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苏州规划(301505):拟收购东进航科,与低空数字化先锋军共建城市立体规划新蓝图
Huachuang Securities· 2025-12-08 11:30
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Planning, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - Suzhou Planning aims to acquire Dongjin Aviation Technology to enter the low-altitude economy sector, with a transaction price of 250 million yuan, and the acquisition has been approved by the shareholders [5][15]. - Dongjin Aviation is recognized as a pioneer in low-altitude digitalization, providing comprehensive solutions from airspace planning to air traffic management infrastructure [8][25]. - The acquisition is expected to create synergies, enhancing profitability and providing new solutions for urban three-dimensional planning [10][12]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Suzhou Planning has a total share capital of 11.44 million shares, with a market capitalization of 2.48 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 1.62 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 27.94% and a net asset value per share of 8.38 yuan [2]. Acquisition Details - The acquisition of Dongjin Aviation involves issuing 10.873 million shares at 17.97 yuan per share, representing 8.68% of the post-transaction total share capital [5][18]. - Dongjin Aviation has committed to achieving net profits of no less than 15 million, 25 million, and 35 million yuan for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively [5][19]. Financial Analysis - Suzhou Planning's net profit for 2024 is projected at 29 million yuan, with a significant decline of 62.8% year-on-year [6]. - The report forecasts a net profit of 11 million yuan for 2025, with a recovery expected in 2026 and 2027, reaching 21 million and 25 million yuan, respectively [6][9]. - The expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 220, 117, and 98, respectively [9]. Market Potential - The report highlights a significant market opportunity in the low-altitude economy, estimating a government-level market size in the hundreds of billions [10]. - Dongjin Aviation has a robust order backlog of 103 million yuan and is tracking contracts worth 760 million yuan [8][10]. Strategic Fit - The acquisition is seen as a strategic move to integrate ground and airspace planning capabilities, addressing industry pain points and aligning with the trends in low-altitude economic development [23][10]. - The report emphasizes the unique positioning of Suzhou Planning in the low-altitude digitalization sector post-acquisition, enhancing its competitive edge [10][12].