Key Takeaways AMD inks 6-GW MI450 deal with Meta, expanding AI and EPYC CPU partnership. Helios wins backing from OpenAI, HPE, Lenovo and OCI for AI superclusters. AMD targets $1T data center TAM by 2030, forecasting 80% AI revenue CAGR. Advanced Micro Devices’ (AMD) data center AI business has been driven by strong demand for Instinct MI350 series and MI300 series GPUs. Prospects are expected to accelerate with the upcoming MI450 series, which forms the crux of the 6-gigawatt (GWs) deal inked between AMD a ...

Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares have increased by 70.3% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 24.7% return and the Zacks Computer – Integrated Systems industry's 68.8% appreciation [1] - The growth is driven by strong demand for EPYC processors and Instinct MI350 and MI300 series GPUs, with expectations for double-digit growth in Data Center revenues in Q4 2025 [1][9] Data Center Market Potential - AMD anticipates the data center total addressable market to reach $1 trillion by 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% from an estimated $200 billion in 2025 [2] - Data center AI revenues are projected to grow at a CAGR of over 80% in the next 3-5 years, supported by demand for Instinct GPUs and a growing customer base [2] Product Adoption and Partnerships - The adoption of fifth-generation EPYC processors is strong, with hyperscalers launching over 160 EPYC-powered instances in Q3 2025, marking a 50% year-over-year increase in public EPYC cloud instances [4] - New partnerships and product launches, such as Oracle's MI355X instances and the adoption of MI300 series by companies like IBM and OpenAI, are expected to drive further growth [5][6] Financial Performance and Guidance - AMD expects Q4 2025 revenues to be around $9.6 billion, reflecting approximately 25% year-over-year growth and 4% sequential growth [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 2025 revenues is $9.64 billion, indicating a 25.9% increase from the previous year [8] Competitive Landscape - AMD faces significant competition from NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Intel, with NVIDIA's AI and high-performance computing growth posing a particular challenge [10][11] - Over the past year, AMD shares have underperformed compared to Broadcom and Intel, which returned 121.7% and 101.3%, respectively, while AMD outperformed NVIDIA's 32.5% return [12] Valuation Concerns - AMD's stock is currently considered overvalued, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 8.49X compared to the sector's 6.79X, indicating a stretched valuation [16] - The company's near-term prospects are viewed as dull due to competitive pressures and valuation concerns [19]

Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is experiencing strong demand for its Instinct MI350 and MI300 GPU series, which is driving growth in its data center AI business [1][9] - Oracle's launch of MI355X instances and OpenAI's commitment to build 6 gigawatts (GW) of AI computing capacity using AMD technology are expected to further enhance AMD's growth prospects [2][9] - AMD anticipates its data center total addressable market to reach $1 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% from approximately $200 billion in 2025 [3] Data Center AI Business - The MI350 series is gaining traction among neocloud providers such as Crusoe, DigitalOcean, TensorWave, and Vultr, while the MI300 series is rapidly adopted by developers including IBM and Zyphra [2] - AMD expects its data center AI revenues to grow at a CAGR of over 80% in the next 3-5 years, driven by demand for its Instinct GPUs and expanding clientele [3] Financial Performance and Projections - AMD forecasts double-digit growth in Data Center revenues both year-over-year and sequentially in Q4 2025, supported by a strong product portfolio [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's Q4 2025 earnings is $1.31 per share, indicating a 20.18% growth compared to the previous year [12] Competitive Landscape - AMD faces tough competition from NVIDIA and Broadcom in the data center space, with NVIDIA's products being widely adopted for AI computing [5] - Broadcom is experiencing strong demand for its networking products and custom AI accelerators, with XPUs accounting for 65% of its AI revenues in Q3 2025 [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - AMD shares have increased by 53.2% over the past 12 months, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 27.6% [7] - AMD's stock is considered overvalued, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 8.38X compared to the sector's 6.73X, resulting in a Value Score of F [14]