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思维列控(603508):盈利能力明显提升,派发中期特别分红
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-08-06 12:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Insights - The company reported significant improvement in profitability, with a mid-year special dividend distribution [5][6] - Revenue for H1 2025 reached 689 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.35%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 304 million yuan, up 59.76% [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 65.91%, an increase of 3.08 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin product sales [2] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the train control system in H1 2025 was 282 million yuan, a decrease of 14.52% year-on-year, primarily due to delays in customer bidding and project acceptance [3] - Revenue from railway security products increased by 39.10% year-on-year to 190 million yuan, maintaining a leading market share [3] - High-speed rail operation monitoring revenue surged by 153.19% year-on-year to 202 million yuan, with the company's subsidiary being a core supplier of safety monitoring products [3] Market Trends - The national railway fixed asset investment in 2024 was 850.6 billion yuan, with expectations for continued growth in equipment investment [4] - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio to 80% during its mature development phase, with a projected dividend of 100% in 2024 [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is 730 million, 870 million, and 990 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 17, 14, and 13 times [6]
思维列控(603508):2024年年报点评:铁路设备更新核心受益标的,分红率80%+超预期
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-15 13:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.515 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 548 million yuan, up 33.08% year-on-year [1] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio of over 80% for 2024, with an expected dividend yield of 5.7% for 2025 [4] - The railway investment in 2025 is expected to remain high, with a total fixed asset investment of 850.6 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 11.26% year-on-year [3] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the train control system reached 886 million yuan in 2024, a growth of 25.89% year-on-year [2] - The railway security segment generated 238 million yuan in revenue, up 25.64% year-on-year [2] - The high-speed rail operation monitoring segment saw a revenue increase of 39.79%, totaling 358 million yuan [2] Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 680 million yuan, 830 million yuan, and 980 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 22%, and 18% [5] - The expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14, 12, and 10 respectively [5] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 11.8828 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, totaling 453 million yuan, which is approximately 83% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [4] - The company aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 80% during its mature development phase without significant capital expenditures [4]