Workflow
Merrell
icon
Search documents
Will HOKA & UGG Momentum Fuel Another Strong Year for Deckers?
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 15:41
Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation's first-quarter fiscal 2026 performance was driven by strong demand for its flagship brands, HOKA and UGG, with HOKA's revenues increasing by 19.8% year over year to $653.1 million and UGG's revenues growing by 18.9% to $265.1 million [1][9] Brand Performance - HOKA maintained strong momentum with successful product launches, including the Arahi 8, and is expected to continue its growth trajectory with upcoming models such as Mafate 5 and Mach 3 [2] - UGG expanded its product offerings beyond cold-weather items, introducing versatile styles like the PeakMod clog and Lowmel sneaker, aligning with casual fashion trends [3] International Growth - Deckers reported a 49.7% year-over-year increase in international revenues in the first quarter, with both HOKA and UGG contributing significantly [4] Future Projections - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Deckers anticipates net sales between $1.38 billion and $1.42 billion, with HOKA expected to grow by 10% and UGG projected to increase in the mid-single digits [4][9] Competitive Landscape - Wolverine World Wide and Urban Outfitters are key competitors in the footwear market, with Wolverine's brands showing strong growth and Urban Outfitters' portfolio delivering positive performance [5][6][7] Valuation Metrics - Deckers shares have declined by 49.9% year to date, compared to a 12.6% decline in the industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.77X, below the industry average of 17.64X, indicating a favorable valuation [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deckers' fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 1.1%, while fiscal 2027 estimates indicate an 8.3% increase [12]
Wolverine Stock Gains 15% on Solid Earnings & Revenues in Q2
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 16:16
Core Insights - Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW) reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with revenues and earnings exceeding expectations, leading to a 14.8% increase in share price [1][10][17] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 35 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 23 cents and significantly up from 15 cents in the prior-year quarter [4][10] - Total revenues reached $474.2 million, reflecting an 11.5% year-over-year increase and exceeding the consensus estimate of $450 million [5][10] - Direct-to-consumer revenues were $111.6 million, down 1.4% year over year, while international revenues increased by 15.7% to $250 million [5][11] Segment Performance - Active Group revenues rose 16.2% year over year to $355.5 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $327.9 million [6] - Work Group revenues increased 2.4% year over year to $107.5 million, beating the consensus estimate of $104 million [6] - Revenues from the Other segment fell 21.7% year over year to $11.2 million, lagging behind the consensus estimate of $14.1 million [6] Brand Performance - Merrell's revenues increased by 10.7% to $157.9 million, while Saucony's revenues surged 41.5% to $144.3 million [7] - Wolverine's revenues declined by 7.5% to $37.1 million, and Sweaty Betty's revenues decreased by 6.1% to $41.3 million [7] Margins and Costs - Adjusted gross profit was $224 million, up 22.3% year over year, with a record gross margin of 47.2%, an increase of 410 basis points [8][10] - Adjusted operating costs rose 15.7% to $180.6 million, with the metric as a percentage of revenues increasing by 290 basis points to 9.2% [8] Future Outlook - For the third quarter, revenues are projected to be between $450 million and $460 million, indicating growth of 2.1-4.4% from the same period last year [14] - Expected gross margin for the third quarter is 47%, with adjusted earnings per share projected to be between 28-32 cents [16][17]
Wolverine World Wide: Good Q2 Sales Outlook Isn't Enough
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-29 18:19
Company Overview - Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (NYSE: WWW) is set to report its Q2 results on August 6th in post-market hours [1] - The company is expected to demonstrate strong brand momentum, particularly with its Merrell and Saucony brands [1] Investment Insights - The investment philosophy focuses on identifying mispriced securities by understanding the financial drivers of a company, often revealed through a DCF model valuation [1] - This approach allows for a flexible investment strategy that encompasses various stock prospects, assessing the risk-to-reward ratio [1]
How is Wolverine Repositioning for Sustained Margin Strength in 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 14:45
Core Insights - Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW) started fiscal 2025 with strong momentum, achieving a record gross margin and notable operational efficiency improvements [1][7] - The company reported a 7.3% year-over-year increase in adjusted gross profit, reaching $194.8 million in the first quarter [1] Financial Performance - The adjusted gross margin for the first quarter was 47.3%, an increase of 80 basis points from the previous year, driven by a favorable sales mix, reduced promotional activities, and supply-chain cost-saving initiatives [2][9] - Operating income improved due to stronger top-line results and strict expense control, with the adjusted operating margin rising by 100 basis points to 6% [4] Brand Performance - Significant margin gains were observed in key brands, particularly Saucony and Merrell, which benefited from higher average selling prices and a healthier full-price sales mix [3] - Sweaty Betty, despite a planned revenue decline, achieved a 1,000-basis-point improvement in gross margin by shifting focus from promotions to premium pricing [3] Future Projections - Wolverine anticipates an adjusted operating margin of 7.2% in the second quarter, reflecting a 90-basis-point improvement year-over-year [5] - The company is taking proactive measures to mitigate cost pressures, including diversifying its sourcing footprint and implementing selective price increases [6] Stock Performance - Over the past three months, WWW stock has increased by 75.9%, outperforming the Zacks Shoes and Retail Apparel industry's growth of 31.4% [8] - The stock is currently trading above its 50 and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating a continued uptrend [11] Valuation Metrics - Wolverine trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.84X, which is below the industry average of 2.01X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Wolverine's current financial-year sales and earnings per share indicates year-over-year growth of 3.6% and 15.4%, respectively [15]
Will Wolverine's Bet on Saucony & Merrell Pay Off in the Long Run?
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 15:45
Core Insights - Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW) reported strong performance in Q1 2025, driven by flagship brands Saucony and Merrell, both achieving double-digit revenue growth and margin expansion [1][7] Group 1: Saucony Performance - Saucony's revenues increased by 29.6% year-over-year to $129.8 million, with significant growth in North America and more than doubling sales in the Asia-Pacific region [2][9] - The brand's gross margin improved by nearly 400 basis points due to a healthier mix of full-price sales and reduced promotional activity [2][9] - Key product lines such as Ride, Guide, Triumph, and Hurricane saw strong gains, while the Endorphin franchise grew over 30% year-over-year, driven by the launch of Endorphin Elite 2 [3] - Saucony expanded into 900 new lifestyle retail doors this spring and plans to add 400 more in the second half of 2025 [3] Group 2: Merrell Performance - Merrell recorded a 13.2% year-over-year revenue growth to $150.6 million, showing strong performance in Asia Pacific and EMEA, and gaining market share in the U.S. hiking category [5][9] - The brand's gross margin rose by more than 200 basis points, supported by premium pricing and efficient inventory management [5][9] - High-performing product lines included Moab Speed 2 and Agility Peak 5, with the new SpeedARC Surge Boa selling rapidly, indicating strong consumer demand for premium footwear [6] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The combined performance of Saucony and Merrell reflects Wolverine's successful brand revitalization and strategic execution, positioning both brands for sustained growth throughout 2025 [7] - For Q2, the company expects revenues between $440 million and $450 million, indicating growth of 3.7-6% from the previous year [7]
Deckers Bets on Brand Momentum: Can HOKA & UGG Keep Up the Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 14:06
Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation's performance is primarily driven by strong consumer demand for its flagship brands, HOKA and UGG, with year-over-year sales growth of 10% and 3.6% respectively in Q4 FY25 [1][9] Brand Performance - HOKA's sales reached $2.2 billion in FY25, reflecting a 23.6% year-over-year increase, supported by new product launches and international expansion, particularly in EMEA and China [4][2] - UGG generated $2.5 billion in sales for FY25, marking a 13.1% year-over-year growth, with a focus on expanding its product line beyond cold-weather offerings [4][3] International Growth - HOKA's international revenues grew by 39% year-over-year, now accounting for 34% of total brand sales, while UGG's international revenues increased by 20%, representing 39% of total sales [4][2] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors in brand innovation include Wolverine World Wide, Inc. and Urban Outfitters Inc., with Wolverine's Saucony and Merrell brands showing strong revenue growth [5][6] - Urban Outfitters' brand portfolio also demonstrated positive performance, with notable increases in net sales for its brands [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Deckers' shares have declined by 50% year-to-date, compared to a 17.6% decline in the industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.45X, slightly below the industry's average of 17.01X [10] - Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected earnings decline of 4.4% for FY26, with a potential recovery of 9.1% in FY27 [11]
高盛:特步国际控股_消费与休闲企业日_重申全年展望
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-06 02:37
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Xtep International Holdings with a 12-month price target of HK$7.00, indicating an upside potential of 19.9% from the current price of HK$5.84 [10][11]. Core Insights - The company has reiterated its full-year guidance, expecting positive sales growth at the group level, with Saucony and Merrell brands projected to achieve 30%-40% sales growth and over 10% year-on-year net profit growth [2][10]. - Xtep's core business has maintained stable discount levels in the second quarter of 2025, attributed to healthy inventory levels [7][10]. - Management believes that Xtep's established brand recognition and ecosystem provide a competitive advantage in the growing running category [7][10]. Summary by Sections Full Year Guidance - The company expects to deliver positive sales growth at the group level, with Saucony and Merrell brands projected to achieve 30%-40% sales growth and over 10% year-on-year net profit growth [2][10]. Xtep Core - The discount level has remained stable in the second quarter of 2025 due to healthy inventory levels, and the brand is focusing on maintaining stable profit margins [7][10]. Saucony Brand - In the second half of 2025, management anticipates a broader product assortment to meet functional and fashion demands, including new fabrics and an increased focus on women's products, aiming to raise the female sales mix from 10-20% to 30% within the next 1-2 years [4][8]. - The company aims to double Saucony's revenue by 2027 through store expansion, targeting 30-50 new stores annually and enhancing store productivity [4][8].
Deckers Eyes 50% International Sales: Can It Hit the Goal Early?
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 19:21
Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation's international expansion strategy is a significant driver of growth, with HOKA and UGG brands contributing notably to this momentum [2][12] - In fiscal 2025, international sales increased by 19.9% year over year, reaching $374.1 million, underscoring the importance of global markets [2][12] International Sales Performance - HOKA's international revenues grew by 39% year over year, now making up 34% of total sales, up from 30% in fiscal 2024 [3] - UGG's international revenues rose by 20% year over year, accounting for 39% of total UGG sales, an increase from 37% in the previous fiscal year [3] Strategic Initiatives - Deckers expanded its presence in key regions such as Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and China, including the opening of HOKA's Shanghai Experience Center [4] - In Europe, HOKA gained significant shelf space and recognition in markets like the U.K., Germany, France, and Italy, while in China, the brand enhanced digital engagement and visibility through sponsorships [5] Future Growth Plans - The company aims to increase its international revenue mix to 50% of total sales in the coming years, reducing reliance on the North American market [6] - Management anticipates that international growth will continue to outpace growth in the U.S. market [6] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors in the international market include Wolverine World Wide and Skechers U.S.A., with Wolverine reporting a 16.4% year-over-year sales increase in Q1 2025 [7][8] - Skechers' international sales now represent 65% of its total business, with EMEA sales growing by 14% [9] Financial Performance and Valuation - Deckers' shares have declined by 47.9% year to date, compared to the industry's decline of 13.7% [10] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.02X, slightly below the industry average of 17.72X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings implies a year-over-year decline of 3.3%, while fiscal 2027 estimates suggest a 9.1% increase [14]
WWW Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y, Stock Gains 10%
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 17:30
Core Insights - Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW) reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with revenues and earnings exceeding expectations and showing year-over-year growth [1][3] - The company's shares increased by 10.3% following the announcement of these results [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 18 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 11 cents, and significantly up from 5 cents in the prior-year quarter [3] - Total revenues reached $412.3 million, a 4.4% increase year over year, and exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $395 million [3] - Direct-to-consumer revenues decreased by 9.4% year over year to $96.4 million, while international revenues increased by 16.4% to $207.8 million [3] Segment Performance - Active Group revenues rose by 12.7% year over year to $326.7 million, beating the consensus estimate of $298.2 million [4] - Work Group revenues fell by 17% year over year to $74.8 million, below the consensus estimate of $84.1 million [4] - Other segment revenues dropped by 28% year over year to $10.8 million, also lagging behind the consensus estimate of $13.1 million [4] Brand Performance - Merrell's revenues increased by 13.2% year over year to $150.6 million, while Saucony's revenues improved by 29.6% to $129.8 million [5] - Wolverine's revenues declined by 9.2% to $37.4 million, and Sweaty Betty's revenues fell by 15.9% to $38 million [5] Margins and Costs - Adjusted gross profit was $194.8 million, a 7.3% increase year over year, with an adjusted gross margin of 47.3%, up 80 basis points [6] - Adjusted operating costs rose by 4.9% to $170.2 million, with the metric as a percentage of revenues increasing by 100 basis points to 6% [6] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $106.5 million and long-term debt of $565.8 million [7] - Net debt decreased by 12.1% year over year to $604 million, and inventory was down 23.6% to $271 million [7] Future Outlook - For the second quarter, the company expects revenues between $440 million and $450 million, indicating growth of 3.7-6% year over year [9] - Projected operating margin is 6.7%, with adjusted operating margin expected to be 7.2%, suggesting an increase of 90 basis points from the previous year [10] - Earnings per share are anticipated to be between 17 cents and 22 cents, with adjusted earnings per share expected between 19 cents and 24 cents [10]
Wolverine World Wide(WWW) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-08 11:23
Financial Performance - Q1 2025 - Adjusted revenue reached $412 million, a 5.5% year-over-year increase, or 6.7% on a constant currency basis[13, 42] - Adjusted gross margin improved to 47.3%, an increase of 80 basis points year-over-year[13, 42] - Adjusted EPS increased significantly by 260% year-over-year to $0.18, or 300% on a constant currency basis[13, 42] - Net debt decreased by $83 million compared to the prior year, reaching $604 million[49, 50] Full Year 2024 Performance - Adjusted revenue for FY24 was $1.75 billion[4] - Adjusted EPS for FY24 was $0.91, a 507% increase compared to FY23[4, 13] - Net debt reduced by $246 million in 2024[13] - Inventory lowered by $133 million in 2024[13] Segment Performance - Q1 2025 - Active Group revenue increased by 12.7% year-over-year to $327 million[44] - Work Group revenue decreased by 17% year-over-year to $75 million[46] Future Outlook - The company withdrew its 2025 guidance due to uncertainty around tariffs and related macro-economic conditions[52] - The company expects Q2 2025 revenue to be in the range of $440 million to $450 million, an increase of approximately 4.9% at the mid-point[53] - The company expects Q2 2025 adjusted operating margin to expand approximately 90 basis points year-over-year[53]