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电力评论_美国在数据中心引领下缩小与新兴市场需求增长差距-Power Comment_ US Narrowing Gap to EM Demand Growth on Data Centers Lead
2025-10-28 03:06
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the power demand growth in Developed Markets (DMs) such as the US and EU, and Emerging Markets (EMs) including China and India, with a specific emphasis on the impact of data centers on power demand growth [3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Narrowing Gap in Power Demand Growth**: The US is expected to narrow the power demand growth gap with EMs by 2025, primarily due to the scaling up of data centers [3]. - **Power Demand Growth Rates**: - In 2025, weather-adjusted power demand growth is projected at 2.9% for the US, compared to 2.9% and 3.8% for China and India, respectively, which have seen a slowdown from previous years [3]. - The gap relative to GDP growth for China and India is expected to widen, indicating weaker industrial power demand growth influenced by US tariffs and China's anti-involution policies [3]. - **Data Centers' Contribution**: Data centers are projected to contribute 1.2 percentage points to the average total US power demand growth of 2.6% through 2030, which may continue to narrow the gap between DM and EM power demand growth rates [3][4]. - **Regional Power Market Tightness**: Rapid growth in power demand in the US is expected to tighten local power markets, particularly in major regions, which could constrain future data center and total power demand growth until infrastructure bottlenecks are resolved [4]. Additional Important Insights - **Weather Impact**: The mild weather conditions in China and India during the past winter and summer may not have been fully accounted for in the weather-adjusted data, potentially affecting the accuracy of the growth projections [3]. - **Historical Context**: The report notes that the current strength in US power demand growth exceeding GDP growth is a rare occurrence in recent decades, highlighting a significant shift in the energy landscape [3]. - **Data Center Capacity**: The US holds the largest data center capacity globally, accounting for 44% of the world's total, which significantly influences its power demand share [3][4]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, focusing on the dynamics of power demand growth across different markets and the implications of data center expansion.