Core Insights - Paychex reported revenue of $1.56 billion for the quarter ended November 2025, reflecting an 18.3% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +0.22% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.55 billion [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $1.26, up from $1.14 in the same quarter last year, with an EPS surprise of +1.61% compared to the consensus estimate of $1.24 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Average investment balance for funds held for clients was $5.35 billion, exceeding the three-analyst average estimate of $5.22 billion [4] - Average interest rates earned on funds held for clients was 3.5%, slightly above the three-analyst average estimate of 3.4% [4] - Average investment balance for corporate cash equivalents and investments was $1.68 billion, surpassing the $1.55 billion average estimate based on two analysts [4] - Average interest rates earned on corporate cash equivalents and investments was 3.9%, below the two-analyst average estimate of 4.1% [4] - Revenue from Management Solutions was $1.17 billion, slightly below the $1.18 billion average estimate from five analysts, but represented a +21.1% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from interest on funds held for clients was $54.3 million, exceeding the $45.65 million estimated by five analysts, marking a +50.4% change year-over-year [4] - Total service revenue was $1.5 billion, slightly below the $1.51 billion estimated by five analysts, with a +17.4% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from PEO and Insurance Solutions was $336.9 million, above the five-analyst average estimate of $330.83 million, representing a +6% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Paychex have returned +0.7% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Paychex, Inc. reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, leading to an increase in the full-year earnings outlook [1] - The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.26, surpassing the analyst consensus of $1.23, with revenue rising 18% year over year to $1.56 billion, slightly above expectations of $1.55 billion [1] Revenue Segments - Management Solutions revenue, the largest segment for Paychex, increased by 21% to $1.2 billion [2] - The company raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share growth forecast to 10%–11%, indicating confidence in operational momentum despite macroeconomic uncertainties [2] Performance Drivers - The performance was bolstered by the April 2025 acquisition of Paycor, which contributed approximately 17% to the growth in Management Solutions revenue [3] - Additional growth drivers included an increase in client counts, higher revenue per client, and a 51% rise in interest income on funds held for clients, totaling $54.3 million [3] - PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue grew by 6% to $336.9 million, driven by an increase in average PEO worksite employees and higher PEO insurance revenues [3]

Core Insights - Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) is scheduled to release its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on December 19, before market open [1] Group 1: Revenue Expectations - The consensus estimate for Paychex's second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues is $1.6 billion, reflecting an 18% increase from the same quarter last year [2][9] - Revenues from Management Solutions are projected to be $1.2 billion, indicating a 21.3% year-over-year increase, driven by the addition of Paycor and higher revenues per client [2] - PEO and insurance solution revenues are anticipated to reach $341.5 million, representing a 7.4% growth from the prior year, supported by an increasing number of average PEO worksite employees [3] Group 2: Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is set at $1.24 per share, which implies an 8.8% increase from the year-ago quarter [4][9] - The Earnings ESP for Paychex is 0.00%, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating that the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat this time [5][6]

Core Insights - Paychex reported revenue of $1.54 billion for the quarter ended August 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 16.8% and a slight revenue surprise of +0.22% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $1.22, up from $1.16 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +0.83% compared to the consensus estimate of $1.21 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Management Solutions revenue was $1.16 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $1.17 billion from six analysts, but showed a year-over-year increase of +21% [4] - Interest on funds held for clients generated $47.6 million, exceeding the estimated $43.75 million, with a year-over-year change of +26.9% [4] - Total service revenue reached $1.49 billion, slightly below the $1.5 billion estimate, marking a +16.5% increase year-over-year [4] - PEO and Insurance Services revenue was $329.1 million, compared to the average estimate of $333.29 million, reflecting a +3.1% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - Paychex shares have returned -7.8% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.2% change, indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) is set to release its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on September 30, before market open, with expectations of a decent earnings surprise based on past performance [1][10] Revenue Expectations - The consensus estimate for Paychex's first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues is $1.5 billion, reflecting a 16.6% increase from the same quarter last year, driven by strong segmental growth [2][10] - Management Solutions revenues are projected at $1.1 billion, indicating a 20.2% year-over-year rise, supported by the addition of Paycor and higher revenues per client [3][10] - PEO and insurance solution revenues are expected to reach $339 million, representing a 6.2% increase from the prior year, attributed to robust growth in average PEO worksite employees [4] - Interest on funds held for clients is anticipated to be $41.2 million, implying a 10% rise from the year-ago quarter, bolstered by the inclusion of Paycor balance [4] Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $1.21 per share, suggesting a 4.3% increase from the year-ago quarter, likely due to margin expansion [5] - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Paychex, with an Earnings ESP of +0.12% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [6]

Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q4 FY25 reached $1.427 billion, a 10% increase compared to $1.295 billion in Q4 FY24 [7, 10] - Adjusted operating income for Q4 FY25 was $577 million, an 11% increase from $521 million in Q4 FY24 [7] - Adjusted diluted EPS for Q4 FY25 was $1.19, a 6% increase compared to $1.12 in Q4 FY24 [7] - For the full fiscal year 2025, total revenue grew by 6% to $5.5717 billion [32] - Adjusted diluted EPS for the full fiscal year 2025 increased by 6% to $4.98 [17, 32] Revenue Breakdown and Key Drivers - Management Solutions revenue in Q4 FY25 increased by 12% to $1.042 billion [10] - PEO & Insurance Solutions revenue in Q4 FY25 increased by 4% to $340 million [10] - Interest on Funds Held for Clients revenue in Q4 FY25 increased by 18% to $45 million [10] Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook - The company anticipates total revenue growth of 16.5% - 18.5% for fiscal year 2026 [30] - Management Solutions revenue is expected to grow by 20% - 22% in fiscal year 2026 [30] - PEO & Insurance Solutions revenue is projected to increase by 6% - 8% in fiscal year 2026 [30] - Interest on Funds Held for Clients revenue is estimated to be between $190 million and $200 million for fiscal year 2026 [30]

Group 1 - Paychex is set to announce earnings at the end of June, with a consensus forecast of approximately $1.20 per share, up from $1.12 in the same quarter last year, and revenues projected to rise by about 6.5% year-over-year to $1.38 billion [1] - The growth is expected to be driven by the strength in Management Solutions and Professional Employer Organization (PEO) services, with operating margins likely trending upward due to technology and data analytics [1] - The company has a current market capitalization of $57 billion, with revenue over the past twelve months at $5.4 billion, operating profits of $2.3 billion, and net income of $1.7 billion [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that Paychex has recorded 20 earnings data points over the past five years, with 11 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns, resulting in positive 1D returns approximately 55% of the time [5] - This percentage increases to 58% when considering data from the last 3 years, with a median of 3.6% for positive returns and -4.2% for negative returns [5] - The correlation between 1D, 5D, and 21D historical returns can provide insights for traders, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns exhibit high correlation [3][4]