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The Biggest Threat to Oracle Stock in 2026 and Beyond
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-15 08:35
Core Insights - Oracle's stock has declined following its earnings report, despite a 54% increase in non-GAAP earnings per share and record remaining performance obligations (RPO) of $523 billion, raising concerns about its aggressive spending strategy on AI infrastructure [1][4][10] Financial Performance - In the latest quarter, Oracle reported $7.98 billion in cloud revenue and $5.88 billion in software revenue, with operating expenses of $3.99 billion, resulting in a high operating margin of 71.2% [4] - Oracle's capital expenditures in the first half of 2025 reached $20.54 billion, leading to negative free cash flow of $10.33 billion, alongside over $1 billion in quarterly interest expenses due to rising debt [6][9] Business Segments - Cloud revenue is Oracle's fastest-growing segment, now accounting for over half of total revenue, while the legacy software business continues to provide reliable earnings [5][9] - Oracle's business model differs from other cloud giants like Amazon and Microsoft, which generate significant free cash flow without relying on debt for funding AI capital expenditures [8][9] Market Position and Future Outlook - Oracle is investing heavily in building 72 multicloud data centers, which raises concerns among investors about its cash burn rate and ability to manage such expenditures [9] - Despite recent stock declines, Oracle's risks are reflected in its valuation, and if it can convert RPO into actual revenue, there is potential for stock recovery [10][11]
The Nasdaq Just Hit Correction Territory: Buy This Unstoppable Stock at a Discount
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-14 19:30
Core Viewpoint - The Nasdaq Composite is officially in a correction, down over 13% from its all-time high, indicating a broader market sell-off affecting major tech stocks like Microsoft and Apple [1][2]. Company Analysis - Microsoft is highlighted as a compelling growth stock, currently priced at a P/E ratio of 30, which is below its 10-year median P/E of 32.5, suggesting it is undervalued compared to its historical average [7]. - The company has a diversified business model, engaging in hardware, software, and cloud services, and is heavily investing in AI to enhance efficiency and expand its offerings [8][9]. - Microsoft's revenue growth across all segments and margin expansion is notable, with significant increases in productivity and business processes, intelligent cloud, and personal computing revenues over the past fiscal years [10][11]. Financial Health - Microsoft maintains a strong balance sheet with more cash and short-term investments than long-term debt, allowing it to invest in growth opportunities without overextending financially [8][9]. - The company has a consistent dividend yield of 0.9% and has increased its payout for 15 consecutive years, providing a passive income opportunity for investors [16][17]. Investment Thesis - Investing in Microsoft during market corrections is seen as a strategic move, as the company is well-positioned to weather economic downturns due to its solid growth rate and diversified business model [12][15]. - The planned $80 billion investment in AI data centers and cloud applications is a significant commitment, but the demand for AI tools is expected to remain strong, mitigating risks associated with this spending [13][14].