U.S. stock market cooled on Friday, Dec. 26, as investors stepped back after a strong pre-Christmas rally. Following a record-breaking Christmas Eve session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 96.62 points, or 0.20%, to 48,634.54. This cooling period is common during the final trading week of the year, characterized by lower trading volumes and investor rebalancing. While the S&P 500 slipped a marginal 0.07% to 6,927.29, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite remained nearly flat, shedding just 0.21 points to ...

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock is experiencing an upward trend following a new partnership with Groq, which is expected to enhance the company's growth in the upcoming year [1] Group 1: Partnership and Strategic Importance - The partnership with Groq involves a non-exclusive licensing agreement for inference technology, which is seen as a strong catalyst for Nvidia's growth [2] - Several senior executives from Groq will join Nvidia as part of the agreement, indicating a strategic alignment between the two companies [2] - The deal is viewed as strategically significant for Nvidia, potentially alleviating investor concerns regarding competition from Alphabet's Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) [3][4] Group 2: Analyst Insights and Price Targets - Analyst Stacy Rasgon from Rosenblatt Securities has set a new price target for Nvidia at $245, reflecting a 30% upside from current levels [2][5] - This new target is below the average 12-month price target of $263.58 from 41 analysts, suggesting further potential for stock appreciation of over 37% [5] - The potential of Nvidia's CUDA software ecosystem to enhance Groq's Language Processing Unit (LPU) is highlighted as a factor that could strengthen Nvidia's competitive position in the AI sector [6]

on 25-Dec-2025 25 December 2025 U.S. Semiconductors NVIDIA (NVDA): Can you Groq it? Stacy A. Rasgon, Ph.D. +1 213 559 5917 stacy.rasgon@bernsteinsg.com Alrick Shaw +1 917 344 8454 alrick.shaw@bernsteinsg.com Arpad von Nemes +1 917 344 8461 arpad.vonnemes@bernsteinsg.com On Christmas eve (joy) CNBC reported that NVIDIA was buying AI silicon startup Groq for $20B in cash. Subsequently, Groq announced that the company had "entered into a non-exclusive licensing agreement with Nvidia" for Groq's inference techn ...

Core Insights - The emergence of new AI companies, such as Groq, indicates that established industry leaders like Nvidia and AMD have further growth potential in the AI sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Groq is entering the AI semiconductor market, competing with Nvidia and AMD, but rather than threatening their market share, it is expected to drive overall demand for AI chips higher [2][6]. - Nvidia and AMD have established themselves as leaders in AI by supplying GPUs, which are essential for AI computational tasks [3][4]. - Groq's language processing unit (LPU) is designed specifically for AI inference, providing enhanced speed and efficiency, which has attracted significant customer interest [4][5]. Group 2: Industry Growth - The demand for AI inference capabilities is increasing, benefiting Groq and allowing it to raise $750 million in funding, boosting its valuation to nearly $7 billion [5]. - As the AI industry shifts focus from training models to inference, Nvidia and AMD are positioned to increase their sales through a diverse range of AI chips [7][9]. - AMD's recent multiyear deal with OpenAI and Nvidia's partnership with OpenAI highlight the growing collaboration within the AI sector, further solidifying their market positions [8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Groq's rise indicates a demand for alternatives to Nvidia, which currently holds a dominant 94% market share, potentially allowing AMD to strengthen its position [9]. - Despite Groq's emergence, Nvidia and AMD are not at immediate risk of losing significant market share due to their financial strength and ongoing investments in AI technology [10]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - The success of Groq suggests that investment opportunities in Nvidia and AMD remain strong, although their stock prices have already surged, with Nvidia exceeding $195 and AMD surpassing $240 [11]. - Both companies have elevated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, indicating high investor expectations for future earnings [12]. - AMD's partnership with OpenAI has led to a significant increase in its P/E multiple, making Nvidia shares appear more attractive in terms of valuation [14].