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Mosaic's Q4 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates on Weak Volumes
ZACKS· 2026-02-25 13:11
Core Insights - The Mosaic Company (MOS) reported a loss of $1.64 per share for Q4 2025, a significant decline from earnings of 53 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1] - Adjusted earnings per share were 22 cents, down from 45 cents a year ago, and below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 48 cents [1] - Net sales increased nearly 6% year over year to $2,973.7 million, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,206.8 million [1] Segment Highlights - Potash segment net sales were $0.7 billion, up approximately 17% year over year, with sales volume flat at 2.2 million tons, missing the estimate of 2.6 million tons [2] - The gross margin for the Potash segment rose to $115 per ton from $55 per ton year over year, while the average MOP selling price increased to $264 per ton from $199 per ton [2] - Phosphate division net sales were $1 billion, down from $1.2 billion a year ago, with sales volume decreasing to 1.3 million tons from 1.6 million tons, also missing the estimate of 1.9 million tons [3] - The gross margin in the Phosphate segment fell to $17 per ton from $85 per ton, while the average DAP selling price rose to $686 per ton from $593 per ton [3] - Mosaic Fertilizantes segment net sales were $1.1 billion, flat year over year, with sales volume down to 2.1 million tons from 2.2 million tons, missing the estimate of 3.2 million tons [4] - The gross margin in the Fertilizantes segment decreased to $10 per ton from $46 per ton in the prior-year quarter [4] Financials - At the end of the quarter, Mosaic had cash and cash equivalents of $276.6 million, a 1.4% increase from the prior year [5] - Long-term debt rose to $4,250.9 million, up around 28% year over year [5] - Net cash used in operating activities was $56.1 million in the reported quarter [5] Outlook - For Q1 2026, Mosaic expects potash sales volumes between 2 million tons and 2.2 million tons, with realized mine gate MOP prices projected at $255-$275 per ton [6] - Phosphate sales volumes are forecasted to be 1.7-1.9 million tons, with DAP prices expected in the range of $640-$670 per ton [6] - Mosaic Fertilizantes sales volumes for Q1 2026 are projected to be below the prior-year quarter [6] - For the full year 2026, phosphate production volumes are expected to be at or above 7 million tons, while potash production is projected at roughly 9 million tons [7] Price Performance - Mosaic's shares have gained 10.2% over the past year, compared to a 19.7% rise in the Zacks Fertilizers industry [10]