June 23, 2025 01:05 PM GMT China Internet and Other Services | Asia Pacific Actions Taken to Combat Competition We are confident in the moat Meituan has built in quick commerce. Increased synergies in Alibaba's e-com and local services should drive adoption. Our e-com preference: Alibaba (AI enabler, with cloud revenue acceleration as catalyst) > Meituan (intact long-term competitiveness) > JD. Meituan What's new: (1) According to local news flow (Sina Finance, June 23), the Meituan Select mini program has ...

Core Insights - Meituan reported 1Q25 revenue of RMB86.6 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, exceeding both internal forecasts and Bloomberg consensus estimates by 1% [1] - Adjusted net profit reached RMB10.9 billion, up 46% year-over-year, and was 12-13% higher than forecasts [1] - The core local commerce (CLC) segment generated RMB64.3 billion in revenue and RMB13.5 billion in operating profit, reflecting 18% and 39% year-over-year growth, respectively [2] Financial Performance - The operating profit for the CLC segment was 10% better than consensus estimates, primarily driven by the food delivery (FD) business due to user subsidy optimization [1] - Revenue from new initiatives was RMB22.2 billion, up 19% year-over-year, with an operating loss of RMB2.3 billion, which narrowed from RMB2.8 billion in 1Q24 [3] - The company expects solid revenue and earnings growth in the in-store hotel & travel (ISHT) segment to mitigate investment impacts in the short term [2] Strategic Initiatives - Meituan is actively responding to increasing competition in the food delivery and instant retail markets, aiming to maintain market share [2] - The company is committed to investing in international expansion to drive long-term revenue and earnings growth [1] - For 2Q25, revenue for new initiatives is estimated to grow by 21.5% year-over-year, driven by grocery retail and overseas FD business [3] Forecast Adjustments - Revenue and adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been lowered by 1-2% and 11-21%, respectively, to account for additional investments in the FD business and overseas expansion [1] - The DCF-based target price was reduced by 9% to HK$181.6, translating into a 25x 2025E adjusted PE [1]