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P&G Holds Its Premium As Analysts Cite Durable Growth Beyond Near-Term Tariff Hits
Benzinga· 2025-10-27 19:31
Core Insights - Procter & Gamble (P&G) exceeded expectations in organic sales and margins for Q1 of fiscal 2026, maintaining its full-year revenue and EPS guidance unchanged [1] - Bank of America analysts reaffirmed a Buy rating and increased the price target to $175, citing consistent execution and innovation-driven market share gains despite a slowdown in consumption [1][10] Consumption Trends - Consumption trends for P&G softened during the quarter, decreasing from approximately 2.4% to a range of 1.8-1.9%, with near-term growth projected between 1.5% and 2% [2] Competitive Response - In response to increased competitive promotions, P&G is focusing on innovation-led growth, launching new products such as Tide liquid and Tide EVO in laundry care, and Pampers and Luvs in baby care [3] Market Share Performance - Six out of P&G's seven regions either maintained or expanded market share, with a notable 7% gain in Latin America; Europe remained stable, while Asia Pacific and the Middle East experienced slight declines [4] Tariff and Cost Expectations - P&G's expected tariff-related costs have been revised to $500 million, down from $750 million previously, due to material exclusions and adjusted sourcing strategies [5] Growth Outlook - The second quarter of 2026 is anticipated to be the weakest growth period of the year, but management expects a rebound in the second half, driven by ongoing innovation and supply chain improvements [6] Financial Estimates - Bank of America has slightly increased its EPS estimates for 2026, 2027, and 2028 to $7.00, $7.35, and $7.75, respectively, reflecting the positive impact of the first-quarter performance [8] - The brokerage forecasts second-quarter organic sales growth of 0.5%, down from a previous estimate of 1.5%, and a 2026 organic growth of 1.6%, reduced from 2% [9] Valuation and Price Target - Bank of America maintains a Buy rating on P&G with a price target of $175, based on a 24.5x CY26E P/E multiple, reflecting a 20% valuation premium for household and personal care peers due to P&G's long-term growth potential [10]
Parent company of Charmin and Tide brands to raise prices on other products due to tariff pressure
Fox Business· 2025-07-29 21:30
Core Viewpoint - Procter & Gamble (P&G) plans to raise prices on approximately 25% of its products in the U.S. due to economic volatility and increased costs from tariffs, while also undergoing a leadership transition [1][2][10] Price Increase Strategy - The price increase will be in the single-digit range and is set to start this month, aimed at offsetting around $1 billion in cost increases related to tariffs [2] - P&G's strong performance in essential products like Charmin toilet paper and Dawn dish soap, along with new product demand such as Tide Evo laundry detergent, provides the company with the ability to implement these price hikes [2][5] Consumer Behavior Insights - Consumers are exhibiting more selective shopping behaviors, seeking value through larger pack sizes or lower cash outlays, indicating a shift in spending habits during economic uncertainty [7] - Despite economic challenges, analysts believe that consumers will continue to pay for P&G's products, as they are considered essential [5] Financial Outlook - P&G's annual sales growth forecast is projected between 1% and 5%, which is below analysts' expectations of 3.09% growth [9] - The company is experiencing a level of baseline uncertainty reflected in its guidance range, which has caused frustration among executives [10] Leadership Transition - P&G has appointed Shailesh Jejurikar as the new CEO, succeeding outgoing CEO Jon Moeller [10]