Investment Overview - Petrobras is investing R$33 billion ($6 billion) to enhance Brazil's downstream sector, focusing on refining, petrochemicals, and renewable fuels in Rio de Janeiro [1][11][14] - The investment aims to increase domestic fuel supply, support energy transition goals, and stimulate industrial synergy across the value chain [1] Key Projects - The Boaventura Energy Complex and Duque de Caxias Refinery (Reduc) represent a combined investment of R$26 billion, enhancing S-10 diesel output by 76,000 barrels per day (bpd) and increasing jet fuel production by 20,000 bpd [2][11] - Boaventura will feature a biojet fuel facility producing 19,000 bpd of sustainable fuels, alongside two gas-fired thermoelectric plants [3][11] Sustainability Initiatives - Reduc is exploring a lubricant oil re-refining unit with a capacity of 30,000 m (6,300 bpd) to align with circular economy practices [4] - A pilot project blending 1.2% corn oil into jet fuel has been completed, paving the way for 10,000 bpd commercial-scale production of renewable diesel [5] Infrastructure Modernization - Petrobras plans to invest R$860 million in modernizing on-site power infrastructure and R$2.4 billion on maintenance shutdowns from 2025 to 2029 [6] Petrochemical Expansion - Studies are underway for local production of acetic acid and monoethylene glycol at Boaventura, reducing Brazil's reliance on imports [7] - Braskem, a Petrobras affiliate, is expected to invest R$4 billion to expand its polyethylene plant, adding 230,000 tons per year of production capacity [8][11] Gas Supply Strategy - Petrobras is focusing on boosting domestic gas availability by reactivating shut-in gas wells and integrating with Argentina and Bolivia to lower prices and meet rising demand [12] Future Investments - Beyond Rio de Janeiro, Petrobras plans to invest R$8 billion in a second refining train at RNEST in Pernambuco and R$6 billion to resume fertilizer production [13]

市场洞察 - Marquee 市场洞察|市场|商品 GS 成品油追踪——夏季汽油价格上涨 GS 精炼产品追踪器： 交易理念：漫⻓的夏季 RBOB 破解： 总体⽽⾔：清洁产品供需平衡依然紧张，⽽⽣产激励措施将有利于中质馏分油（当原油供应限制 放松时）。市场对任何供应中断或需求意外（⽬前正处于旺季）的承受能⼒不⾜。 1/20 季节性表现强劲：过去10个7⽉中，RBOB裂解价差有7个出现上涨，平均上涨2美元/桶。历 史最⼤涨幅为8.1美元/桶，⽽最⼤跌幅为3.2美元/桶——⻛险回报状况良好。 产量转换à RBOB 热能极其混乱，与过去 10 年相⽐处于区间底部。我们认为这主要是由于 原油供应限制à尽管减产解除，但 OPEC+ 的重质酸性原油出⼝尚未回升，⽽是被⽤于中东国 内燃料燃烧（旺季）。因此，由于替代原料供应有限，依赖于重质原油的馏分油产量受到限 制。⽬前较轻的原油供应导致产量落后于⽣产激励。如果我们看到进⼊美国的中质和重质 酸性原油增加，炼油⼚将能够转向最⼤化馏分油产量。这种转变将减少汽油产量，收紧 RBOB 供应并⽀持裂解价差。 与三年历史相⽐， 定位处于第 11 个百分位 飓⻛季节à我们正处于⼀年中飓⻛ ...

J P M O R G A N Global Commodities Research 25 June 2025 Oil Demand & Inventory Tracker OECD oil product inventories start to build US travel demand improves while industrial fuel consumption remains weak Global liquid stocks have increaseed for the fourth consecutive week Global Commodities Research Prateek Kedia (1-646) 326 1124 prateek.kedia@jpmchase.com J.P. Morgan India Private Limited Natasha Kaneva (1-212) 834-3175 natasha.kaneva@jpmorgan.com JPMorgan Chase Bank NA See page 10 for analyst certificati ...

Key Takeaways DK aims for $120 million in annual cash flow gains by late 2025 through its Enterprise Optimization Plan. Midstream deconsolidation has improved liquidity by $250 million and could unlock hidden value in DKL. DK bought back $32 million in shares and paid $16 million in dividends despite Q1 margin pressures. Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) operates as a prominent entity within America’s downstream energy landscape, focusing on both refining and logistics. The company transforms crude oil into cr ...

Summary of China Oil Data Digest - April 2025 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the oil industry in China, summarizing supply, apparent demand, and trade data for April 2025. Key Points Apparent Demand and Supply - Chinese apparent oil demand decreased by 410 thousand barrels per day (kb/d) year-on-year (YoY) in April, primarily due to refinery maintenance impacting product supply and leading to a rapid build-up of crude stocks [2][5][11] - Apparent diesel demand fell by 110 kb/d month-on-month (MoM) and was down 9% YoY, aligning with weakening manufacturing PMIs [11][18] - Apparent gasoline demand dropped 13% YoY to 3.16 million barrels per day (mb/d), with a 150 kb/d decrease from March [21][27] - Jet fuel demand weakened sharply, falling by 145 kb/d MoM and 19% YoY, although total flight numbers increased slightly [30][36] Crude Imports and Exports - Chinese crude imports softened in April but still reached a seasonal record of 11.7 mb/d, with a 370 kb/d MoM decrease but an increase of 830 kb/d YoY [3][7][58] - Imports of Iranian oil fell by 530 kb/d MoM due to increased caution among refiners following US sanctions [3][60] - Strong imports from Russia and Brazil were noted, as Chinese refiners opted for cheaper grades amid high premiums for Middle Eastern crude [3][61] Refinery Operations - Refinery throughput dropped sharply by 740 kb/d MoM due to intensified seasonal maintenance, particularly at Sinopec [4][65] - Independent refiners increased utilization rates to a 14-week high of 47.5% to capitalize on stronger domestic margins [4][132] - Overall, refinery runs were down 180 kb/d YoY, marking the second consecutive month of decline [126][130] Product Exports and Imports - Refined product net exports weakened in April, driven by tighter supply and weak export margins, leading refiners to retain more supply domestically [5][73] - LPG imports increased by 140 kb/d MoM, reaching an all-time high for April, as buyers stocked up amid rising US-China trade tensions [40][78] - Naphtha imports are expected to strengthen in May and June due to increased attractiveness as a feedstock following high tariffs on LPG [49][50] Economic and Trade Context - The manufacturing PMI index fell to 49.0 in April, indicating contraction and reflecting the impact of US-China trade tensions [8][11] - The overall outlook for Chinese trade remains gloomy, with export growth expected to decelerate to 0% for 2025 [13][12] - The Chinese government released a second batch of clean product export quotas for 2025, totaling 12.8 million tons, slightly down from the previous year [98][101] Inventory Changes - China's crude stocks built rapidly, adding approximately 36 million barrels in April, while observable product inventories drew by 7.1 million barrels [158][165] - Diesel stocks drew by 4.0 million barrels, and gasoline stocks drew by 3.1 million barrels, driven by healthy demand for public holiday travel [159][163] Future Outlook - The YoY reduction in diesel demand is expected to widen further as the negative effects of tariffs on domestic manufacturing continue [16] - Despite a high level of refinery outages in April, which supported margins, a weakening outlook for demand is anticipated in the second half of 2025 [115][125] Additional Insights - The report highlights the significant impact of geopolitical factors, such as US sanctions and trade tensions, on China's oil demand and supply dynamics [12][60][136] - The shift in crude sourcing from Middle Eastern suppliers to Russian and Brazilian grades indicates a strategic response to pricing pressures and sanctions [61][64] This summary encapsulates the critical data and insights from the April 2025 oil data digest, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the Chinese oil industry.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has transformed its operations over the past five years, achieving an annual growth in cash flow and earnings of 8% to 10% at constant prices and margins [8][10] - The company plans to grow earnings by $20 billion and cash flow by $30 billion by the end of the decade [17] - The enterprise value of the company is approximately $500 billion, with a total shareholder return of 11% last year [16][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is organized into three segments: upstream (oil and gas), product solutions (upgrading oil and gas to higher value products), and low carbon solutions [11][12] - The upstream segment is expected to triple the capacity of its Guyana operations and increase Permian assets by 50% over the next five years [9][56] - The company has doubled its earnings per barrel in upstream production over the last five years [57] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for crude oil is at an all-time high, with expectations for continued growth despite economic concerns [42][44] - Natural gas prices in Europe have stabilized at around $12 to $13 per million BTU, following a spike due to supply disruptions [48] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain an 8% to 10% growth rate in earnings and cash flow through the end of the decade, focusing on high-return investment opportunities [10][17] - The strategy includes a strong emphasis on carbon capture and sequestration, positioning the company as a leader in low carbon solutions [13][78] - The company is not participating in renewable energy but is focused on technologies that align with its core capabilities [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes that achieving net zero emissions by 2050 is unrealistic and emphasizes the need for reliable and affordable energy [24][29] - The company anticipates that oil and gas will still represent 50% of the energy mix by 2050, despite efforts to reduce emissions [29] - The current regulatory environment is seen as inefficient, particularly regarding infrastructure permitting, which hampers operational efficiency [50][52] Other Important Information - The company has a consistent and growing dividend, having increased it for 42 consecutive years, and plans to repurchase $20 billion of stock this year [18][19] - The company has a strong balance sheet with a net debt to capital ratio of 7% and a double A credit rating [92] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the nature of your energy outlook? - Management distinguishes between normative and predictive outlooks, asserting that their energy outlook is realistic and affordable, predicting a 15% increase in energy demand by 2050 [22][24] Question: How do you view the current oil price cycle? - Management describes the current oil price cycle as normal, with prices influenced by sentiment and supply-demand dynamics, noting that prices have softened recently [41][46] Question: What are your thoughts on the regulatory environment? - Management criticizes the lengthy permitting process for infrastructure projects in the U.S., calling for a more efficient system to facilitate energy production [50][52] Question: Can you provide an update on the arbitration proceedings with Hess? - Management confirms that arbitration is ongoing and expects a decision within two to three months, emphasizing that operational relationships remain strong regardless of the outcome [62][65] Question: How does the company plan to manage future cash flows? - Management expresses confidence in generating significant free cash flow by 2030, with a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and returning value to shareholders [97][98]

Core Insights - Petrobras has initiated a significant maintenance shutdown at the Alberto Pasqualini Refinery (Refap) with an investment of approximately R$557 million, aimed at enhancing operational integrity and extending equipment lifespan [1][13] - The maintenance project is expected to mobilize around 2,900 workers, contributing to local employment and economic development [2][3] - The refinery plays a crucial role in Brazil's energy infrastructure, processing 32,000 cubic meters of crude oil per day and supplying essential products like diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel [8][10] Workforce Mobilization and Economic Impact - The maintenance shutdown will engage approximately 2,900 workers, significantly boosting local employment [2] - Petrobras has collaborated with local institutions to recruit qualified professionals for the operation, addressing the challenge of securing a skilled labor force [3] Maintenance Activities Scope - The maintenance initiative includes internal inspections, integrity assessments, and essential repairs to ensure the refinery's operational units remain functional [4][5] - This comprehensive maintenance work is designed to detect wear, corrosion, or structural fatigue, supporting Petrobras' goal of sustaining operations for at least six more years [5] Fuel Supply Assurance - Despite the shutdown, Petrobras has ensured a steady fuel supply by redistributing petroleum derivatives from other refineries and utilizing maintained inventories [6][7] - This logistical strategy guarantees that consumers in the service zones experience no disruption in critical product availability [7] Refap's Role in Energy Infrastructure - Refap is a key supplier in southern Brazil, providing a diverse range of products essential for transportation, manufacturing, and residential energy needs [8][10] - The refinery's logistical reach extends beyond state lines, enhancing its capability to serve a broader national market [9] Commitment to Sustainable Energy - The maintenance initiative aligns with Petrobras' vision to enhance refining infrastructure and support Brazil's energy transition towards cleaner fuels [11] - The project aims to improve reliability, efficiency, and safety margins of critical refining units, reinforcing Petrobras' market leadership [12]

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Kristina Kazarian - Vice President, Investor RelationsMaryann Mannen - President & CEOJohn Quaid - Executive VP & CFORick Hessling - Chief Commercial OfficerManav Gupta - Executive DirectorJohn Royall - Executive DirectorMatthew Blair - Managing DirectorJames Wilkins - Senior Vice President of Health, Environment, Safety & Security Conference Call Participants Neil Mehta - AnalystDoug Leggate - Managing Director - S ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a first quarter net loss of $0.24 per share, with adjusted EBITDA approximately $2,000,000,000, which decreased sequentially by $145,000,000 due to lower results in refining and marketing and renewable diesel segments [18][19] - The company returned over $1,300,000,000 to shareholders through dividends and repurchases during the quarter [18] - Operating cash flow excluding changes in working capital was $1,000,000,000 for the quarter, driven by the strength and growth of the midstream business [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refining utilization was at 89%, processing 2,600,000 barrels of crude per day, with significant planned turnaround activity particularly in the Gulf Coast region [4][19] - The Midstream segment adjusted EBITDA grew 8% year over year, with $619,000,000 received from MPLX, a 12.5% increase compared to the previous year [20][21] - The renewable diesel segment faced challenges with a 70% utilization rate due to unplanned downtime, but actions are being taken to optimize production [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refined product inventories have drawn for the ninth straight week and are below the five-year average, which, along with lower retail prices, is expected to support demand during the summer driving season [6][7] - The company anticipates around 800,000 barrels per day coming offline across several refineries in the U.S. and Europe this year, which could strengthen margins [7][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is progressing a $1,250,000,000 standalone capital plan for 2025, with 70% targeted on high-return projects [12] - Investments are being made in the fully integrated West Coast value chain, particularly in the Los Angeles refinery, to improve reliability and energy efficiency [8][9] - The company aims to leverage its geographic diversification and integrated refining system to deliver peer-leading cash generation [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism regarding demand, noting steady year-over-year demand for gasoline and growth in diesel and jet fuel, with no signs of an economic slowdown [36][37] - The company believes that the U.S. refining industry will remain structurally advantaged due to locational advantages and flexibility in refining systems [10][11] - Management is focused on optimizing operations and capital allocation to enhance competitiveness and deliver strong financial performance [28][29] Other Important Information - The company is managing its balance sheet to maintain an investment-grade credit profile, with a minimum target of $1,000,000,000 in cash [24][25] - The company has a strong liquidity position with $3,800,000,000 in consolidated cash and undrawn credit facilities of $5,000,000,000 [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand perspective and economic slowdown - Management noted refined cracks have improved, indicating a seasonal uptick in demand, with overall utilization projected at 94% for the second quarter [34][35] Question: West Coast outlook and political environment - Management highlighted investments in the LA asset and the competitive advantage of their integrated operations, while monitoring regulatory changes closely [40][42] Question: Capture rates and commercial performance - Management emphasized the importance of commercial performance and sustainable advantages built over the years, aiming for capture rates approaching 100% [55][58] Question: Crude quality discounts and OPEC volumes - Management expressed optimism regarding benefits from heavy crude processing, anticipating discounts to improve due to OPEC's increased volumes [74][75] Question: Midstream growth and distribution sustainability - Management confirmed a durable growth outlook for MPLX distributions, supported by ongoing projects and capital discipline [78][82] Question: Renewable diesel profitability and operational reliability - Management is focused on optimizing operations and addressing challenges from Q1, with expectations for an EBITDA positive quarter in Q2 [120][121]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted net loss of $3.09 per share and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $258.8 million for the first quarter [20][21] - Cash flow used in operations for the quarter was $661.4 million, which included a working capital headwind of approximately $330 million [23] - The company ended the quarter with approximately $469 million in cash and $1.77 billion of net debt, with a net debt to capitalization ratio of 29% [24][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Martinez refinery has restarted a number of unaffected units, operating in a limited configuration of 85,000 to 105,000 barrels per day [7][9] - The company is producing limited quantities of finished gasoline and jet fuel for California markets and intermediates for further processing at Torrance [8][10] - The company expects to generate over $200 million of annualized run rate sustainable cost savings by year-end 2025 through its refining business improvement program [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gasoline stocks are below the five-year average, and distillate stocks are at the bottom of the range, indicating improving fundamentals as the driving season approaches [10] - The company anticipates that the reintroduction of incremental OPEC plus barrels will benefit its operations as tight differentials begin to loosen [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced the sale of its Knoxville and Philadelphia terminal assets for $175 million, expected to close in the second half of the year [12] - The company is focused on controlling aspects of its business to position itself for future market cycles, emphasizing safe, reliable, and efficient operations [12][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the current economic environment is tumultuous, but demand is resilient and showing signs of strength [6][10] - The company is optimistic about the long-term demand growth exceeding net refining capacity additions, creating a constructive setup for the global refining environment [11] - Management expressed confidence in the liquidity position and plans to reduce inventory and leverage insurance proceeds to bolster financial stability [25][90] Other Important Information - The company received a first installment of $250 million from its insurance program, expected to be received in the second quarter [9][20] - The company has a revised total capital budget for 2025 in the range of $750 million to $775 million, excluding costs related to the Martinez rebuild [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Martinez repair process and timeline - Management indicated no change in the timeline for repairs, with long lead items ordered and execution dependent on equipment arrival [32] Question: Integration of product movement from Martinez to Torrance - Management confirmed that the integration is currently happening, with Torrance fully operational [33] Question: Concerns regarding RINs and renewable diesel market - Management highlighted the instability in the RIN market and its potential impact on gasoline prices and refining capacity [36][40] Question: Outlook on crude quality discounts and OPEC's impact - Management expects OPEC's actions to widen differentials, positively impacting the company's operations [47][48] Question: California's regulatory environment for refiners - Management noted a recognition of the importance of in-state refining and the need for a level playing field in regulations [52][55] Question: Net debt trajectory and financing needs - Management stated that they do not anticipate needing additional financing at this time, focusing on maintaining a resilient balance sheet [59] Question: Operating costs in California for Q2 - Management did not provide specific numbers for California operating costs but indicated that it would be difficult to dissect due to various factors [70][71] Question: Examples of unexpected opportunities in the RBI program - Management reported that energy and turnaround performance have shown significant opportunities, aligning with initial expectations [74] Question: Working capital headwinds and liquidity confidence - Management acknowledged working capital headwinds but expressed confidence in liquidity levels and ongoing initiatives to stabilize operations [89][90]