Kraft Heinz announced plans to split into two separately traded companies, reversing its 2015 megamerger, which was orchestrated by billionaire investor Warren Buffett. Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesBig Food is slimming down. As both consumers and regulators push back against ultra-processed foods, the companies that make them have been splitting up or divesting iconic brands. Last year, Unilever spun off its ice cream business into The Magnum Ice Cream Company. Kraft Heinz is preparing ...

Core Insights - Constellation Brands and Kraft Heinz have both experienced significant stock declines over the past year, with Constellation down over 40% and Kraft Heinz down about 25%, while the S&P 500 rose nearly 20% during the same period [3][9][12] Constellation Brands - Constellation generates most of its revenue from beer, facing challenges from tariffs and declining demand among younger consumers [5][7] - The Trump administration's tariffs on aluminum have increased from 25% to 50%, impacting Constellation's margins as 39% of its beer shipments come in aluminum cans [6] - The company is attempting to adapt by launching new alcoholic beverages and divesting lower-end brands to focus on higher-end products, which may strengthen long-term margins but hinder near-term revenue growth [8] - For fiscal 2026, Constellation expects organic sales to dip 4% to 6% and comparable EPS to drop 16% to 18%, leading to a stock valuation of 12 times forward earnings [9] Kraft Heinz - Kraft Heinz owns a portfolio of well-known brands but has struggled post-merger due to a focus on cost-cutting rather than brand revitalization [10] - The company faced a $15 billion write-down in 2019 and has since recovered by divesting weaker brands and raising prices, but organic net sales dipped 2% in 2024 [11][12] - For 2025, Kraft Heinz expects organic net sales to decline by 1.5% to 3.5% and adjusted EPS to drop 13% to 18%, with the stock trading at 10 times forward earnings [12] - Kraft Heinz plans to split into two companies by the second half of 2026, but concerns remain about whether this will effectively address its challenges [13] Investment Considerations - Both companies face significant challenges that hinder their attractiveness as investments, with a preference for Constellation due to clearer long-term strategies [14][15]

Company Overview - Kraft Heinz will split into two companies, reversing much of the $46 billion merger from a decade ago that created one of the largest food companies globally [1] - The split aims to enhance capital allocation, prioritize initiatives, and drive scale in promising areas, according to Miguel Patricio, executive chair of the board [4] New Company Structure - The first new company will focus on shelf-stable meals, including brands like Heinz, Philadelphia, and Kraft mac and cheese, projected to have $15.4 billion in net sales for 2024, with approximately 75% of sales from sauces, spreads, and seasonings [2] - The second new company will consist of a "scaled portfolio of North America staples," including Oscar Mayer, Kraft singles, and Lunchables, with an estimated $10.4 billion in net sales for 2024 [3] Historical Context - The merger that created Kraft Heinz in 2015 was initiated by Berkshire Hathaway and 3G Capital, initially well-received by investors, but faced challenges as U.S. sales declined [4] - The company faced significant issues, including a subpoena from the SEC regarding accounting policies, a 36% dividend cut, and a $15.4 billion write-down on major brands [5] - Following these challenges, Kraft Heinz underwent leadership changes, additional write-downs, and divestitures of certain business units, including its cheese unit and nuts division [6] Industry Trends - The split aligns with a broader trend in the food industry, where companies are pursuing breakups to divest from slower-growth categories and enhance investor appeal [7] - Other companies, such as Keurig Dr Pepper and Kellogg, have also pursued similar strategies to separate their business units for better performance [7]

Group 1 - The impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration is affecting major coffee brands like Kraft Heinz, which has requested suppliers to notify price increases 60 days in advance [1] - Kraft Heinz's coffee business generated net sales of $835 million, accounting for approximately 3% of its total net sales of $25.8 billion in the last fiscal year [2] - The company has raised its cost increase expectations for the year from 3% to 5%, with coffee costs expected to rise significantly due to adverse weather and crop failures, causing raw bean prices to nearly double over the past year [2] Group 2 - The Green Coffee Association's contracts stipulate that tariff costs should be borne by the buyer, indicating a clear understanding of the trade rules among coffee traders [1] - Kraft Heinz is facing challenges in maintaining its market position against private labels and startups, as sales and volumes have significantly declined in the latest quarter [2] - The company is seeking collaboration with suppliers to mitigate the impact of tariffs, highlighting the difficulties U.S. companies face in navigating the unpredictable trade policies [1]