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 5.22X, higher than competitors like SentinelOne and Cisco [11] - For fiscal 2026, Okta expects revenues between $2.85 billion and $2.86 billion, indicating a growth of 9-10% from fiscal 2025 [16] Financial Health - Okta ended the first quarter of fiscal 2026 with $2.73 billion in cash and investments, with net cash provided by operations at $241 million and free cash flow at $238 million, raising free cash flow margin guidance to approximately 27% for fiscal 2026 [18]

Key Takeaways Okta shares fell 27.2% in three months, underperforming the sector and industry peers.OKTA projects FY26 revenues of $2.85B to $2.86B and EPS of $3.23 to $3.28, up 16.7% year over year.Okta expands AI-driven identity tools and partnerships while ending Q1 FY26 with $2.73B in cash.Okta (OKTA) shares have declined 27.2% in the past three months, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 15.4% and the Zacks Security industry’s fall of 8.5%. The plunge in Okta’s shares c ...

Core Insights - CyberArk's subscription revenues rebounded significantly in Q2 2025, reaching $264 million, which is a 66% year-over-year increase [1][10] - The annual recurring revenues (ARR) from subscriptions hit $1.08 billion, marking a 61% increase year-over-year [3][10] - CyberArk's subscription revenues constituted 80% of total revenues in Q2 2025 [3] Subscription Growth Drivers - The growth is attributed to customers transitioning from perpetual maintenance contracts to subscription models [2] - Larger deal sizes and improved customer lifetime value from platform upsells are contributing factors [2] - A significant number of customers are adopting multiple solutions simultaneously, enhancing subscription annual contract value (ACV) [2] Product Enhancements and Acquisitions - Recent product launches, such as Secure AI Agent, and acquisitions like Venafi and Zilla Security are expected to further boost subscription revenue growth [4] - The strong business model has led to Palo Alto Networks planning to acquire CyberArk for approximately $25 billion at a premium [4][10] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Okta and CrowdStrike are also experiencing growth in subscription revenues [5] - Okta's subscription revenues rose 11.6% year-over-year to $673 million, accounting for 97.8% of total revenues [6] - CrowdStrike's subscription revenues increased by 21% to $1.05 billion, driven by demand for its identity security platform [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - CyberArk's shares have increased by 26.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 7.6% [8] - The forward price-to-sales ratio for CyberArk is 14.14X, higher than the industry average of 11.98X [11] - Earnings estimates for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 imply year-over-year growth of 27% and 25.3%, respectively, with upward revisions in the past 30 days [14]

Core Insights - Okta shares closed at $95.63, approximately 25% below the 52-week high of $127.57, with a year-to-date appreciation of 21.3%, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Zacks Security industry [1][9] - The company has a strong liquidity position with $2.73 billion in cash and investments, and a free cash flow margin guidance raised to roughly 27% for fiscal 2026 [7][9] - Okta's innovative product portfolio and extensive partner base are driving customer growth and revenue, with over 20,000 customers and a significant increase in high-value contracts [15][16] Performance Comparison - Okta has outperformed peers such as CyberArk, Cisco, and Microsoft year to date, with respective share price appreciations of 12.9%, 15.9%, and 20% [2] - In terms of valuation, Okta is trading at a forward Price/Cash Flow of 22.51X, which is higher than the broader sector's 22.03X but lower than CyberArk's 73.58X and Microsoft’s 28.88X [8][10] Product and Market Position - The company is benefiting from strong demand for its new products, including Identity Governance and AI-powered capabilities, which enhance security and user experience [3][9] - Okta's new protocol, Cross App Access, aims to secure AI agents and improve security compliance, reflecting the company's commitment to protecting customers deploying AI [14] Financial Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Okta expects revenues between $2.85 billion and $2.86 billion, indicating a growth of 9-10% from fiscal 2025, with non-GAAP earnings guidance raised to $3.23-$3.28 per share [17][18] - The second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue guidance is between $710 million and $712 million, suggesting a 10% year-over-year growth [19][20] Conclusion - Despite facing macroeconomic challenges and a competitive landscape, Okta's innovative portfolio and expanding customer base position it favorably for growth, supported by a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and a Growth Score of A [21]

Core Insights - Okta's subscription business is experiencing significant growth, with subscription revenues increasing by 12% year-over-year to $673 million, accounting for 98% of total revenues in Q1 fiscal 2026 [1][9] - The company has seen a 21% year-over-year rise in remaining performance obligations (RPO), with current RPO (cRPO) up 14%, indicating a strong future revenue pipeline [1] Strategic Developments - Okta has expanded its identity platform with new modules such as Identity Governance, Privileged Access, and Device Access, which contributed to 15% of new bookings in Q1 fiscal 2026 [2][9] - The sales organization has been restructured to focus on distinct customer segments, leading to a 20% year-over-year increase in customers generating over $1 million in annual contract value (ACV) [3][9] Financial Performance - The company reported a 27% non-GAAP operating margin and 35% free cash flow, allowing for continued investment in product development and market initiatives [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings is set at 84 cents per share, reflecting a 16.67% year-over-year growth [11] Market Position - Okta's shares have appreciated by 16.2% year-to-date, slightly trailing the Zacks Security industry's return of 17% [7] - The company currently trades at a forward Price/Cash Flow ratio of 21.56, which is marginally higher than the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 21.5X [10]

Core Insights - Okta's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) surged to $4.084 billion in Q1 FY2026, a 21% year-over-year increase, with current RPO at $2.23 billion, reflecting strong revenue visibility for the next 12 months [1][8] - The company is experiencing robust demand for its identity security solutions, particularly in areas like Identity Governance and Privileged Access, as enterprises prioritize secure access [2][8] - For Q2 FY2026, Okta projects current RPO growth of 10% to 11%, indicating resilient demand despite macroeconomic challenges [3][8] Competitive Landscape - Okta faces significant competition from CyberArk and Microsoft in the identity and access management sector [4] - CyberArk is enhancing its offerings in Privileged Access Management and expanding into automated Identity Governance through its acquisition of Zilla Security [5] - Microsoft's Entra ID presents a formidable challenge with its comprehensive Identity and Access Management solutions [6] Financial Performance - Okta's stock has appreciated 27.7% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Security industry's return of 19.9% [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Okta's FY2026 revenues is $2.86 billion, reflecting a 9.44% year-over-year growth, with earnings estimated at $3.28 per share, indicating a 16.73% growth from FY2025 [10] - Okta currently trades at a forward Price/Cash Flow ratio of 23.83, higher than the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's 20.4X, with a Value Score of D [9]

Core Insights - Okta, a leading cybersecurity firm specializing in identity and access management, has seen a stock decrease of approximately 10% over the last month despite reporting strong first-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations [2][3] - The company's stock has increased nearly 30% year-to-date, presenting an attractive opportunity for investors [2] Financial Performance - In Q1, Okta's revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $688 million, surpassing the forecast of $678 million to $680 million [3] - Subscription revenue also rose 12% to $673 million, while adjusted EPS increased 24% year-over-year to $0.86 [3] - The company reported positive free cash flow of $238 million for the quarter, marking an 11% year-over-year growth [3] - The net dollar retention rate was 106%, down from 111% a year prior [3] Growth Forecast - Okta has maintained its fiscal 2026 revenue forecast of $2.85 billion to $2.86 billion, indicating a growth of 9-10% [4] - For Q2, the company projects revenue growth of 10% to $710-$712 million, with adjusted EPS of $0.83-$0.84 [4] Market Outlook - The overall cybersecurity market is expected to grow significantly, with investments projected to exceed $298 billion annually by 2028 [5] - Okta's identity management platform is crucial for securing access across various applications, especially as companies adopt cloud-based solutions [5] - Management has noted strong demand for new offerings, such as Identity Governance and Privileged Access [5] Valuation Analysis - Okta has a market capitalization of $17 billion and a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 6x based on fiscal 2026 revenue estimates, which is reasonable compared to other cybersecurity stocks [6] - However, trading at 25 times its trailing free cash flow, Okta stock appears somewhat expensive given its low-teens revenue and free cash flow growth [6]

Core Viewpoint - Okta's stock experienced a decline following cautious guidance despite a solid fiscal Q1 performance, reflecting broader economic uncertainties and a conservative outlook from management [2][3]. Financial Performance - For fiscal Q1, Okta reported a revenue increase of 12% year over year to $688 million, surpassing the previous forecast of $678 million to $680 million [6]. - Subscription revenue also rose by 12% to $673 million, while adjusted EPS increased by 24% year over year to $0.86, exceeding the outlook of $0.76 to $0.77 [6]. - The company maintained its full-year revenue forecast for fiscal 2026 at $2.85 billion to $2.86 billion, indicating a growth of 9% to 10% [3]. Customer Metrics - Okta's net dollar retention rate was 106%, indicating growth, although it has decreased from 111% a year ago [7]. - The number of customers with annual contract values (ACVs) above $100,000 increased by 7% to 4,870, and those with ACVs over $1 million rose by 20% year over year [7]. Backlog and Future Guidance - The remaining performance obligation (RPO) backlog grew by 21% to $4.08 billion, while the current RPO backlog increased by 14% to nearly $2.23 billion, indicating future revenue potential [8]. - For fiscal Q2, management guided for approximately 10% revenue growth, projecting revenue between $710 million and $712 million, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $0.83 and $0.84 [8]. Strategic Initiatives - Okta highlighted strong demand for newer products such as Identity Governance and Privileged Access, and is addressing rising security risks associated with AI [4]. - The company is implementing a specialized sales strategy, which has shown early positive results in its U.S. small and mid-sized business team [5]. Market Position - Despite a cautious approach to guidance, Okta is positioned to capitalize on growing market opportunities in the evolving cybersecurity landscape, particularly with the integration of AI [10]. - With a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 6.4 based on fiscal 2026 revenue estimates, Okta remains reasonably valued compared to other leading cybersecurity stocks, presenting a potential buying opportunity [11].